Gina Sinclair

@laurae_thomas Some do wordle, others read about thermonuclear war

Some light Saturday morning reads 😂

Thank you to @SenatorHeinrich for highlighting Fuse yesterday in Senate testimony and recognizing the role of public-private partnerships in accelerating fusion energy. Fuse is firing shots on our generators today and continuing to bring online commercial facilities accelerating the progress towards high yield fusion facilities. We look forward to continuing our partnerships with @LosAlamosNatLab and @SandiaLabs and supporting our U.S. national security partners on the path to commercial fusion power. cc. @NNSAWilliams @NNSANews  @ENERGY

Name that dome.

At the 26th Strategic Weapons in the 21st Century Conference, Brandon M. Williams @NNSAWilliams spoke about urgency. He pointed to the urgency of the Manhattan Project as the standard for ensuring deterrent reliability. That message matters.

Thank you @FoxBusiness and @MorningswithMaria for a conversation on Energy Dominance and National Security this morning. Excited to announce that @FuseEnergyTech is building a new radiation testing and fusion R&D facility in Albuquerque. Exciting times ahead! cc. @GovMLG, @SenatorHeinrich, @SenatorLujan

Behind the scenes in DC @FuseEnergyTech:

@laurae_thomas @FuseEnergyTech We come in peace but are prepared for war ✌️

On Monday, April 20, @heatherwilly, @tomkarako, and Kari Bingen will sit down with Senator Fischer for a conversation that will cover strategic forces in today's threat environment, recent conflicts, and modernization priorities. Register here: csis.org/events/strateg…

It's interesting that an article about "China’s plans to fight in space" opens with an animation of a US satellite approaching two Chinese satellites.

I know who's targeting American nuclear scientists. I work in nuclear security and I'm a former CIA officer. Ready? It's content creators. UFO promoters built the list. The Daily Mail packaged it. Joe Rogan amplified it. And every week a new name was added to keep it trending, regardless of whether the person had any connection to nuclear weapons. The actual data: 10 cases over 33 months. 4 have documented, non-mysterious causes of death. One was killed by a former classmate who committed a mass shooting at Brown University two days earlier and then killed himself. One died of cardiovascular disease. One was murdered during a random crime spree by a suspect who was caught. One was found deceased with no foul play suspected. Several others on the list aren't nuclear workers at all. The narrative counts NASA (not nuclear) workers, a pharmaceutical researcher, and a retired Air Force general as "connected to nuclear secrets" to inflate the number. Even accepting the broadest possible definition of who belongs on this list, the unsolved cases come to 5 people across a combined government research workforce of hundreds of thousands. Narrow it to verified nuclear security enterprise employees, and you're at 3 unsolved missing persons from a New Mexico nuclear workforce of 32,000+. One of those, police stated he left with a handgun and "may be a danger to himself." Another is a 78-year-old retiree. The FBI reported 533,936 missing person filings nationally in 2024. Over 93,000 remained unresolved at year end. Three cases from a population of 32,000 over nearly three years does not exceed what you'd expect from any comparably sized group of Americans, even before you account for the fact that these cases are centered in a state with one of the highest violent crime rates in the country. There are ~200,000 practicing dentists in America. If you went looking for ones who died unexpectedly or went missing over the past 33 months, you'd find them. You could frame it as a conspiracy against dentists. But we don't see headlines like "10 Dentists Dead or Missing." Pick any profession with 30,000+ workers. Search 33 months of obituaries and police reports and you'll find deaths and missing persons. Baseless claims like this meant for clicks can create negative effects on recruiting for high impact jobs in nuclear security. Plus the pain to the families. And it takes away from the real targeting of nuclear secrets and scientists that goes on from our adversaries. Every missing person case deserves an investigation. Don't be fooled and don't let viral content substitute for actual evidence.

“The demand for radiation effects testing is growing rapidly as governments and companies deploy increasingly sophisticated defense platforms, satellites, advancement in chips and semiconductors, and critical infrastructure technologies,” - Fuse CEO and founder @JCBtaiche10 thedefensepost.com/2026/04/14/fus…

🚀 more to come @FuseEnergyTech!

My time in the shadows started and ended with the violence this man unleashed. Good riddance. What I will be watching for: 1. Supreme Leader succession and how the IRGC supports it and how much power it takes for itself. The regime has been designed to withstand Khamenei’s death but let’s not forget there has been only one transfer of power decades ago. The IRGC controls massive amounts of resources through extensive financial networks and corruption - they won’t give this up without a bitter fight. Expect factionalism. 2. Response from the educated elites and conservative business leaders in the cities and the more conservative, rural populace. Unrest has hit almost every social strata but we can’t fool ourselves on the reality of the religiosity of swaths of the rural population. 3. The security apparatus’ ability to suppress uprisings with Basij and other police and IRGC forces; they likely believe their survival depends on the ability to outlast the next few weeks. They’re more afraid of their own people than foreign bombs. They have shown incredible staying power despite serious protests throughout the life of the Islamic Republic. My most recommended read on Iran, is “Factional Politics in Post-Khomeini Iran.” Despite it being written over 20 years ago, the takeaways from this book are enduring. Lastly, I have to give it to him - Trump’s statement to the Iranian people late last night was spot on. Iran’s greatness is with its people. They are among the most educated, creative, and proud cultures among us, and natural allies to the West. May they live free.

Trump is signaling Iranians via @nytimes. He is trying to force a deal by threatening war. But it will not work if the only thing he is offering Iran is that US will not attack if they sign a deal. If Iran concludes that even after a deal economic pressure, isolation and "mowing the lawn" will continue, then they may take their chances with rejecting capitulation and prepare for war nytimes.com/2026/02/22/us/…

After rewatching Home Alone, I couldn’t stop wondering: how plausible is the oversleep that leaves Kevin behind? So I wrote a tiny paper and ran the numbers. Merry Christmas! 🎄

🚨🚨🚨It’s publication day! THE ART OF COERCION is finally out. When do threats work? When they are credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough. Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.” shorturl.at/YhDXU

#NEW from Vol. 7 of the PONI Nuclear Scholars Journal! 👤from @ginasinclair31 at @Stanford "The Targeting Debate and U.S. Assurances to Allies" Read her full analysis here: csis.org/analysis/horiz…

Major South Korean broadcasters now running non-stop live streams of CCTVs near suspended President Yoon Suk Yeol's residence, as authorities prepare for possible arrest attempt that could happen any moment.

We worry a lot about the credibility of threats. We should worry more about the credibility of coercive assurance. Targets of coercion defy credible threats when they think they are ‘damned if they do and damned if they don’t’. doi.org/10.1162/isec_a…

The US and Korea last week conducted a nuclear weapons table-top exercise, the first such simulation by the US-South Korean Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG). defense.gov/News/Releases/…