David Lundgren, CMT CFA

If you want to win a fishing derby...fish where the fish are! Click here to learn more and try a one month trial of our service: motrcmr.com #trendfollowing #momentuminvesting #bullmarket

@DavidCoxRJ @Fidelity You were there??? How did I miss you?? 🙄

i've heard about "The Chart Room" at @Fidelity for years and despite being someone who is always looking at charts(!) and an admittedly rushed view, it was a thrilling and satisfying experience!

My good friend and #FilltheGap podcast co-host @_TBone_Pickens kicking off the #CMTSpringSummit in Boston!

Since August 2025, our Swing Trading Portal has featured real ideas, real-time updates, and defined exits on profitable targets and stops. To date, the portal continues to show a positive edge using the core metric: (Win rate × Avg win) – (Loss rate × Avg loss). We think we are in a bubble and we're leaning into it for the time being, and are showing our readers how we are doing it. For a limited time, get access to these trade ideas plus our weekly research reports every Monday morning. 👉 Sign up and use code X20 for 20% off. motrcmr.com/quarterly-sign…

@DavidCoxRJ @JonWCanada I got it from my mentor in the early 90s, Joel Marver, at Technical Data! Many quarterly bars ago! 😁

@JonWCanada lol. yep, he does that claim that! though i need to say that @dlundgren3333 put me on'em!

Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD annual chart... really looks ominous you say? hmm...

@travelandpoints @StockMktTV Thank you for the feedback @travelandpoints ...much appreciated!

@dlundgren3333 @StockMktTV The conversation with JC was fantastic thank you David

Gearing up for another conversation about markets with my friends over at @StockMktTV this morning at 9:00 am ET: youtube.com/watch?v=0yXw0R…

🎅 New Post: Mo, Mo, Mo!! Merry Christmas!! 🎅 "The Santa Claus rally is underway, but Santa has decided this season to reward those who have been acting badly over the past few years, while punishing many of the best behaved." (motrcmr.com/chart/charting…)

We’ve been busy adding new swing trades to our Swing Trading Portal since August. The market’s still offering setups, but risk management remains the priority. Get alerts every time we post a new trade—start your free trial at motrcmr.com.

"As we move into the final month of 2025, we remain bullishly positioned inside leadership groups, yet we also maintain ample short exposure in laggards as market divergences widen. We cannot pinpoint when these longer-term divergences will finally matter, but we believe leadership will turn meaningfully more defensive before that occurs. For now, we stay long leaders and short laggards, ready adjust when the data tells us it is time." Visit (motrcmr.com/monthly-risk-g…) to read the full December Monthly Risk Gauge Update for free!

@TheFoundationAi Yeah, we're in an environment where you MUST keep an open mind. I am fortunate as a trend following investor, I do what Mr. Market says...right now that means I am as long as I am short in tactical portfolios and will stick to that until it clears up either way.

@dlundgren3333 Been calling this out too which is why positioning has been greatly reduced until "shown"

Still "hanging out in Missouri, the 'Show Me' state"...even more divergences despite the S&P 'new high' shell game. Not talking about tactical, talking about big picture structure...am I wrong? 👇👇👇

@TheIrrationalEM @StockMktTV thank you @TheIrrationalEM, @JC_ParetsX knows his stuff, so always a great conversation!

@dlundgren3333 @StockMktTV Great insight, learnt so much!

@hellahungry78 @StockMktTV @JC_ParetsX Very kind of you to say @hellahungry78, I always enjoy my conversation with the man, @JC_ParetsX.

@dlundgren3333 @StockMktTV My new favourite guest. @JC_ParetsX have this man on more please 💪🏼

@WebbWolverine15 @StockMktTV Thank you, Ben!

@dlundgren3333 @StockMktTV great conversation!

Fresh off the press: "I'm Not Quite Dead, Sir!" motrcmr.com

@steve_sgarm @barronsonline did a wonderful job encapsulating our discussion about meme stocks, and didn't even edit out my profanity! 👇👇👇 Should Regular Investors Play Meme Stocks? Investment Pros Weigh In. barrons.com/advisor/articl… via @BarronsOnline

In June’s Monthly video, we talked about how the tactical trend is in a balancing act; trying to repair the longer-term structure that broke earlier this year. The question now: Can the short-term do enough repair work before the next tactical correction? ▶️ youtube.com/watch?v=i20V8C…

Today’s market reminds us of many past tops going back to the 1970's: all-time highs with narrowing breadth and little repair underneath. Although we are fully invested, until participation broadens, we’re staying cautious with some short exposure. We broke down each market top here: youtu.be/1m_PAM1GiUA

The historic correlation between the dollar and equities is mixed, making it tough to predict how stocks might react if the dollar begins a mean reversion rally back to the 102–105 range. But here’s what we do know: The dollar is back at its long-term monthly trendline from the GFC, which held in both 2014 and 2021. Adding to this, support from a projected channel line intersects at the same level. Finally, as was the case in prior corrections, the decline from “C to D” equals the decline from “A to B”. This confluence of support suggests the dollar should bounce. We're buyers here, watching closely to see how equities react if this anticipated dollar rally unfolds. What do you think, will the dollar respect its trendline again, or is a new downtrend brewing?