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MO
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MO
@embrron
building continuous prediction markets @dekantfi | member @SuperteamAE
Hacker House Katılım Temmuz 2025
397 Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
It was never just about being right.
It was about how sure you were, and whether the market could reflect that.
People don’t think in yes/no, they think in ranges, with probability attached to them
The real unlock is turning that belief into a trade!
Imran@lmrankhan
A lot of founders are applying token trading infra assumptions onto prediction markets, but think that’s largely skeuomorphic thinking. Prediction markets are a different behavioral and liquidity primitive, meaning new product and user interaction models can emerge beyond just traditional exchange UX, margin, lending etc Don’t think opportunity is rebuilding another exchange stack some may work, but discovering experiences native to prediction markets is likely the larger opportunity. A few founders in our current batch are starting to uncover and build for that assumption
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Launching bkknomad.com later this week to solve this 👍
Some 24/7 spots I like:
Le Cafe Phenix, Ekkamai - comfortable, hotspot preferred, areas with outlets labeled
Starbucks, Ekkamai - Next to Big C, sbux is always a good back pocket option
ITAEWON, Ekkamai - Least aesthetic but I've had many late night sessions h re
Also, the Oasis Coffee locations are all 24/7
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.@SolanaThailang what's a nice coffee shop open late for a nice work session?
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MO retweetledi
most people still see prediction markets as apps. I see a design space.
this is what the space looks like when you zoom out one layer deeper, into the mechanisms and concepts underneath the products.
that’s where you realize the category is much bigger than it looks.
MO@embrron
.@solana is quietly becoming the home for new market primitives. My dashboard shows more builders exploring this category on Solana than anywhere else, while the market still barely pays attention (even @toly doing d2d phoenix). The opportunity is obvious if you look closely.
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@lmrankhan take a look at this data:
MO@embrron
most people still see prediction markets as apps. I see a design space. this is what the space looks like when you zoom out one layer deeper, into the mechanisms and concepts underneath the products. that’s where you realize the category is much bigger than it looks.
English
A lot of founders are applying token trading infra assumptions onto prediction markets, but think that’s largely skeuomorphic thinking.
Prediction markets are a different behavioral and liquidity primitive, meaning new product and user interaction models can emerge beyond just traditional exchange UX, margin, lending etc
Don’t think opportunity is rebuilding another exchange stack some may work, but discovering experiences native to prediction markets is likely the larger opportunity. A few founders in our current batch are starting to uncover and build for that assumption
English
@embrron You could include *growth engine to the mix, especially when considering categorical/multiple choice markets.
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Excited to finally launch! Go try out the platform :)
If you're a market maker interested in quoting RFQs, my dms are open
Y Combinator@ycombinator
Totalis (@totalistrading) lets users parlay on anything. Combine multiple event markets into one trade across politics, crypto, stocks, sports, weather, and macro. Starting with parlays, expanding into structured products. Congrats on the launch, @ImTheBigP & @ericliujt! ycombinator.com/launches/QUr-t…
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i think it's so important now that teams have a good video explainer about what they're doing. that's driving my efforts to find a way to give every team on solana a spotlight and a fighting chance at getting attention from potential investors, customers, and partners
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@BAmelewa33960 We’re still extremely early, but once the new projects building market primitives on top of the PM thesis start getting real attention, everything is going to move exponentially fast
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@embrron You are doing a massive public service. Enjoyed our conversation and look forward to many more with the rest of the brain trust
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@paradigm huge amount of these mechanisms trace back to @paradigm papers.
s/o to @_Dave__White_ for writing absolute bangers.
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Been watching the growth of @Solana_TH this year
The Thai community feels like it’s getting stronger every time I check in
Crypto adoption in Thailand is much bigger than most people realize and it's only growing
Will connect with the community IRL later this year in BKK
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