Jonathan

21 posts

Jonathan

Jonathan

@jonathanjon79

Trader

Katılım Haziran 2024
181 Takip Edilen23 Takipçiler
Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@NQStats To be honest, I like the layout of the older version for each of the stat report. I think the explanations have gone (unless I'm missing something?) I think that's very important for newbies! Perhaps you could leave the old explanations there as an introduction.
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NQ Stats
NQ Stats@NQStats·
NQ Stats website has received a redesign, with additional metrics and data around the existing stats/concepts. Check it out at nqstats.com and leave some feedback in the comments!
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Ryuz6k1🩸
Ryuz6k1🩸@ryuz6k1·
IB Algo caught a great setup today! 🚀 I've been forward-testing it for two weeks now and I'm really happy with how it's performing, so I might officially release it next week. Quick question: would you guys also want a version that's just a manual Indicator? It has a ton of tools integrated to help you trade the Initial Balance, including VWAP, Volume Profile, and SMT detection. Let me know in the replies if you'd be interested! 👇
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@NQStats Don't forget to do your redirects of previous URLs :)
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@key_poems Hi, I was trying to find your video, but it's no longer available.
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Key Poems
Key Poems@key_poems·
Nasdaq Statistical Playbooks: Net Change Standard Deviation Extensions. Video is live on Youtube! Apologies for the clickbait! How do people link to Youtube without being perma-buried by X? Go to Youtube and look for Keypoems!
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Db
Db@DokaKuri·
@Mc5calpAfee Just getting the docs ready. Im sure you’ll like it
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Db
Db@DokaKuri·
Almost 5 days continuously working on making something that suits my trading style (mean reversion), and I think it's complete. It will give you selective hours throughout the day, with when and where to enter a trade statistically. Stay tuned.
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Db
Db@DokaKuri·
Uploaded the full framework!!! Simple Consistent All sessions covered 🥳 And it's FREEE!! Together with the last video, you’ve got all you need to trade a solid statistical trading model. Thanks for the indicators!! @_joshuuu @notprofgreen @NQStats youtu.be/fEoCJaoxt2s?si…
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@ProbableChris @NQStats Hi Chris, would we be able to get access to your August 5th 2025 and October 16th 2025 Spaces Live? I'm interested to go through it. Could you make it replayable on x or are there any other places I could access it? Thanks
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@ProbableChris @NQStats This is a great post. I'm a year late to this - have just discovered your writings. Do you still trade these 3 concepts today? Also, you don't post your trades anymore - don't see any recent ones? Thanks.
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Chris™
Chris™@ProbableChris·
I mainly trade three models/strategies. These three stat based concepts can all be found at @NQStats. Below is some info on them and some final thoughts on consistency. #1 Using "ALN Stats", I look for the high prob bias target for that London high or low. This trade is usually around the 8am - 9am est window. This provides one potential setup a day. #2: Using "Noon Curve", I look for a 11am hour retrace of some kind, preferably into 50% of the leg formed in AM, and trade the direction of the bias Noon Curve and order flow dictate. This provides one potential setup a day. #3: Finally, using "Hour Stats", I look for setups just like the one this post is quoting. I trade between 8am and 4pm est. So this can provide a max of 8 potential setups, but its usually 1-3 setups a day. Summary: This creates a handful of trade opportunities every day, all with high probabilities attached to them, backed by data. These are just stat focused setups, you still need to create an entry model, define risk, etc. I personally use other confluences and tools as well, some also listed on @NQStats, some not. These 3 stat setups are just windows were a trade can be taken with a high conviction of the target being realized. I normally only take 1-3 trades a day, so having about half a dozen of potential opportunities allows me to be picky. My trades normally average around 20-50 points for wins and 10-25pts for losses. I have been trading the same way for a rather long time. It requires patience, you have to ignore others. Ignore chatrooms. Ignore furu P&L posts, etc. I do not care about news, earnings, what others are doing, what others are making, etc. This is a solo sport. I am consistently trading the same setups and process over and over every day, as you see on my feed every day, thus my performance is consistent. Whether the performance is positive or negative is dependent on if the strategies are good or bad. However, without doing something consistent day in a day out, the performance will always be sporadic and unreliable. You need a consistent process to have consistent performance.
Chris™@ProbableChris

$NQ | 04/28/2025 +49pts There were a few decent hour stat trades before this one and also the Noon Curve short, but I was not at screens for them. Caught this 12pm hour reversion sweep. -1.0 hourly, -1.0 H4, and -1.0 Daily distribution rejections. Bear gap inverse for entry after retrace into bull gap that broke the bear gap.

