jochenstu

731 posts

jochenstu

jochenstu

@jochenstu

Katılım Kasım 2018
75 Takip Edilen13 Takipçiler
jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@chellivia @washingtonpost At this point, probably a lot of lag and bottlenecks: Trying to find someone to install an AC is hard, lead times are in months. Electricians are rare to begin with, and training takes ~3 years.
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Chelsea Olivia Follett
Chelsea Olivia Follett@chellivia·
My latest in the @washingtonpost, on Europe's refusal to move on from the dark ages before air conditioning. Europe has it wrong. AC is not a luxury, it is a necessity.
Chelsea Olivia Follett tweet media
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@HoodBiology Do you have to? Could you not just investigate those people?
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Jules
Jules@HoodBiology·
i know several people who are in excess of 100% disability rated and still returned to warzones as armed contractors lol fraud is absolutely rampant in the VA and you can't point it out because it's political suicide
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen

US Veterans' Benefits payments as a % of Total US Defense Department spend, 1959-present. Veterans' Benefits now a record 27% of DoD spend (and ~8% of total US Federal receipts), rising far faster than both DoD spend & Federal receipts.

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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@Plinz If we actually get to the point, where there is an absolute majority for such ideas, I think that's mostly inevitable. The order of actions will simply flip.
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Joscha Bach
Joscha Bach@Plinz·
In a few years, Europe will be governed by right wing governments, and they will read your encrypted messages, prevent you from posting and reading ideas they disagree with and even jail you for wrongthink, and the current governments create the laws making that possible
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@RuxandraTeslo Always in favor of higher standards, but I am not sure if net slop has been going up or not? People have peddled idiotic shit pre AI (anti-vax, juicy-cleansing, etc). Maybe it's just that now we are becoming more keenly aware and critical? Would be super interesting to study.
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Ruxandra Teslo 🧬
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬@RuxandraTeslo·
I really think the biggest danger from AI is the slopification of our minds. We should be quite socially penalising of people who produce slop, especially if they're high status (like the CEO of one of the most successful young companies), because when high status ppl do things, they're much more likely to get normalised.
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@cremieuxrecueil It seems likely that Mackenzie Scott thinks differently about outcomes and what the money is supposed to do.
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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
People have finally quantified how bad a donor Mackenzie Scott has been since her divorce with Bezos If she had given effectively, to charities known to deliver larger returns, she could've been 50 to 100 or perhaps even 1,500-times more effective! She's an Ineffective Altruist
Crémieux tweet media
Max Ghenis@MaxGhenis

.@mackenziescott has given away $26 billion. What did it buy in health? I built an interactive model from her own gift database: ~70,000 QALYs weighting each study by causal credibility, ~200,000 taking every effect at face value.

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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
It remains really remarkable that there is NO PUNISHMENT if academics do fraud in the overwhelming majority of cases. You can get caught knowingly lying and shrug it off. Admin generally won't pursue. And if you get investigated, they might let you off to avoid embarrassment.
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@PatrickHeizer Also (and I am not sure who ends up paying for it) the aggregate amount of time we spend on waiting for people who are fumbling with cash in checkout lines certainly exceeds whatever fees the cards incur.
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Patrick Heizer
Patrick Heizer@PatrickHeizer·
People complain that cash users subsidize credit card users because stores build the interchange fees into the price. I complain that self-checkout users subsidize cashier users because stores build labor costs into the price. Until self-checkout gets a discount, it's a scam!
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil

This is a great reminder that there are people who long for endless toil and drudgery, who hate progress in all its forms, who would rather you ride a horse than drive a car or fly on a plane. And we cannot let them win.

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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@pashmerepat Would appreciate if you could comment on Terra with high thinking vs Sol with lower thinking during coding and talking code (released graphs suggest that Terra Ultra beats Sol high in both performance and usage)
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pash
pash@pashmerepat·
FYI: 5.6 Sol medium is better than 5.5 xhigh. As you go higher in reasoning levels on Sol, you will get insane levels of performance, but can burn through limits much more rapidly. We’re working on communicating this better!
eric provencher@pvncher

If you're having issues with your usage limits, I really recommend turning down reasoning effort vs what you used in 5.5. 5.6 Sol Medium and 5.5 Medium are not 1:1, and 5.6 Sol Low is the default for a reason! You probably don't need to use xhigh except for very tough problems.

