Craig Moss

@flowidealism Don’t blame the teachers for allowing kids to sleep in class. It’s better than getting into an argument with that kid since the district won’t discipline them anyways. Blame the districts and inept discipline policies.

As he says, it is worse than you can imagine: “Walk through an average middle school or high school classroom today. You’ll see kids sprawled on desks. Heads down. Talking while the teacher talks. Zero attention. Zero respect. The disrespect is normal now. And then there’s the other side of it... This is the part parents really need to understand: SCREENS Districts are spending your tax dollars putting kids in front of iPads and laptops all day long. Research from the RAND Corporation found that a typical U.S. student spends up to 52% of their school day on a digital device. That is daycare with a Wi-Fi bill.”

@californiapost But but but it’s the orange man’s fault for California gas. Not our idiotic state government

Today's cover: Two gas stations two miles apart expose how we’re being fleeced by Gavin Newsom. trib.al/dupWIdU Subscribe for home delivery: trib.al/Cc0qHFu

@KalshiPolitics Holy crap what a disaster LA will be

NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Nithya Raman has hit a 64% chance to win the Los Angeles Mayor Race

@DavidDack Or they have “been there done that” now just run for the true joy of it

Runners who “just run for fun”: admirably chill or lacking competitive drive?

@theallinpod @SteveHiltonx @chamath @Jason Sounds too reasonable to be a California governor

🚨 ALL-IN INTERVIEW! CA Governor Candidate Steve Hilton on Why California is Destroying Itself and How a Republican Can Win @SteveHiltonx sits down with @chamath and @Jason to discuss: -- Taxes: No tax under $100K and a 7.5% flat rate -- Housing: Why CA homes cost 3x more to build -- Education: Why CA schools spend the most but get the least -- Social: Crime, homelessness, and corruption (0:00) Intro: Steve Hilton is a Republican Brit Running for CA Governor (8:34) Zero Tax Under $100K and a 7.5% Flat Rate: Is It Fiscally Possible? (27:52) Why CA Homes Cost 3x More to Build (Unions, CEQA, and Climate Dogma) (44:50) Why CA Schools Spend the Most but Get the Worst Results (50:02) Crime, Homelessness, and the Failure to Enforce Laws That Already Exist (1:01:34) Can a Republican Actually Win California?

@BaseballWRLD_ And really he only had one off seeson because of injury. If he pulls this off again, he could be considered one of the best ever (just not clutch)

Aaron Judge’s current 2026 season pace: 65 HR 27 SB 108 RBI .392 OBP .645 SLG 1.037 OPS 181 wRC+ 9.2 fWAR That would be Aaron Judge’s 4th best season out of his last 5.

@DavidDack I did all mine under 3:20 and only trained 6-8 hours a week

Can You Train for a 4-Hour Marathon on 6–10 Hours Per Week?

@ChrisChavez @CitiusMag If legal one of the greatest sports performances of all time. Non-runners will argue this but they don’t know how hard it is to hold that pace for that long

OMG. 🇰🇪 Sabastian Sawe becomes the first man ever to break 2 hours in a marathon (legal conditions) in 1:59:30 at the London Marathon! Yomif Kejelcha 🇪🇹 runs 1:59:41 in his DEBUT. Jacob Kiplimo 🇺🇬 takes third in 2:00:28 All under the previous WR.

@stevemagness @runningpodcast thoughts on “growing pains” in youth athletes. Real or perpetuated by coaches because they want an excuse for not adding or supplementing their training with proper a proper strength protocol?

@Stellaaa 🙋‍♂️🙋‍♂️🙋‍♂️🙋‍♂️🙋‍♂️

I want to follow every non-democrat in California. That’s it that’s the post.

@ianmSC Dumbest voter bases are in California, specifically LA All they do is complain and then keep voting in tue bozos who are responsible for their complaints

Never ever underestimate the ability of people in California and Los Angeles to make things much, much worse

