Embaud

417 posts

Embaud

Embaud

@embgaspbaud

Katılım Nisan 2025
120 Takip Edilen61 Takipçiler
Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@KookCapitalLLC @HYPEconomist A very honest question: would you sell Sol/Sui/ a few memes at big loss (bought near atm, lesson learned on liquidity exit) and port the proceeds to hype or wait for the next bull run to recover? —> = who has more upside % potential?
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kook 🏝️
kook 🏝️@KookCapitalLLC·
@HYPEconomist for some reason everyone in crypto wants to chase a beta instead of buying the obvious winner btc is the best example hype is the second best example
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HYPEconomist | Theo Arc
HYPEconomist | Theo Arc@HYPEconomist·
i see a lot of people saying they don’t wanna buy hyperliquid:native because it’s already so big and the upside is capped these are the same people who said the exact same thing about $BTC at $4,000 we’ve never seen hyperliquid go through a euphoria-driven bull run
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SuspendedCap
SuspendedCap@ContrarianCurse·
*BLOOM ENERGY 1Q REV. $751.1M, EST. $535.3M *BLOOM ENERGY SEES FY ADJ GROSS MARGIN ABOUT 34%, SAW ABOUT 32% Explosive growth, low capital needed for capacity, AND margins? My my my this is going to be a massive fucking company
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rubicon59
rubicon59@rubicon59·
$BE out with great results. But the valuation is silly, and there is still no real earnings 🤷‍♂️
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
Yes but find it a small retate compared to what we are seeing on speculative no-revenue names in semis or photonics. When a company that is proving to deliver and is becoming the defacto power peovider for DCs brings a deal that is bigger than everything they have sold so far I would expect much more….time will tell but for me it is still massively under-priced
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Paradis Labs
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs·
@embgaspbaud They already re-rated ahead of earnings off the back of the news a couple weeks ago
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Paradis Labs
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs·
I usually front-run Earnings for specific companies. By placing trades during Earnings szn. (Don't advise this for most of Retail). $BE was one example from earlier today: - $ORCL agreement dropped 2 wks ago - up to 2.8 gw total. A deal bigger than most of $BE's prior annual shipments combined - Pre-Earnings, consensus was still pricing in only ~$500-540M rev + $0.09-0.13 EPS (mid-50s % growth) - But...the product backlog had hit a record ~$6B entering 2026, total pipeline ~$20B, and the $ORCL ramp was going to pull massive Q1 product revenue forward Plus: - Q1 is usually their weakest Q. So any strength in this Earnings would force a re-rate. So it was a pretty easy trade to make imo: - huge $ORCL contract + visible backlog conversion + hyperscaler tailwinds; all hitting at the right time pre-Earnings - also, defo could've entered off the back of the $ORCL news initially (would've had a much better cost basis), but didn't really have $BE as a high priority buy back then Note - this is my first ever $BE entry, and I plan to hold + potentially scale up slowly over time.
Paradis Labs tweet media
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@ContrarianCurse It’s so big that one wonders if BE can deliver. 1GW= 1 nuclear reactor. It is estimated that it will require 7300 BE boxes more than their total ib. stock should be through the roof
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@fundmyfund Wasn’t this necessary after such a run? And won’t the market be like this onwards: run up and big pull back on some negative rumors? ….it’s still a hated rally
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
If I was a bull in this bull market I want to see a healthy 3 or 4 step forward and 1 step backward. A kinda zig zag way up and to the right building solid bases and foundation at each incremental levels. Right now we are seeing a 10 step forward no step backward in the semis space. Well at least as of yesterday.
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Investor in chaos and shortages
@embgaspbaud @damnang2 $POET likely spent the weekend trying to salvage the $MRVL deal. When that didn’t happen, they disclosed the loss Monday—nothing unusual there. If the $poet tech is real, $MRVL could still return—possibly on better terms and use the NDA breach as leverage.
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Damnang2
Damnang2@damnang2·
3:23 PM, analyzing with optics industry insiders whether it makes sense to re enter $POET.
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@jaysyoon Yup. Lots of learning with Poet…. AAOI will be choppy but it’s probably way much safer than Poet. Real business, structural deficit for inp lasers, large orders…but let’s stay vigilant on execution
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Jay Yoon
Jay Yoon@jaysyoon·
The $POET debacle is exactly the reason why I have sized $AAOI much smaller than my $LITE position. Execution is what ultimately matters, and AAOI has a history of piss poor execution. They seem to have somewhat gotten their sh*t together, so I think the risk/reward is worth it. But would not be surprised if this ends up being a disaster as well.
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@Craaazy1231 @POETtech Cut your losses or be ready for a very very long recovery. It’s not about the tech anymore, it’s management malpractice bringing trust to 0. Having the (suposedly) best tech is not enough
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Crazy
Crazy@Craaazy1231·
I’m sorry for every $POET investor. I’m heavily in Poet myself with more than 4.000 shares, and nobody saw this coming. Even I was so bullish, I believed this could hit at least $30 EOY. I still haven’t sold yet, until a statement from @POETtech themselves. I hope everyone makes back their money.
