@mattyglesias I spent a lot of time on the Mt. Vernon Trail growing up which is how I know Columbia Island is a thing. I don't know of any signage there that actually indicates you are actually in DC though en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Columbia_…
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zaltschuler
44 posts
zaltschuler
@ZAltschuler
VA raised, NY born, Jayhawk.
Jamestown, NY Katılım Kasım 2011
2.4K Takip Edilen124 Takipçiler
@mattyglesias I truly hate to defend anything to do with this stupid admin, but it is actually in DC
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@ReubenR80027912 Real lesson here is tactics are meaningless w/o real strategic aims. There was 0 effort to gain public support and there was 0 chance Americans would ever bear the cost anyways. It was poorly thought out and anyone non-MAGA could see that. That isn't feckless, that is rational.
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@ZAltschuler Strongly disagree. We had the POTENTIAL to remake the region…but b/c of domestic fecklessness we left a generational reshuffling on the table. That is what I’m lamenting
Tactically, we destroyed Iran with video-game level kill/loss ratios
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Trump has always been a flawed & unreliable vessel for the massive (+ and -) hopes ppl ascribe to him. But the war was mostly a failing of we the people
It showed the extent to which we are yoked to a secular morality; a 40lb weight of “universalism” holding back our potential
Reuben Rodriguez@ReubenR80027912
@kmj2190 @Azariah2024 I apologize for hoping to live in an era of national power & prowess
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@ReubenR80027912 Bro, gotta say this whole war thing was a bad look for you. You went down a rabbit hole here that clearly was never gonna work out. It's not a death blow to US interests, but it def was about as harmful of a reputational and strategic blunder as you are gonna get.
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As always; the natural order cares not for intentions or morals. Those with the combination of will + cunning + strength carry the day
The US is not weaker vs 3 months ago and we have few real threats. But our potential deferred, yet another opportunity half fulfilled…compounds
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@ReubenR80027912 Many non-politically and non-ideologically motivated people (i.e. the vast majority of swing voters) have an outsized sense of dissatisfaction with the political system naturally. Trump has some unique political strengths, but his lack of magnanimity turns them off.
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This just isn’t how modern politics works b/c every winning coalition starting in 2006 has been based on anti-incumbency
The *sole* exception was 2012; a result so traumatic that Rs dismantled their ENTIRE party platform over the following 12 yrs
Ross Douthat@DouthatNYT
An interesting idea, maybe worth trying, would be to follow a big political victory by focusing your policy efforts on the extra/new voters you've just added to your coalition, and see if maybe your popularity can build on itself.
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State and local governments can't just borrow to fill their shortfalls. This could really hurt and cause hardship on a broad scale. @elonmusk doesn't care about the hundreds of thousands of working and middle class people affected. He's on a Messianic bender of self-delusion.
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The Department of Education primarily pays aid to the state and local governments. If that flow is interrupted/shut off, illegally I might add, it would cause a great deal of budget pressure.
Sam Stein@samstein
Department of Education is, per sources, rumored to be the next Elon target. Scope of the purge not known but fear is a wind down EO is coming
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@ReubenR80027912 I mean this is just a straight up untruth. Work in the government definitely happened. Most agencies/gov contractors also came into the office multiple times per week.
I appreciate your unorthodox takes, but this is just silly.
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What’s crazy is that federal workers weren’t even in the office during Biden’s term
Gov’t work, never the model of productivity, effectively did not happen during height of WFH 21-23
So there was no executive, no real work…but nothing bd happened! Lol
James Hohmann@jameshohmann
@AnnieLinskey @rebeccaballhaus @EmilyGlazer @siobhanehughes White House meetings would frequently be canceled. In 2021, a national security official explained to another aide why a POTUS meeting needed to be rescheduled. “He has good days and bad days, and today was a bad day so we’re going to address this tomorrow,” the aide said.
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@lxeagle17 @NYHammond Funniest part about this is that Dems look fine down ballot in Nys. May still flop 3 seats while protecting all of theirs!
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I cannot believe what I'm seeing, but Kamala Harris is going to win New York by the thinnest margin in a generation. Looks like the state is seeing roughly a 10 point shift to the right. Neighboring New Jersey much the same — may get D+6 (down from D+16 with Biden).
