
Richard Brooks
3K posts

Richard Brooks
@imRichardBrooks
Risk, resilience and innovation in emerging technologies.


David Reich on how much ancient DNA evidence has overturned so much consensus thinking how ancient cultures spread. "It wasn't peaceful, it wasn't friendly, it wasn't nice. Some of our archaeologist co-authors were just really distressed."



India is not in the same category as Russia or Europe. Russia is a military power while Europe still retains a lot of industrial technology and capacity. India is neither a military power nor an industrial power. In the future, maybe. But not now. @policytensor @dbessner





US has reinstated full sanctions on Russia after temporary lifting was not extended.






TRANSLATION: 7-term Republican Senator celebrates Hungary becoming a vassal state of the EU. A lot of swamp left to be drained in Washington. foxnews.com/opinion/sen-mi…




For the first time in a decade, it is possible to believe that Britain too might one day reverse its far right populist revolution and rejoin Europe





There is no going back to the status quo ante. There will need to be a new international agreement to manage the Strait of Hormuz. Here's the plan proposed yesterday by me, @RichardHaass, and Philip Zelikow.


If NATO falls apart (unlikely), its successor might be BSTO (Baltic Sea Treaty Organization). Just like NATO is organized around the Atlantic, BSTO would be organized around the Baltic Sea: Poland, Baltics, Nordics, UK, Netherlands, Germany. Only goal: to defend against Russia.





The main mediator, Pakistan, thought it did. The other two, Egypt and Turkey, also thought it did. Iran thought it did. Somehow, they all got completely the wrong impression. This shows just how difficult it will be to get anything across the line. The US will try to ring-fence Israel from having to take the strategic hit from this, but can they? Iran will attempt, from here, to isolate Israel themselves, lumping all the blame for the failure of the ceasefire on Tel-Aviv. They will hope that the global court of diplomatic opinion takes their side as the oil continues not to flow so that Israel is able to continue clobbering Lebanon (I make no judgement on whether Israel is justified in doing so: I simply say that this is what's going to happen.)





