Eric 𝕏

As Trump heads to China to meet Xi, it’s time for a reality check on the Chinese economy. We’ve endured years of breathless talk about the “Asian century” and China’s inexorable rise. Elites couldn’t stop praising the “China model” with its state-led efficiency, gleaming infrastructure, and unstoppable momentum. That narrative has aged disastrously. So much so all the old pro-engagement business leaders have begun changing their tune to save face (Dimon, Dalio et al.) Even with reported 5% annual growth, China is not closing the gap with the US in nominal USD terms. Its GDP as a share of America’s peaked at 78% in 2021 and has fallen to just 64% in 2024. Yes the renminbi’s sharp depreciation against the dollar is true, but it begs the question of why did the currency weaken enough to slash China’s relative GDP by 14 percentage points in three years? Currency collapse is not a sign of strength. The RMB has recovered some ground over the past 18 months, yet deflation and chronic overcapacity will cap any sustained rally. With PPP adjustments, the gap closes but the US is still richer than China. Don’t listen to the blackpillers saying the US is collapsing or the “dollar dominance is ending.” Both countries have debt problems but China knows how to creatively hide it. Markets tell the starkest truth. US equities (S&P 500) have surged from ~$45 trillion in 2021 to $55–60 trillion. Chinese indices (CSI 300 + Hang Seng) have slid from ~$13 trillion at their peak to around $10 trillion. If this were just a currency story, America’s market values wouldn’t be booming while China’s shrank in absolute terms. The bottom line: China’s slowdown is structural. America is in much better shape and barring some epic self-cucking, the US should still be dominant

Beginner video: How to install & use Grok Build (made for non-technical SuperGrok and X Premium+ users) I got so many questions from friends, so I made this simple step-by-step guide. You’ll see exactly how to: • Install Grok Build in seconds with one command • Create real websites • Use Grok Imagine to auto-generate images & videos • Run multiple projects at once in different folders Grok even runs commands for you. No coding experience needed. Watch the full walkthrough 👇

the anatomy of the perfect 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗟.𝗺𝗱 file for AI agents. 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗟.𝗺𝗱 is the one file you write yourself for an AI agent. it sits at the top of the system prompt, before memory, before skills, before tools. it defines who the agent is when it shows up. an hour spent on it changes every conversation that follows. most other layers update themselves. this one is yours. i just broke down what a 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗟.𝗺𝗱 file that actually works looks like. here are the 8 sections that matter: → identity (a one-line statement of who, not what) → core truths (imperative principles, each with a one-line unpacking) → worldview (opinionated takes by domain, sharp enough to predict) → voice (concrete rules for how the agent talks, not adjectives) → expertise (primary domain, fluent tools, where it defers) → boundaries (explicit "won't" lines, no soft language) → memory policy (what persists, what stays private) → pet peeves (phrases and tones the agent never produces) generally people write "be helpful and professional" and call it done. that changes nothing. every model already tries to be helpful and professional by default. the agents that compound have 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗟.𝗺𝗱 files with real opinions, hard limits, and a voice you can predict before you read the response. a strong 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗟.𝗺𝗱 is 30 to 80 lines. specificity beats coverage. bookmark this. the first agent you build will need it. i wrote a full masterclass on Hermes Agent that walks through the 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗟.𝗺𝗱 layer, the three-tier memory system, the self-evolving skills loop, and how to run three specialized agents on your machine 24/7. the article is quoted below.

🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸 Israel Hayom has a very different read on this deal than Washington does. The U.S. has no image of victory and achieved none of its stated goals. Iran survived, closed the world's most important waterway, and walked away with its position intact. The only tangible outcome so far is the reopening of the strait. Everything else goes into a room called future negotiations, a room that has no date, no agenda, and no guarantee it ever opens: Iran's nuclear program: postponed Missiles: postponed Proxies: postponed It gets worse. The agreement obliges Hezbollah to a ceasefire, effectively recognizing Iran as a legitimate military and political actor in Lebanon. That is the exact opposite of what this war was supposed to achieve. Every issue that matters to Israel has been kicked down the road. The war ends. Iran's nuclear program, missiles and proxies are all still there. Someone has to explain what was actually won.