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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@PatrickHeizer Conflicted. I can not organize ideas without a laptop, at least not without a drop in efficiency that would drive me mad. That's not a unique-me thing; there is a reason we started using computers everywhere. What do we make of this? Why is a ban the right solution?
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@PatrickHeizer I don't think to the avg speeder speeding is about getting anywhere quicker. It's would-be race car driving, enjoying acceleration and deceleration. The only remedy is punishment.
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Patrick Heizer
Patrick Heizer@PatrickHeizer·
Going the speed limit in the left lane. Notice the next light turned red, so I start to coast. The car behind me speeds around me, slamming on its brakes at the red light. The light turns green, and without touching either my gas or breaks, I pass it. "Speeding works." - NPCs
Patrick Heizer@PatrickHeizer

Even bleaker: people will still speed, weave, and drive aggressive despite being literally shown that those tactics result in nothing. Then they will continue to insist that they can cut significant amounts of travel time off their trips.

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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
Rent control is a stunning policy. The literature, the experts, and the repeated experience of reality all stand undivided in saying it's bad. But the public loves it. It's insanely popular. It's basically a 75:25 issue and voters want more of it.
Crémieux tweet media
MTS@MTSlive

SITUATION EXPLAINED: Why does rent control create the exact housing crisis it claims to solve? We asked @robkhenderson, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and author of Troubled. "If you just say, 'I'm going to make this thing cheaper,' or 'I'm going to prevent the price from increasing,' that sounds great to a lot of people because they don't understand how market economies work." "Often to make it more intuitive, I'll point out that in cities where they have implemented rent control policies, those are the cities that have the worst housing shortages. San Francisco, the Bay Area... they've had rent control policies for decades. Has that improved the housing situation or has it only made things worse?" "People would rather manipulate prices than to build more housing."

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Jerry Squirbin
Jerry Squirbin@squirbin·
@DKThomp If these processes are the same simply because the written output is the same, why does what’s happening in my head require very little electricity? Very little space. No billion dollar silicon from Taiwan. Magic tricks don’t mean magic is real!
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Derek Thompson
Derek Thompson@DKThomp·
I think here’s an interesting tension between many academics’ insistence that “AI can’t think” and the discovery that AI has demolished traditional methods for evaluating learning and thinking.
Paul Graham@paulg

A Brown professor gave his students a take-home midterm exam. After suspecting many cheated using AI, he made the final in-person. The orange dots are the midterm scores and the gray dots are the final scores. Looks like all but 3 cheated on the midterm.

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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
What is going on with Fable language during coding? Constantly misusing terms and inventing new ways to talk about boring/simple things. It's exhausting.
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@DKThomp A contender for the most American thing you have written.
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Derek Thompson
Derek Thompson@DKThomp·
When they say “should I leave room in the (coffee) cup for cream” who is saying yes to that? There is always room anyway — no one is filling the coffee cup to the meniscus — and if you really want less coffee you can pour it out yourself. Not a lot of cases where the customer is requesting less of the thing they’re paying a flat fee for. And … it’s coffee!
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@captgouda24 (probably in part because there were a lot of interesting ideas that transcended health insurance)
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Nicholas Decker
Nicholas Decker@captgouda24·
Sorry for literally only tweeting about health insurance papers for the past few days, I'm writing a big article on Obamacare and the insurance market in America, and I've got a lot reading to do.
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@paulg What would a good description of ChatGPT look like, that would help you reproduce it?
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Paul Graham
Paul Graham@paulg·
The test of a description of a product is how much closer I am after hearing it to being able to reproduce it. So e.g. "transform the way people interact with images" has almost zero descriptive value. If I had to make this, where would I even start?
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@mweinbach Does it understand when something simply can't be done or keep trying by doing increasingly questionable things?
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Carolyn D. Gorman
Carolyn D. Gorman@CarolynGorman_·
Ivy League schools have the highest rates of disabilities and community colleges have the lowest. The percentage of students with disabilities is inversely related to how elite the higher education setting is. Obviously something is wrong with what’s happening here.
Carolyn D. Gorman tweet media
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jochenstu
jochenstu@jochenstu·
@captgouda24 Not sure that deliberately upsetting the current POTUS can be recommended to a mere mortal soccer player.
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Nicholas Decker
Nicholas Decker@captgouda24·
Balogun should opt out of the game against Belgium.
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