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My developing thesis:
1. $7 trillion of profitable small businesses will change hands in the next 25 years -- 👋🏻 bye Baby Boomers.
2. Virtually no one is focused on buying these sub $15 million businesses. Too big for an individual. Too small for private equity.
3. You can *still* buy these assets for 3-4x their annual profit. That's a ~30% year 1 return with no debt and no growth.
4. Most ambitious peers are trying to build the next billion-dollar company. There's a lack of sophisticated operators in this space.
5. Content is the flywheel. Sharing the journey publicly attracts proprietary deal flow, the right investors, and the best talent.
To be clear:
I am not the first to identify this opportunity.
Folks like @BrentBeshore @awilkinson @SievaKozinsky @XavierHelgesen are way ahead of me.
But hey -
I think we're in the 2nd inning of a 9-inning game.
There will be many winners.
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