DHG

@RickLiebling @Kulambq Bitches Brew is on there.

@Kulambq Not one Miles?

Jazz aficionados and connoisseurs, what is your view of Piero Scaruffi's list of the 20 greatest jazz albums? I should say that my posting of this list does not imply my agreement with it. I say this because last time I posted something by him it caused an internet storm.

@mdubowitz You forgot about this, Mark.

President Trump is negotiating with Iran from a position of leverage that no American president has ever held. The U.S. and Israel have shattered the regime’s enrichment capabilities, destroyed key nuclear weapons facilities, decimated its defense industrial base, killed an experienced generation of senior military commanders, intelligence chiefs, and nuclear weapons scientists, and severely degraded its medium-range and intercontinental ballistic missile programs and capabilities that were on a deadly trajectory. The regime’s terror proxy network has been mauled across the region. Its economy is collapsing under the weight of war, sanctions, corruption, and isolation. With that kind of leverage, Trump has a real opportunity to secure a strong deal — one that dismantles Iran’s pathways to the bomb rather than temporarily managing them and constrains the regime’s ability to reconstitute its defense and missile programs. Then he needs to pivot to maximum support for the Iranian people to help them reclaim their country from a failed, bankrupt, brutal regime.

@cremieuxrecueil @davereaboi What if English isn’t your native language?

I do not think there is *any* evidence that AI helps people with difficulties expressing themselves to get their otherwise good ideas out there I do not think there will *ever* be any evidence that's the case, because it's not true. People who can't write aren't having big ideas

@Truth_n_Respect Do you have enough “culture” to even be able to read Chinese or Japanese? I thought so. You’re just the latest poster child of the Dunning Kruger Effect. Look it up.

China is a beautiful country with wonderful people. Spent 35 days there and did not encounter one single Karen or miserable f*cks like the Japanese. China the original - Japan the half azz copy. Settle for Japan if you're uncultured.

Bingo.

@DustinMulvaney It always makes me feel … at home. Our distant ancestral home probably looked something like that.

Coast redwood forest canopy.

@DAVIDHALBRIGHT1 @mdubowitz David, maybe ask yourself how the Iranian regime will feel after this MOU is signed? Will they feel almost defeated, or will they triumphant? I’m going with the latter.

You are unlikely to win any arguments by quoting US intelligence assessments about Iran’s nuclear weapons program, which are fundamentally based on a deeply flawed 2007 NIE. I would suggest you read our work, since you think it is limited to satellite imagery analysis or facilities from twenty years ago. I interact with a host of intelligence agencies and debate with them. I learned long ago not to quote any one of them blindly. The point is that Iran’s nuclear weapons after 2003 was a preparatory program, as, for example, evidenced in the first half of 2025 of Iran turning most of its 20% enriched uranium into 60 percent and accelerated nuclear weapons work. The latter was acknowledged by the IC, but the rush to make 60% could not even be combined into the official, unclassified IC assessment, except as a parallel concern. Yet, it is at the heart of Iran’s nuclear weapon program, to shrink timeframes and be ready. The flaw in your view is that you are looking for a traditional nuclear weapons program, not the one Iran pursued since 2003. This is also the mistake in the NIE, to treat Iran’s nuclear weapons program like a light switch. By the way, since you quote US IC assessments so freely, you must know that German, British, and I think French intelligence dissented with the US on the 2007 NIE that Iran’s nuclear weapons program ended in 2003. Prior to June 2025, Iran was able to build a nuclear weapon within months, if a decision was given to do so. The crash nuclear weapons pathway was increasingly seen as the more threatening and likely one as tensions worsened. Moreover, it was getting more difficult to tell whether Iran was just further shortening timeframes or had decided to build one. And your crack is silly about the sites we monitor being related to a future effort rather than what they are, namely part of assessing damage to the existing nuclear weapons program. You should try it sometime rather than constructing a false narrative about the status of Iran’s nuclear weapons program prior to the war.

@LUCIFERVALE @rich_goldberg 1) Iran closing the Strait of Harmuz 2) Iran lobbing missiles and drones at the Gulf States 3) No regime change or even disorder That’s what happened. Our war planning group screwed up big time.

@rich_goldberg We were naturally betting that 2 of the most powerful air forces in the world would give the opportunity to Trump no to even have to negotiate anything with terrorists. That they would surrender after the attacks. Instead Iran is now dictating the rules. What happened ?

A few general comments watching the analysis of a deal no one has seen. First, comparisons to the JCPOA are fundamentally wrong because of the state of Iran’s nuclear and missile programs after both Midnight Hammer and Epic Fury. We are in a very different reality today.

