Nick

Buckle up. Fourth Turning theory sees history as 80–100 year cycles. Each ends in crisis: old institutions collapse as shared values fracture, and new ones are born. Who is going to win this one?

@AutismCapital Pay back from Iran?

Another one bites the dust. What the heck is going on?

@alwaysbe4444 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Thucydides's Trap would say 75% chance, that's 500 years of History

@findnick1 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Stop falling for all of that neocon Zio slop, buddy. Read alternative non western news outlets and study your history more. Sovereign country has every right to conduct business with who they want. It’s called free trade.

The ceasefire isn’t “breaking down" It’s doing exactly what zero-sum conflicts do: revealing the next phase of war What happens in the next 72 hours won’t be random. It will follow a pattern Here’s the framework almost no one is using

@alwaysbe4444 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape China's military buildup, 9 dash line, artificial islands, Taiwan ADIZ incursions, ramped-up aircraft and ship activity, funding Iranian oil, no limits pact with Russia before war, and Iranian proxies destabilizing the Middle East not connected to challenging U.S. dominance?

@findnick1 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Hormuz was open before Iran was attacked twice. If you stop attacking it will reopen. Why would China invade Taiwan? Too much right wing media for you. US hubris will cause its own collapse, when it does will lead to vassal states reuniting w their adversaries.

@alwaysbe4444 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Doesn't fix the geo political though does it? USA can only fight 1 war at a time, If China invades Taiwan and Iran shuts Hormuz?

@findnick1 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Vietnam 2.0? Remove sanctions and let Iran sell oil to anyone in USD to preserve petrodollar. Win win. Carrot better than the stick.

@mondoggg They don't understand you can love everyone yet, don't worry it will come, my Son is 8 now and it has changed. ( I spent a lot of time with my son)

My son told my wife today that he doesn’t love me because I don’t spend as much time with him as she does. I’m the sole income earner in our family of four and try to never work between 5pm and his bed time, and walk him to school every morning. What’s even the point of working this hard if your kids don’t even like you.

@alwaysbe4444 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Ground invasion then?

@findnick1 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Lot less than Gulf States as UAE already looking for a US bailout. Which side will blink first when global economy collapses?

@alwaysbe4444 @BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape How much of their income goes through Hormuz?

@BrianRo88242805 @ProfessorPape Country that endured decades of sanctions vs country that can’t handle -10% stock market correction. You have no idea what existential means.

@davthewave That's crazy, she even apologies for the joke.

Handcuffed, hauled before a court, and humiliated for making a joke about Netanyahu online... What the hell.

@TLBasti0n @TheOmniLiberal take God out of it and ask whether to choose a battle-hardened set of ideas with 2,000 years of real world practice that helped create a world of plenty, or one based on “do no harm” that sterilized kids and will destroy its civilization through low birth rates, its easy to pick.

This all boils down to what people consider morality to be. For christians, morality stems from god, meaning there are no actual principles behind it. If god told a christian to kill thier child, it would become the moral thing to do. That is definitionally moral relativism. If you believe morality is a human created system that attempts to spread the most good to the most amount of people, then you can believe in moral objectivity without knowing for sure what that objective morality looks like.

People can occupy a ton of different positions whether or not they believe in moral facts. It's the laziest, most 20 IQ high school Christian take to go "oh, this guy doesn't believe in moral facts, therefor everything is arbitrary and trivial and they can believe in anything!!!"

@KaeleyT @Gabriel64609762 "Have"

@Gabriel64609762 The context is absurd. Women have sacrificed tremendously to keep civilization afloat. Do you have any concept of how many women have died in childbirth? Be serious.

Feminism usually gets blamed for devaluing motherhood and stay-at-home-moms. But NO ONE is more disrespectful of stay-at-home motherhood than rightwing patriarchy bros. It’s almost like they just don’t want women to be able to win. Work outside the home, and you’re a feminist shill. Stay home with your kids, and you’re a privileged non-contributing freeloader. They don’t want you to vote because you can’t be drafted in the military, but if you join the Army of your own volition, they’ll accuse you of trying to be a man and make it crystal clear you’re not welcome there either. These guys need Jesus.

@Wilberforce61 @mandyarthur I don't think they know anything about rising girls as they aren't one, pretty simple isn't it? I don't agree with it but can see the logic.