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@DjsokeSpeaking Don't think it will quite get there, though drop boxes and the like will add 1-2%. Will definitely go over raw 2020 turnout though.
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@davebjerke What was the total turnout in 2020? Don’t feel the need to respond today - I know you have a lot going on.
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We end today with 6402 ballots cast with 2 emergency voters and several back in the mail and drop box.
59.2% before the Election Day polls open.
Hope everyone sleeps well tonight. 4am is just too early to wake up for a 5am call because the polls open at 6am.
🗳️🇺🇸
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@lxeagle17 Even if people heard about it, why would it move votes?
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I think you guys really have no idea what the average voter is like. Literally nobody on the planet outside of the most hardcore, committed GOP partisan has heard of this squirrel story.
Mike Benz@MikeBenzCyber
are we gonna win this election because of this f’ing squirrel
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@xcpdx @ettingermentum That split is specifically ED to EV voters in GA, not the overall EV electorate.
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@ettingermentum women have a 12-point advantage in 2020 and a 6.5 point advantage in 2024
that seems like a significant shift
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Something I’ve found interesting: despite Georgia’s early vote pool being whiter than in 2020 (there are 353k predominantly white 2020 eday voters who voted early this year) the gender split is basically identical to the one four years ago.
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@OGTaylorB @ReubenR80027912 @Fullcarry There is a ton of trusts/life estates that have "protected" that money from spend downs.
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@ReubenR80027912 @Fullcarry I think healthcare costs for the last 5-15 years of their parent's lives will whipe most of that out.
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As ever: the Great Boomer Wealth Transfer is going to be crazy
This chart shows when Millenials will get their windfall and it’s hugely important b/c it’s gonna dramatically alter 50+ year old spending & working habits when Millenials hit that age
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@LPDonovan Yeah, agreed. At this point, TX and FL should probably move towards Lean R. Cruz and Scott still clearly the favorites but polling has the Dems close enough on both the presidential and senate level for a polling error to make the difference.
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This is the correct call. Tester has a path, mostly because there's still time, but there's just no way to reasonably call it a toss-up at this point.
Kyle Kondik@kkondik
NEW: Crystal Ball Senate Rating Change --> Montana: Toss-up to Leans Republican (See link for explanation as to why we're doing this today after not doing it yesterday) 51 Sen seats now Safe/Likely/Lean R in our ratings, solidifying R Senate edge centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/mo…
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@EsotericCD Doesn't track for me that people will view Walz as some left-wing extremist? He clearly isn't. I think Dems may be overrating his rural appeal, but this seems like an overreaction the other way too influenced by partisanship.
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This is, weirdly, the J.D. Vance pick all over again. Except this guy has to defend the George Floyd insanity, his reaction, and a record far to the left of the country.
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Have not encountered a single Republican in public or in private who hasn't suddenly perked up after the Walz pick. Whatever it is Harris is seeing, we certainly don't. (We get the pitch, mind you - he's a double-down on the hard left base who "sounds" normal.) But don't buy it.
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@zachp_25 Don't think all the components are made at the same factory
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@zachp_25 Almost certainly being transported to/from Hornell, NY which has a massive train factory (Alstom). They build the Acela cars and MARTA as well (among others).
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@bomani_jones The reason why Mahomes seems to not get credit is that he is so great that it has become inherent to any discussion around him.
Allen is great, but flawed, and can’t get over the hump, which is fundamentally more interesting to discuss than Mahomes continuing to be the best.
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to me, that game makes my point...we don't give any credit to the dude who took his team to the tying score IN THIRTEEN SECONDS!!!
think about that. one of the most efficient drives ever, and you're talking about the guy who *didn't* do that.
Almond Joy Enjoyer@BreakfastPlug
@bomani_jones think you make good points about JA but I do think the 13 seconds game adds a little extra to the “want” for him. Feels like we saw him do it, defense failed him, and everyone feels bad for him every time he loses now
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@efs120 @mattyglesias I agree with your Poole point, but in reality, Kuzma is easily their best player.
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@mattyglesias I can understand why people wouldn’t want to go when Jordan Poole is their best player, but I also think going to watch Jordan Poole do whatever he wants would be pretty good incentive to go to a game
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Here at the Wizards game and reminded that the weirdest thing about this whole relocation is the current arena is totally nice — people don’t come to the games because the team is bad
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