@gnoble79 @chamath @DavidSacks

Last night was the biggest disaster in the history of Tesla. Let me walk you through what actually happened on that earnings call, because the headlines are doing you a disservice: Elon Musk got on the call and admitted (his words) that Hardware 3 "simply does not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD." He said he wished it were otherwise. He said the memory bandwidth is one-eighth of what Hardware 4 has. And that's the end of the conversation. Approximately 4 million Tesla vehicles on the road right now have Hardware 3. Many of those owners paid $8,000 to $15,000 for Full Self-Driving capability based on Musk's repeated promises (going back to 2016) that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. As recently as 2022, Musk was publicly assuring owners that HW3 had the processing power to get it done. BUT IT DIDN'T Those promises are now officially broken. The solution is a "discounted trade-in" toward a new car with Hardware 4. Not a refund or a free upgrade... A discount on buying ANOTHER Tesla. Investor Ross Gerber said it too - all HW3 owners got screwed, and with roughly 285,000 FSD purchasers affected, the potential liability runs into the BILLIONS. But that's not even the worst part. Musk was asked if the current FSD v14.3 was ready for unsupervised deployment. He said yes. Then immediately walked it back and admitted Tesla has "major architectural improvements" in the pipeline that would significantly improve safety. What he really means: the software isn't SAFE ENOUGH to deploy without a human watching. Full unsupervised FSD for consumer cars is pushed to Q4 2026. At the earliest... Maybe. How many times has this deadline been pushed? I've lost count. And trust me, I've seen a lot of broken promises. But this one takes the cake. Now let's talk about the numbers everyone is celebrating: Tesla reported $22.4 billion in revenue and $0.41 in non-GAAP earnings. A "double beat." The stock popped 4% after hours. Victory, right? WRONG Dig into the actual filing: The number one driver of operating income improvement wasn't cost reductions, wasn't volume growth, wasn't FSD revenue. It was - and Tesla listed this FIRST in their own shareholder letter - "one-time benefits related to warranty and tariffs." They released warranty reserves. They booked tariff refund windfalls. They stretched supplier payments by 10 days. They took on billions in new debt. Then they presented everything through non-GAAP metrics that strip out over $1 billion in stock-based compensation. GAAP net income was $477 million on $22.4 billion in revenue. That's a 2.1% net margin. On a $1.4 trillion market cap. Let me put that in perspective: 3.75 billion shares outstanding. Annualize the Q1 GAAP profit and you get roughly $1.9 billion. That's a trailing P/E ratio north of 700. Use the adjusted number - strip out stock comp, which is a REAL cost to shareholders through dilution - and you're still at around 250x earnings. All of this is extremely bad, but I didn't even talk about the CAPEX BOMB yet... 3 months ago, Tesla guided to "over $20 billion" in 2026 capital expenditure. Last night they raised it to over $25 billion. A $5 billion increase in a single quarter. That's 3x their historical annual capex run rate - $8.5 billion in 2025, $11.3 billion in 2024. The CFO confirmed on the call that Tesla expects NEGATIVE free cash flow for the rest of the year. So you have a company generating roughly $6 billion in annual free cash flow on a good year, and they're about to spend $25 billion. The math doesn't work. They will almost certainly need to issue equity. Which means dilution. Which means the $1.9 billion in annual earnings gets spread across even MORE shares. The core auto business is literally deteriorating in real time: Tesla delivered 358,000 vehicles in Q1 (missed estimates again). They produced 408,000. That's 50,000 cars sitting on lots that nobody bought. Inventory days jumped from 10 to 27 in just a few quarters. California (their most important US market) saw registrations crash 24% year over year. Their market share in the state fell from 9.2% to 7.7%. That's on top of a Q1 2025 that was ALREADY weak from Model Y retooling. They're declining off a decline. And here's what really kills the bull case... The entire valuation rests on robotaxis, Optimus robots, and autonomy. So let's put numbers on it: Waymo - the actual leader in autonomous driving with 15 million completed rides in 2025 alone, over 127 million autonomous miles driven, operating commercially across 6 US cities with plans to expand to 20 more - just raised $16 billion at a $126 billion valuation. That's the market's verdict on what the LEADING robotaxi company is worth. $126 billion. And Waymo is YEARS ahead of Tesla in actual deployment. Tesla has 3.75 billion shares outstanding. So even if you assign $126 billion in robotaxi value (giving Tesla full credit for matching Waymo despite being nowhere close) that's $33 a share. Add the auto business at generous auto-industry multiples, maybe $20 a share. Throw in energy storage and services, $10-15. Sum of the parts gets you to roughly $65-70 a share if you're feeling generous. Maybe $50 if you're not. The stock is $387. So what exactly are you paying for? You're paying for a STORY. You're paying for PROMISES that keep getting pushed back, technology that keeps falling short, and a business plan that requires spending $25 billion a year while the core product sells fewer units at declining margins in a market where California sales just fell 24% and the federal EV tax credit is gone. I managed the number one mutual fund in America. I founded two billion-dollar hedge funds. I've been doing this since 1981. And I am telling you: Tesla at $387 is one of the most egregious mispricings I have seen in my entire career. THE CRASH WILL BE EPIC

@teachthemx3 Sad but true these days

@BravoKiloActual Steyer sounded like a robotic politician that stumbled over his own written words. Worthless imbecile

California governor debate ranking: 1.) Steve Hilton. Obviously excellent on tv, very blunt. 2.) Chad Bianco: Gravitas as a sheriff. 3.) Xavier Becerra: Boring, loves illegal aliens. 4.) Katie Porter: Bland, irrelevant. 5.) Tom Steyer: Idiot. Total retard.

@KTLA Agree. Take away 5 of those candidates! 🤣🤣🤣

5 takeaways from the California governor debate: Candidates tackle the issues ktla.com/news/californi…

@ModestTeacher My lower level students do so much better with direct instruction and minimal distractions like edtech or group discussions.

You can teach nearly every high school subject effectively with a textbook and a chalkboard, and the only reason we don’t is because education companies figured out they could milk districts out of millions of dollars by convincing them otherwise.

@chamath Is it that the strong republicans don't want to admit they have issues and/or seek help?

🤔

@Polymarket where’s the bet that Bloods and Crips will have a treaty before US and Iran

@bengreenfield @davidsinclair Didn’t he make $100 million peddling the benefits of red wine. Now he thinks red wine is bad for health.

So...why does @davidsinclair still take NMN? I haven t talked with him lately, but I assume he believes the Slc12a8 data. And he does look pretty young. :)

David Sinclair is one of the smartest longevity researchers on the planet. I interviewed him here: bengreenfieldlife.com/podcast/ben-gr… and recently @tombilyeu released an interview with him here: youtube.com/watch?v=tMYoiH…... ...in which @davidsinclair says he takes 1g of NMN every morning. But some people say NMN can't even get into your cells (including a recent guest of mine Dr. Nichola Conlon - a soon be released podcast) So let's break down what's actually going on here. 🧵

Shabbat Shalom ❤️❤️❤️❤️