@mandyarthur I think there’s probably a preference for men in general to have sons rather than daughters. A lot of men want a child the can relate to & do ‘boy stuff’ with like fishing, sports, hunting etc…

Why do gay men choose to adopt boys over girls at a 350% higher rate?

@ThePosieParker @doukhobour @KonstantinKisin Yes how is he wrong?

@doukhobour @KonstantinKisin I don't particularly like the guy, he's an arse. But that doesn't change the merit of his argument. I think he's wrong.

Chefs kiss to @KonstantinKisin for retaining his cool and staying focused.

@Rach4Patriarchy @robert_meece @jakerattlesnk Most people at war want to be back home with their Families raising kids, that sounds like heaven compared to war.

@robert_meece @jakerattlesnk There is literally no one who would choose potentially dying in a war over raising a family. Sure it’s tough, but there’s so much reward in it that most of us who have one have another one or several more. They’re not even comparable it. It’s a category error.

Andrew Wilson vs Konstantin Kisin on female suffrage

@davthewave Like when the pope call the Magna Carta unjust and illegal?

Hard to argue with this. Whatever your theological persuasion is, or lack of it, the pope is a moral force in the world where others are collapsing.

@xCameronAce I agree but where is the growth going to come from? Not Dairy

I’m an Aucklander grinding it out in this job market right now. Unemployment sits at 5.4% nationally — highest since 2015 — and it’s worse here in Auckland. Per capita GDP has been flat or falling for years. The China FTA delivered big export numbers but zero real lift in living standards for ordinary Kiwis. Now the India FTA is being signed this week with new dedicated Indian work visas — while locals like me can’t even get an interview for basic roles. I’ve seen these so-called “skilled” visas used for supermarket and gas station jobs that regular Kiwis are applying for and getting knocked back on. Something is seriously wrong here. Society has changed dramatically, and this level of change was never something the country agreed to. Screaming “racism” every time someone raises these legitimate economic concerns is a lazy, dishonest deflection. I’m worried about the future for my son and for all our kids. We cannot keep using migration as a GDP bandaid while Auckland strains and Kiwis get sidelined. Demand full transparency on the exact visa rules, labour market impact modelling, and infrastructure assessment before any ratification. Prioritise Kiwis first: invest in local training, and deliver real productivity growth. #NZIndiaFTA @winstonpeters @nzfirst @chrisluxonmp @nznational @ToddMcClayMP @henrycooke @EricaStanfordMP @coughlthom

@PeterSchiff @SUDHIRT64354301 Thats easy, If the markets go down and oil goes up his negotiating positions is weaker.

@SUDHIRT64354301 What's your explanation?

The most likely explanation for Trump's Truth Social lies about Iran on Friday, is market manipulation. If so, Trump insiders must have made billions. The next likely possibility is that Trump is either delusional, incompetent, or a combination of both. Either way it's not good.

@davthewave Why no complaints about China Dave? Dictatorship ✅️Slaves and Organ harvesting ✅️ taking territory✅️ 99% conviction rate✅️ executed 1000s of people per year✅️ and you want them to be the biggest hegomon?

There is only one explanation for the failure of US politicians, on both sides of the aisle, to condemn years of Israeli atrocities... they have been bought.😒 And everyone knows it. This failure is leading to the failure of American democracy itself, which can only function on the appearance of justice being done. Unless you stand up against a totalitarian society, you will become one yourself. There is no choice.

@PedagogyMaxima @KurtMichelsen @ajthompson13 @shitwiper No taxes are the leaver as they get spent inefficiently. Do you get paid by the public sector Pmax?

@KurtMichelsen @ajthompson13 @shitwiper Why did you pivot to a wealth tax, I talked about untaxed income ie estates or capital gains, taxes that are extremely common and proven. Why do you want people to pay tax on money they've earned and give unearned incomes a free pass?

Labour considering 6 new taxes, describing them as “really good suggestions”. - Taxing income over $150,000 a year at 50 per cent - a more comprehensive capital gains tax - an inheritance tax - a wealth tax - windfall profit taxes - higher trust taxes

For anyone who used a computer between 1990 & 2005… what’s the one game you still think about?

@AutismCapital Iv never forgotten that fight scene.

When Final Fantasy VIII came out (1999 surprise surprise!) it was the first time anyone had ever seen graphics like this. It was also the first time the musical director Nobuo Uematsu used a full orchestra choir in a FF game. It literally onehsotted everyone. Minds were blown.