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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@tradesbyrina @jeff_montg67771 @TradingLucid @DokaKuri @NQStats How do you use DOTS for NYSE open and 9:50 macro? Do you just take a trade on the 1st column of all green/red on DOTS from 9:30am and 9:50am? How long after these two times do you stop looking for a trade if you don't see your 1 entry model for DOTS? THanks
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Rina
Rina@tradesbyrina·
h! i have 4 strategies: 1) magic hour 2) ALN Stats 3) DOTS (NYSE open or 9:50 macro) 4) IB break magic hour is based on @DokaKuri stats: gist.github.com/DhansAL/42e7dd… ALN and IB break are on @NQStats (i think Zinc uses Edgeful's Ib break which is slightly different) I use DOTS for confluence and some of it is subjective/discretionary (FVGs, retracements, etc)
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Rina
Rina@tradesbyrina·
🐢 Slow Down February Challenge with @tradesbyrina x @TradingLucid PROGRESS: Day 13/15 - WEEK 3 DAY 3 📊 +$687 today The goal of this challenge was to fine-tune my process and prove I can trade with discipline to get to payout. Today I hit my 5th benchmark day. I'm payout eligible and rather than push it to get to $4k balance, I'm taking the money. ✅ Account: $52,143 Withdrawing: $1,071.50 Keep $964 after 90/10 split 💰 Next week I fly home to NYC and this will, at the very least pay for UBER airport surge pricing ✈️ –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– The DOTS Indicator Was Part of Every Winning Setup 📊 Magic Hour reversions. Macro entries. NYSE open breaks. IB plays. The DOTS indicator was my directional bias filter for all of them. It's not magic. But when DOTS align with structure? That's when edge reveals itself. 🟢 DOTS green + bullish structure = conviction to go long 🔴 DOTS red + bearish structure = conviction to go short 🟡 DOTS mixed = skip the setup Simple. Repeatable. Edge. Today's NYSE open trade: DOTS confirmed green → structure held → caught the push to 4H SIBI liquidity. That trade made me payout eligible. –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Try DOTS Free For 7 Days 🎯 Includes Discord access with real-time market analysis and setup calls. 👉 whop.com/wave-dots-trad… Test it. See if it fits your model. No obligation. –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– CHALLENGE DETAILS: 🎯 Day 13: +$687 (3 wins across 3 windows, stopped when done) Running total: $2,143 profit in sim-funded Benchmark days: 5/5 complete ✅ First payout secured: $964.35 Taking the rest of the week to trade with zero pressure. –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– 💻 Compare payout structures at propshopper.co –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Running LucidFlex? Code RINA (50% off first two purchases, $65 all-in) 👉 lucidtrading.com/ref/TradesbyRi… –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– 💬 Lmk how your day went in the comments. Did you stick to your plan or slip up?
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@Eddie_Fibonacci @brokoli_man9 Hi Eddie, love what you wrote here. I know you wrote this a long time ago. But have you created the automation and do you still trade setups based on this stat? THanks
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Eddie Fibonacci
Eddie Fibonacci@Eddie_Fibonacci·
@brokoli_man9 I do, as a matter of fact, at this very moment I am working on an automation of this one 😀
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Eddie Fibonacci
Eddie Fibonacci@Eddie_Fibonacci·
When there is no Hourly Stats setup there is an another very high probability scenario. With the same kind of results, return to the open in general over 80%! Also based around the first 20 minutes of a new hour. Tested on 15 years of NQ data. How?⬇️
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@rubencristiano9 @PatternProfits Thanks for all this. Could you explain what Q1 to Q4 means? Are you just dividing it into 4 quarters? But I'm probably reading it wrongly because for the deepest being an average of 5.9 points - that's not very far out even for the deepest?
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Ruben Gonzalez
Ruben Gonzalez@rubencristiano9·
@PatternProfits 2. Table classifies sweeps by how far the have went from the break of the range. Ones that have left further from that range have a lesser chance to come back as expected but still have a similar win-rate overall
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Ruben Gonzalez
Ruben Gonzalez@rubencristiano9·
Lunch Hour Sweep Probabilities credits to @PatternProfits, Pattern: Wait for a sweep of the lunch hour (12:00 - 13:00 EST) during the golden time (13:00 - 13:20). This will happen on 61% of trading days. Probability to return to midpoint of range is around 80% within 120min
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TMade Alex
TMade Alex@TMadeAlex·
It’s official. $100K in 93 trading days. Done LIVE on stream today. At market close, I’ll be requesting $6K to push me over the mark: • $2.9K from @Topstep • $1.9K from @TakeProfitLLC • $1.2K from @TradingLucid Every step of this journey was documented on X. Every trade taken live. To everyone who’s been watching, supporting, learning, and growing with me… Thank you. Truly. God is good.
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@dancooketrades Thanks. And how many micros do you risk per trade? Or do you have a general guideline or formula of percentage risk based the MDD of each account?
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@dancooketrades Dan, for your Evals, Funded and Live respectively, what is your sizing for each trade? You mentinoed you increased your sizing recently. Thanks
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Druw
Druw@druwfutures·
Trading the Edgeful’s Range + Power Hour reports has me focused on data, not emotions. It’s been under 2 weeks with @edgeful and I already have nothing but good things to say.
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@LeoInvests @edgeful @LeoInvests Just to clarify, when you say "78.95% probability of a 25% retracement of the first 15m NYO move", what do you mean by "of the first 15m NYO move"? It should be a 25% retracement of the first 30m of the NYO as you put the IB timeframe as 30m from NYO right? Thanks.
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Leo🛰️
Leo🛰️@LeoInvests·
IB Retracement Master-Class Featuring data from @edgeful Single IB breaks on $GLD occur over 60% of the time in the past 3 months. When price breaks above the IB high, the data shows: • 78.95% probability of a 25% retracement of the first 15m NYO move • 68.42% probability of a 50% retracement Simple framework Wait for a bullish breakout of the IB high Look for a bearish close back inside the IB range Enter targeting retracement levels Targets • TP1 → 25% retracement • TP2 → 50% retracement Invalidation = Stop above the breakout high Clean, data-driven, and repeatable. This is the way.
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@edgeful Then what about VWAP reports?
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edgeful
edgeful@edgeful·
why we don't offer market profile or volume profile stats on edgeful.
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@vinnie_trades @edgeful @vinnie_trades at the 7:50 mark in your video that a full break of the other side is less than 10%. How did u get that stat - couldn't find it in edgeful. I think the percentage you're given in the "by retracement" subreport is only if there's only 1 break.
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Jonathan
Jonathan@jonathanjon79·
@algospirit keep sharing your charts. I'm reading them every day!
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