Muthu'S Talks

India’s current heat wave, and the likelihood of a weaker monsoon, are not because of Modi but due to an effect called El Nino. In normal conditions, strong winds push warm Pacific Ocean water from near South America toward Southeast Asia. This warm water near Asia leads to more evaporation, more cloud formation, and good rainfall, which supports the monsoon. During El Nino, which occurs every 2–7 years, these winds weaken or even reverse. As a result, the warm water stays closer to South America instead of moving toward Asia. This leads to more clouds and rainfall in South America, while Asia, including India, loses that moisture support. The key point is that even though the water near Asia becomes relatively cooler, land temperatures rise. That’s because the air circulation changes in a way that heats the land. Rain clouds shift away from India, and the air over the region starts moving downward. Why downward? Because air circulates in a loop. During El Nino, air rises more over the central and eastern Pacific (near South America) due to warmer ocean water and increased evaporation, so it must descend elsewhere to complete the cycle. This descent occurs over parts of Asia, including India. The downward-moving air becomes warm and dry, suppresses cloud formation, and allows more direct sunlight to reach the ground. With less rain and fewer clouds to provide cooling, heat builds up over land, leading to heat waves.

Completed my analysis for 51 seats in North TN DMK+ 26 ADMK+ 13 Close fight - 12 Close fight seats with Dmk+ edge - 8 Close fight seats with Admk+ edge -4 Will be releasing my Chennai and pan TN numbers tomorrow🙏🏿