The Middle East is where US Presidents go to end their term and their party’s term. Strange how they never learn. 🤷 • Carter: Camp David win, but Iran hostage crisis sank his re-election. • Bush 43: Iraq invasion & endless occupation fueled war fatigue and GOP losses. • Obama: Libya intervention, red-line Syria failure, ISIS rise after Iraq pullout. • Biden: Chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal & Israel-Hamas fallout damaged Democrats. Even so called “successes” (Gulf War, Abraham Accords) rarely save the party at home. The region chews up political capital faster than any other.

@DanLinnaeus @lauferlaw Will there be anyone credibly claiming that this was a defeat for the Iranian regime?

Arab and Iranian sources are only too happy to frame it as US surrender, and the tragicomic horseshoe here is that the Iran hawks are only too willing to pick it up and run with it out frustration.

@JacobALinker @SpencerGuard Right. Nothing for two days from Iran Hawk @rich_goldberg. His last tweet derided "panicans" for losing faith in Trump.

@SpencerGuard That all the think tinkers, ex-officeholder, and commentators who presumably have friends in the administration are either silent or freaking out is a dark sign.

First reports are always wrong. Have patience for official reports. Have precision in repeating what is known, verified, vs assumed/speculated.

@thomasjuneau There you go. And Israel has lost more than both.

We don't know the details of the US-Iran deal yet (or even if there will be a deal). What is clear to me is that both sides have suffered losses from this war, but that the US has lost more than Iran.

@ClearReason @tedcruz "The Regime is fragmented and on its heels." You should consider the possibility that it's simply not true, and the opposite has happened - the military attacks caused various factions in the regime to rally together against "the common enemy." And they think they're winning.

@tedcruz We simply cannot kick the can down the road any more. The Regime is fragmented and on its heels. To throw it a lifeline now would be a grave mistake.

I am deeply concerned about what we are hearing about an Iran “deal,” being pushed by some voices in the administration. President Trump’s decision to strike Iran was the most consequential decision of his second term. He was right to do so, and we achieved extraordinary military results—including destroying all of their missiles & drones and sinking their entire navy. If the result of all that is to be an Iranian regime—still run by Islamists who chant “death to America”—now receiving billions of dollars, being able to enrich uranium & develop nuclear weapons, and having effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, then that outcome would be a disastrous mistake. The details are still coming out—and I pray the early reports are wrong—but the fact that Biden’s Rob Malley is praising the deal is not encouraging. President Trump believes in peace through strength, and his strong leadership has already made America much safer. He should continue to hold the line, defend America & enforce the red lines he has repeatedly drawn.

@afshineemrani I’d never recommend any medical doctor who views Trump as a gift from God. Shows a serious lack of judgment, an inability to diagnose objectively.

I'm reading so much BS now. Nothing accomplished by Trump. Obama 2.0. You guys are children. One day praising Trump, next calling him names. Trump destroyed IRGC military, airforce, navy, top leaders, most nukes. After GOP gets Midterms, he will be back to finish IRGC. Regime Change Iran 2017. Stop throwing tantrums. Grow up. Trust God's gift @POTUS @realDonaldTrump

@Laxman35895072 @rich_goldberg Certainly looks like it. @rich_goldberg has been radio silent for the past two days. He’s sensing that maybe the “panicans” were right about Trump, and he’s finding it hard to say anything right now.

@rich_goldberg TACO

Trust in the President. No bad deals with jihadists who want to destroy America. Meet the red lines or begin Epic Passage. These are binary questions - the uranium comes out or it doesn't, underground sites are dismantled or they aren't, etc. No appeasement. No panicans.

@realDougStewart @citrinowicz If it were truly weakened, it wouldn’t be taking such a hard position in the negotiations. Trump had us believe that Iran would be forced to accept our terms for peace. Now it looks like we’ll be accepting their terms. And the regime will claim victory.

@citrinowicz I’m sorry, do you believe the regime hasn’t been weakened?

