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Jen
20.8K posts
Jen
@jenemrob
Mostly one-liners for Fantasy Football, with some political eye rolls.
Katılım Haziran 2009
168 Takip Edilen289 Takipçiler
@mckaycoppins It was also just really excellent reporting and writing. Your lines about Vegas and Nevada are *chefs kiss*
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The piece has honestly had a much better (and bigger) reception than I possible could have imagined. Slightly overwhelmed by it, actually. The only surprise in the reaction from the gambling industry/community is that thy cared so deeply about it. Clearly it struck a nerve, which is a good thing.
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Appreciate these balanced thoughts on my piece from a gambler. (I do think it’s funny that I was apparently so bad at sports betting that the only possible conclusion more seasoned gamblers could draw is that I was intentionally trying to lose all the money. Alas, no. I really wanted to get my wife that KitchenAid mixer.)
Plus EV Analytics@PlusEVAnalytics
Playing the role of @mckaycoppins apologist. The main criticisms seem to be: 1) Nitpicky technicalities like "no, books don't balance their action". True, and maybe could have been a bit better researched, but doesn't change the point of any of it. 2) "He bet like an idiot". He played props and SGPs. He wildly fluctuated his bet sizes for no apparent reason. He bet with his fandom. He tailed Sean fucking Perry. But that's the whole point! He experienced betting from the perspective of a newbie. Newbies do stupid things. Newbies overestimate their abilities. Newbies get lured by flashy ads and scamming touts. Newbies don't know any better. Anyone who thinks the average American's betting journey is more like ours than like McKay's is crazy. 3) "He was betting someone else's money". Yeah, he was. And in fairness it is reasonable to question how much of his decision making was influenced by that. I'd like to know what he would have done next if his Patriots bet had won. Hopefully he'll tell us. It would have been great to give this assignment to a journalist who was willing to put up his own money (and without any religious objections). I have no idea if the Atlantic had access to such a person. 4) "His plan all along was to go broke because it would make a better article as a cautionary tale". Maybe...but nothing in the article read as anything but genuine to me. Combined with everything I know about devout Mormons (admittedly not all that much), my prior is pretty low on his approach to this being so cynical and disingenous. I could be wrong. 5) "It's a hit piece on the industry". Yeah, it kind of is. So is @dannyfunt 's book (which I also thought was good). So are the other articles that have been written recently about betting. But you know what? I don't find any of it unfair. The marketing of recreational books is pure psychological warfare in a way that sets it apart from booze, cigarettes, etc. It takes advantage of evolutionary weaknesses in the way the human brain reasons, to make people think it's easier to win than it actually is. My own father, who is very much NOT a stupid person, had me put a bet down for him on Indiana -8 in the CFP championship because "they're a much better team and they'll kill Miami". If you're following me and reading this, there's a good chance that you either were born with or acquired the ability to think probabilistically. You are in the minority. For the rest of the population, it's like handing an AK-47 to a chimpanzee and asking him to use it responsibly. I'm not saying we should abolish sports betting or gambling in general. I am saying the way it's currently being done has some bad societal consequences that are being ignored in the pursuit of profit, including regulatory capture by lobbyists which IMO is one of the most evil aspects of the current lawmaking environment.
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@GerberKawasaki Our monthly bills have improved so much since installing heat pumps.
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Everyone should put in heat pumps. I did. They are great and natural gas prices are high and the cost is much higher to have a traditional heater. Heat pumps are efficient and good for earth. This article is incorrect. apple.news/AhThiKtqIQJCoX…
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Y’all! This is the single best letter we have ever received at AO.
To my lawyers out there: please pick one of her questions and give me your best answer to read on the pod!
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Even though I've always described myself as a political moderate (except for civil liberties, where I'm fiercely libertarian), one of my most strongly-held beliefs is deeply conservative - that it's much easier to destroy good things (and institutions) than it is to build them and that the most important responsibility of a conservative movement is to conserve those good things.
One of the best things any country has ever done is the the construction of the post-WW2 international order, which we built and maintained and which gave Americans a quality of life unthinkable in any other point in history. It's inconceivable to me that a truly conservative movement can sit back and allow a mentally declining 80 year-old man to destroy that international order, and endanger the way of life that international order makes possible, out of narcissism and personal pique.
What's the point of a conservative movement that won't f*****g conserve anything?
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@DavidTaggart This is what happens when you’re not driven by strategy, but by vibes.
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JFK left the Cubans at the Bay of Pigs hanging and long term they got screwed
Looks like DJT is going to pull a Bay of Pigs in Iran and while the killing might stop today, they will be captured, tortured, imprisoned, killed, etc. for years to come.
