Long View

@brian_crypto1 @benjamincowen @TheRealPlanC The effect the halving had on price decreased over time. The 2020 halving was followed by the Covid liquidity boost, which made it look like post-halving bull runs were still a thing.

@WhatCryptoDo @benjamincowen @TheRealPlanC No, it just means the 4th year we always hit a new 4 year high, and the next year we dump into a bear year.

If you are cheering for the 4-year cycle to play out again, you are cheering against Bitcoin. The 4-year cycle is one of the worst things long-term for Bitcoin's adoption and reaching its true potential as a global asset. If Bitcoin is perceived as a speculative asset that follows some magical 4-year cycle, it will remain a sideshow speculative asset. For Bitcoin to remain something that everyone sells or trades every 4 years for no reason other than that 4 years have passed is a horrible narrative.

@benjamincowen @TheRealPlanC The “four year cycle” would involve a huge pump happening a year ago. Where is it? Maybe the four year cycle was only a phenomenon of 2010s early Bitcoin life.

Bitcoin has gone down for almost 8 months now, and the four year cycle is playing out. How is the "jury still out?" Honestly, after promoting you a few days ago, I'm disappointed that you thought it was wise to tell your followers that anyone pro "four year cycle" is cheering against Bitcoin. The people who got it right are not "anti Bitcoin." They just were trying to help people understand the way the cycles work. I tried telling you months ago and you told me I was wrong and that it was "not even debatable." It's ok to be wrong about markets. But it's not ok to pretend that people who were right are "anti Bitcoin" just because you don't want to face the reality that your views did not play out. x.com/TheRealPlanC/s…

@grok @True101Story @KimDotcom @grok Break down the pre-war Jewish population by country for all countries of Nazi-occupied Europe.

The 6 million figure refers to total Jewish deaths across Nazi-occupied Europe during the Holocaust (1933–1945), not just Germany. Europe's pre-war Jewish population was ~9.5 million (per US Holocaust Memorial Museum data). Germany's share was ~525,000 in 1933 (down to ~215,000 by 1939 due to emigration). The vast majority of victims were from Poland (~3 million), the Soviet Union (~1–1.5 million in occupied areas), Hungary, Romania, and other eastern territories—where ~2/3 of Europe's Jews were killed.

.@grok can you confirm the contents of this screenshot?

@BitcoinPierre It’s been broken for almost a decade. Your chart makes it seem like they’re all coming from the same over valued peak, but they’re not.

We're at a decisive moment, will bitcoin's 4 year cycle break?

@Averagedood1 @TheLaurenChen @elonmusk @cboyack Yeah it’s exactly the same as every other Israel war

@WhatCryptoDo @TheLaurenChen @elonmusk @cboyack wtf are you talking about no congressional approval for this war. It’s all being lead by the Trump administration.

It's crazy to me how Robin Hood is now popularized as "stealing from the rich to give to the poor" (Socialist messaging) In reality, Robin Hood stole back the taxes that a cruel leader unjustly levied against the population (Anti-socialist messaging)

@Averagedood1 @TheLaurenChen @elonmusk @cboyack That worked for a term. The thing about politicians is that you have to keep getting new ones because Israel ruins them.

@TheLaurenChen @elonmusk @cboyack lol aren’t you the same retards that told us to vote for Trump to avoid endless wars?

@StockStormX @QuintenFrancois It is though. BTC is the way all people can escape economic authoritarianism.

@QuintenFrancois sanctions evasion isn't the $BTC adoption story bulls want

Bitcoin holders after being told “no one uses it” watching governments pay Iran in BTC

@sancomyucson78 @TonySeverinoCMT The giant corporate entities getting involved is an inevitable phase of Bitcoin’s growth.

@WhatCryptoDo @TonySeverinoCMT Hi welcome to Blackrock please leave your wallet at the counter

Probably true I still think Bitcoin has a bright future It just has a dark future first

@grok @seth_fin What Grok means to say is that you’re drawing straight lines around a logarithmic regression curve. If you want to draw a straight line, you’ll have to put time in log scale too.

Bitcoin's chart history is wild—multiple 10x+ runs post-halvings. This projection to ~150k+ by 2029 fits logarithmic growth channels seen before, driven by ETFs, adoption, and scarcity. Totally possible, but macro risks, regulation, and black swans could derail it. Speculative fun! What's your conviction level? 🚀

What if???? Hey @Grok can #Bitcoin do this in the future?

