casual inference

Washington Post: the current Supreme Court is the "first since at least the 1950s to reject civil rights claims in a majority of cases involving women and minorities." Alright, the Trump era hasn't been completely bad. Civil rights law is part of the reason our politics is now so broken.

In a long ranting post earlier on TruthSocial, President Donald J. Trump launched a brutal attack against some of previous strongest supporters, including Conservative commentators Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones, who have recently begun to criticize Trump for the Iran War, Epstein Files, and other moves that they consider against his agenda of “MAGA” and “America First.” President Trump, in the post, call the above named commentators, “Low IQs…stupid people..NUT JOBS, TROUBLEMAKERS,” who he says have, “Third Rate Podcasts, but nobody's talking about them, and their views are the opposite of MAGA - Or I wouldn't have won the Presidential Election in a LANDSLIDE. MAGA agrees with me, and just gave CNN a 100% Approval Rating of "TRUMP," not Hand Flailing Fools like Tucker Carlson.”

A Trump insider opened a $51,000,000 oil short position — hours before Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran. This guy is now 16 for 16. $170 million in profit. A perfect streak. This is not a talented trader. "We placed the bet." "The ceasefire dropped." "We cashed out." Sixteen times in a row. That is not skill. That is not instinct. That is not research. That is someone who knows what is coming before it comes. Think about what that actually means. A private individual is placing a $51 million bet that oil prices are about to collapse — hours before a sitting president announces a ceasefire that collapses oil prices. Not once. Sixteen times. Zero losses. There are only two explanations and both should terrify you. Either someone inside the White House — or with direct access to it — is leaking ceasefire negotiations to traders before diplomats, before the press, before the American people hear a single word. That is insider trading. That is corruption. That is a federal crime. Or the timing of the announcement itself is being shaped around the trade. Which is worse. This is not a genius investor who reads the news faster than you do. The news hadn't happened yet. He wasn't reading the news. He was getting a phone call. While Americans were watching the ceasefire announcement and feeling relieved — somebody already knew. Somebody had already bet $51 million on it. And somebody was already counting their winnings. You are not watching a free market. You are watching a White House with a side hustle. Via~ Really American

According to CBS News, citing two U.S. officials, an American A-10C Warthog took fire and was severely damaged during a search-and-rescue mission for the crewmembers of an F-15E Strike Eagle that was downed earlier today over Iran. The A-10 pilot was able to make it out of Iranian Airspace and ejected over the Persian Gulf, being successfully recovered by the U.S. Air Force.

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