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
If Sk and the 2 others start going into heavy capex cycle then indeed memory will stay cyclical and rated like that. Seems like they don’t learn. 3 companies that could cleverly decide to keep price power and go into dividends and buybacks with minimal reinvestments to keep their moat and control….I hope they don’t or else this trade will end abruptly i. The next 12 monthes
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@FeroceResearch It’s sad but probably true; 9bn of zombies doomscrolling until they die for good….no ceiling
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Feroce Research
Feroce Research@FeroceResearch·
$META is the most misunderstood mag 7 company, while also having the highest ceiling potential as it is reshaping itself with Agentic and AI as a whole The perfect combo when it comes to upside eruptions in share price
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@kevinxu It’s pathetic to try to get attention with such idiotic posts. Blocked, you are garbage
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Kevin Xu
Kevin Xu@kevinxu·
too rich to feel broke too poor to feel free net worth: $10,698,729.17
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@AndreasSteno If one hyperscaler cut on capex it’s everything that goes down; semis, power, metals, chemicals….let’s be honest without the hyperscalers + AI model cos capex spend there is basically nothing sustaining this market. fingers crossed.
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Andreas Steno Larsen
Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno·
I think the Semiconductor trade remains a hold/buy until just ONE of the hyperscalers throws in the towell on CapEx growth. Then the trade is over.
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@Chartradamus @mopslots 100%. Means tech moat wasn’t so big if they can cancel and replace. But anyway trust is gone for a looooong while. Exited today, still positive.
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Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
@mopslots Agreed. Sure it can form a higher low here in the $7s even now as a last resort, but after a breach of a NDA, I doubt any big fish will order from them moving forward. If Marvell cancelled so easily, it must mean there are other companies that offer equivalently strong services.
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Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
$POET Another speculative with great potential gone to waste secondary to a management getting ahead of themselves and reeling retail into a trap. Guess there was a reason they were “waiting to hear back” from Foxconn and Luxshare for so long. Marvell cut the orders. A lesson in never over-concentrating yourself on a speculative with a strong technical setup and theme. Management, execution, and fundamentals come first. Never trust $POET again. Stay away. I fortunately took profit on the position last week, but now I am pissed I don’t actively share every buy/sell signal as it would have potentially saved a few from the pain this morning.
GIF
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@FinnStockinger If Marvel can dismiss them so fast it could be that the tech moat wasn’t so strong. And if Poet tech could have been a real big threat it was probably a relatively easy acquisition for Marvel?
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Finn Stockinger
Finn Stockinger@FinnStockinger·
$POET down nearly 50% - Sell or Not to Sell? A crash this sudden is rare. What actually happened? Reports are surfacing that $MRVL canceled all $POET orders originally placed via Celestial AI. ➡️The stated reason: NDA breach. Last week, POET’s CFO confirmed the Marvell collaboration in a Stocktwits interview. If he disclosed confidential info knowing an NDA was in place, it’s a massive blunder. But here’s the thing: Did we actually learn anything new from that interview? Thomas Mika basically confirmed what the market already suspected and what was already sitting in the 20F filings. Did that really "hurt" Marvell enough to kill the orders? The whole situation feels off. I’m not seeing major formal notifications of an NDA breach yet. Until we get official PR, we’re just guessing. But when a company has a history that isn't exactly "crystal clear" and its valuation is based purely on future partnerships, this is what happens when bad news hits. ➡️Can this bury $POET? It’s definitely not good. When you only have a few Tier-1 players as potential customers, losing one significantly weakens your leverage with the others. ➡️Then there's the "stink": The technology is exactly the same as it was 2 days ago. The product didn't change. But the company’s credibility did. Future contractors will now demand better terms because they know POET is backed into a corner. ➡️Why did Marvell pull the plug now? They didn’t have to cancel; they wanted to. In business, an NDA breach is often just a convenient exit. Marvell has been hiring for roles that suggest they want to build this internally (vertical integration). They might simply want to own the space rather than depend on POET. ➡️ If they see POET as a threat they need to build against, that’s actually a backhanded compliment to the tech. ⬇️ My move: I haven’t sold a single share, but I’m not buying yet either. I’m waiting for official communications. This isn't a great spot for any investor to be in, and everyone has to make their own call. You couldn't have predicted this one.
Finn Stockinger tweet media
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Embaud
Embaud@embgaspbaud·
@ParadisLabs The real strange thing is how fast Marvel cut on a supposedly breakthrough tech? They obviously have an alternative plan…
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Paradis Labs
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs·
Bloody hell. $POET down >30% - $MRVL canceled all orders for Celestial. Due to confidentiality breaches by $POET. RIP. (I have a position lol)
Paradis Labs tweet media
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