It’s hard to overstate how deeply Netanyahu views this moment as a possible personal and political defeat. A U.S.–Iran agreement under Trump would be a major blow to him mainly diplomatically, but above all politically. For years, Netanyahu built his political identity around being “Mr. Iran,” the leader who insisted that only pressure, deterrence, and force could stop the Iranian regime. And now, after multiple rounds of operational successes but one resounding strategic failure, and after finally succeeding in drawing the United States into direct confrontation with Iran, he may be forced to accept an agreement that not only legitimizes the very regime he sought to weaken, but also exposes the collapse of his long-standing Iran doctrine. His approach was based on the belief that more pressure, more military power, and tighter coordination between Israel and the United States would eventually either force Iran into submission or destabilize the regime itself. Instead, the result has been a more radicalized, more resilient, and more dangerous Iran, one that even Washington now hesitates to confront militarily again. If this confrontation ends with an agreement, an even bigger strategic question emerges: what future American president would be willing to commit U.S. forces to another major Middle Eastern conflict after seeing the political and military costs of this one? Netanyahu had what may have been his greatest opportunity to prove his central strategic theory: that a close Israeli-American military partnership could fundamentally reshape Iran and perhaps even threaten the regime’s survival. By every indication, that assumption failed. Against this backdrop, reports of a tense conversation between Trump and Netanyahu become much easier to understand. They also help explain the extraordinary level of pressure now coming from Jerusalem, and the extent to which Netanyahu is trying to persuade, or pressure, the administration not to move toward a deal with Tehran. The bottom line is that a U.S.–Iran agreement would not only signal the failure of the military confrontation Netanyahu pushed for, but also the collapse of the broader strategic doctrine he has championed since entering Israeli politics, all on the eve of what could be the most critical election of his career. In that sense, the next Israel’s leadership need to learn the fundamental lessons of this war. More than ever, this conflict demonstrates the urgent need for Israel to develop a different long-term strategy for dealing with Iran and especially to understand the following: Israel’s confrontation with Iran will not bring normalization with the Arab world, nor will it resolve Israel’s most fundamental security challenges, first and foremost, the Palestinian issue. The belief that regime change in Iran would transform Israel’s position in the Middle East was always detached from reality. In fact, the consistent opposition of Gulf leaders and major Arab states to further escalation against Iran has demonstrated this repeatedly throughout the conflict. Israel will not be able to use the “Iran card” as a substitute for addressing the core political issues shaping the region. Anyone arguing that military confrontation with Iran alone can unlock normalization is mistaken and, more importantly, misleading others about the strategic reality of the Middle East. Because despite the undeniable tactical and operational achievements of the campaign, this failure may ultimately leave Israel facing a more dangerous strategic reality, one that has not fundamentally improved its position in the Middle East. #IranWar‌

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine just turned weather into a weapon. A weather balloon drifts 26 miles into Russian airspace, reaches 5 miles altitude, then releases an American Hornet kamikaze drone with 95% of its battery still intact and a strike range extended to roughly 75 miles. No radar signature, no engine noise, just the wind quietly doing all the work. The part that stings most for Russia: they can't copy it. The prevailing winds in the region blow toward Russia, not away from it. Ukraine's geographic position turns a basic meteorological fact into a permanent tactical advantage. Physics picked a side. Source: @NotWhatYouThink

@JojojoMarianne @Maximus0314 @DHSgov I think it does apply. If his wife hasn’t gotten her green card yet, then she should go back to her home country and await processing rather than continue living in the US. That’s the language of the policy. Being married now does not change her immigration status.

@Maximus0314 @DHSgov I don’t think that applies to your situation. She came here on a fiancée visa and you got married. Don’t jump on this and ignore the trolls.

An alien who is in the U.S. temporarily and wants a Green Card must return to their home country to apply. This policy allows our immigration system to function as the law intended instead of incentivizing loopholes. The era of abusing our nation’s immigration system is over.

@TraceyRyniec @AKDay89 Another 30 day ceasefire after an MOU is always possible, kicking the nuclear issue down the road. But as long as the regimes in Iran (and Israel) are in place, there will not be an enduring peace, imho.

@gedawei @AKDay89 Then I guess the ceasefire will not hold and war will resume.

I've generally been the "We're going to attack Iran" guy the past year, whenever people were debating the possibility. Now, a friend notes: Gabbard out, Trump not going to son's wedding, Trump canceling weekend golf trip suggests we're going to attack. This time I predict: no attack and no deal. Can't get a (comprehensive JCPOA-style deal) because of political constraints. Can't attack because of munitions constraints and Iran's intact retaliatory capabilities. Agree?

@TraceyRyniec @aimeebalthazar @FoolOfD That’s yet to be seen. But I like your confidence in your own opinions!

@gedawei @aimeebalthazar @FoolOfD No they won't. They won't ever develop one because they will use AI to "re-write" their sentences. You are talking about someone who learned to write before AI. The poor newbies. They are doomed if they don't develop their own voice.

I'm getting quite good at detecting AI slop. The forced parallelisms, the pseudo-intellectual academic tone of a TED Talk, the digressionary factoids of a student essay, the smarmy confidence of a Redditor, the utter lack of nuance and metaphor.