Trusting the word of the regime is a mistake
Kateryna Lisunova@KaterynaLis
🚨TRUMP WAS TOLD THAT THE KILLINGS HAVE STOPPED IN IRAN AND THAT THERE WILL BE NO EXECUTIONS TODAY, SO THERE MAY BE NO MILITARY ACTION AGAINST THE COUNTRY FROM THE U.S. PART. Q: On Iran you said that the killing has stopped? Who told you that the killings have stopped there? TRUMP: We have been informed by very important sources on the other side, and they've said the killing has stopped, and the executions won't take place. There were supposed to be a lot of executions today, and that the executions won't take place, and we're gonna find out. I mean, I'll find out after this, you'll find out. But we've been told on good authority, and I hope it's true. Who knows, right? Who knows? Crazy world. Q: How do you trust them? TRUMP: You've seen that over the last few days and they said people were shooting at them with guns and they were shooting back, and, you know, it's one of those things. But they told me that there'll be no executions, and so I hope that's true. Q: Does this mean military action is now off the table against Iran? TRUMP: Well, we're gonna watch and see what the process is, but we were given a very good, very good statement by people that are aware of what's going on. There are no executions. Everyone was talking about a lot of executions were taking place today. We were just told no executions. I hope that's true. That's a big thing.
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@DavidAFrench We were watching with our two young boys and told them the game was over. Then this happened. Must have been extraordinary to be there!
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I was there with my son and son-in-law. It was electric.
nick wright@getnickwright
Given the full context of this throw (playoff game, they 100% lose if this isn’t converted, they ended up winning, etc.), this has to be one of the very best plays in recent NFL history.
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@TheWatchdogDBQ @extramsg She obviously hasn't gone as far as Nicole Kidman and Demi Moore, but she is not simply letting nature take its course. No judgement on that, to be clear--I don't mind a little light work, but I'm creeped out by the women who have tightened their faces into immobility.
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Julie Delpy's natural aging is such a pleasure to watch onscreen. She's the rare female star of her age who looks like a human being rather than an alien wearing a human mask.
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@DavidTaggart Considering what happened in Iran and Afghanistan, I’m guessing this won’t end great for the people - and likely not for us either.
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Would be crazy if they are able to pull off the entire thing like an Operation Just Cause 2.0. Would be nice.
Sadly I suspect the regime change will be a lot harder and messier, but hoping it is not.
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Imagine busting your butt in your unpaid calling in the middle of holiday season to put together a Christmas party and try to provide some fun little side games just so some perpetually aggrieved Karen can complain about you on social media.
Connor Boyack 📚@cboyack
I’m at our church’s Christmas party and this activity is on the table. What do you notice that’s missing?
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I’m at our church’s Christmas party and this activity is on the table. What do you notice that’s missing?
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I've had to keep this under wraps but today I'm stoked to announce that Lola, my 3 year-old with some gross motor skills delays, was selected to hand draw the logo for Utah's 2034 Olympic Games! Proud to see her work get such recognition!
Utah 2034@utah2034
All of Utah, together. #Utah2034
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Imagine being so rich and so successful and still feeling like you needed to program a sycophantic AI
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Evangelicals love to say that Mormons aren’t Christian because we “don’t worship the same Jesus”. I used to try and argue this point but, given how common this response is from ostensible followers of Christ literally hours after one of their people shot up our sacrament meeting and bombed our church, I’m proud to say that I don’t worship the same Jesus as the people who are responding this way.
Protestia@Protestia
Amid the attack on the Mormon church, here is quick reference for folks wanting to know what Mormons believe. While you read it assk yourself: is this biblical Christianity? From Justin Taylor: Mormons claim that God the Father was once a man and that he then progressed to godhood (that is, he is a now-exalted, immortal man with a flesh-and-bone body). Mormons believe that humans, like God the Father, can go through a process of exaltation to godhood. Mormons believe that the Trinity consists not of three persons in one God but rather of three distinct gods. According to Mormonism, there are potentially many thousands of gods besides these. Mormons believe that Jesus Christ was the firstborn spirit-child of the heavenly Father and a heavenly Mother. Jesus then progressed to deity in the spirit world. He was later physically conceived in Mary’s womb, as the literal “only begotten” Son of God the Father in the flesh (though many present-day Mormons remain somewhat vague as to how this occurred). Mormons believe that Adam’s transgression was a noble act that made it possible for humans to become mortal, a necessary step on the path to exaltation to godhood. Mormons believe that Christ’s atonement secures immortality for virtually all people, whether they repent and believe or not. Mormons believe that God gives to (virtually) everyone a general salvation to immortal life in one of the heavenly kingdoms, which is how they understand salvation by grace. Belief in Christ is necessary only to obtain passage to the highest, celestial kingdom—for which not only faith but participation in Mormon temple rituals and obedience to its “laws of the gospel” are also prerequisites. Mormons claim that “total” apostasy overcame the church following apostolic times, and that the Mormon Church (founded in 1830) is the “restored church.” In short, they're our neighbors that we ought to care about and care for, but they are not Christian believers.
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Literally the only two contenders here are G and D. Obviously, I’d be sad to lose Thai, middle eastern, Indian, Indonesian, and Japanese, but Mexican, Cajun, soul food, American BBQ, and Spanish are worth the trade off.
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