Here you go

@ProfSteveKeen I’ve seen you mention this a couple time. You’re confusing the energy used to create new bitcoin with energy used to complete bitcoin transactions.

I could have bought Bitcoin for less than £10 per coin. I said no. And here is the 3-part case that is now playing out in real time. Bitcoin wastes energy by design. Every transaction requires 10 minutes of computing power to be deliberately burned across the network. The total energy consumption has already passed Switzerland. War is threatening 20 to 30% of global energy supply. 2 of Qatar's 14 LNG processing trains have been destroyed. Each takes 5 years to rebuild. Oil has no real substitute. When physical supply falls, output falls. The store of value argument destroys Bitcoin as a currency. When people expect the price to rise, they do not spend it. It stops being money and becomes a speculation. When energy rationing arrives, and governments are already moving in that direction, Bitcoin mining will not survive that conversation. Live proof: Trade in the Strait of Hormuz is moving to Chinese yuan. Not to Bitcoin. One fiat replacing another. The full breakdown is in my latest video going live now. youtu.be/EJicZxhhzgc?si… #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #EnergyEconomics #GlobalEconomy #PostKeynesian #FinancialCrisis #MacroEconomics #BitcoinMining #EnergyPolicy #EconomicTheory

@rustyro55 @grok @simpleminingio This

@grok @simpleminingio @grok whats the 1, 2 ans 5 year prediction?

Hey @grok, edit this image to show the price of Bitcoin in 10 years.

@poszmeh @badcharts1 @hajiyev_rashad If you’re not measuring asset growth in log scale, you might as well be measuring it in candy canes. Value isn’t additive, it’s multiplicative. Log police are trying to save you.

@badcharts1 @hajiyev_rashad Log Police. In color.

This is my medium term view on silver. It tested key support levels and once the bottoming is over, silver's initial price target could be $80 - 85 and then $100 - 110 by May 2026. Once silver takes out all time high, the sky is the limit...

@Hostplus I’ve been a member my whole life, but I was about to sadly leave in order to self-manage my super to invest it in Bitcoin. I heard a rumour about you. Let me be your Guinea pig!

@JoelJLanglois @dotkrueger Everyone will get their sats eventually. It’s an intelligence test.

@dotkrueger BTC is for absolute retards. Everybody who wanted it already has it. It’s been thrown in our face on every ad and billboard. Who hasnt heard about this by now ? And yet it’s collapsing. Do you not know by now that is operates effectively as a decentralized pyramid scheme ?

BTC/Gold to the moon. Sorry, Peter.

@marc02200 Measured against the increase in M2, almost everything got cheaper.

Name one thing that got cheaper in the last 5 years. I'll wait.

@KissMyAssBich @digijordan @grok How do you do it?

Hey @grok Did Jeffrey Epstein win an $85 million Powerball jackpot on July 2, 2008?

@Giovann35084111 I miss the old days when we used to show our understanding of something by articulating it. Now everyone just copies and pastes from their AI responses.

Bitcoin is not a bubble—it is the opposite: an anti-bubble. The physicist Didier Sornette showed that financial bubbles exhibit log-periodic oscillations that accelerate as a system approaches a critical point—a crash. The oscillations compress in time, becoming faster and more unstable as the market moves toward collapse. Bitcoin also displays log-periodic behavior, but with a fundamental difference. In Sornette’s framework, the log-periodicity is anchored to a finite critical time (the crash), and the oscillations are driven by the system’s proximity to that point. As time progresses, everything speeds up—instability increases. In Bitcoin, there is no such finite critical point—or, equivalently, the critical point is at infinity. The consequence is profound: In bubbles: oscillations accelerate → instability increases → crash In Bitcoin: oscillations decelerate → volatility decreases → stability emerges Instead of compressing toward a singular breakdown, Bitcoin’s cycles stretch out over time. The system is not converging to failure—it is relaxing into equilibrium. So while both systems share log-periodic structure, their direction is opposite: Bubble → criticality → collapse Bitcoin → scale invariance → stabilization Bitcoin is not heading toward a crash. It is becoming more stable, more predictable, and more mature over time. That is what makes it an anti-bubble.