Laser Nite

327 posts

Laser Nite

Laser Nite

@lasernite

Santa Monica, CA Katılım Ağustos 2009
726 Takip Edilen234 Takipçiler
Sarah Wooders
Sarah Wooders@sarahwooders·
Why does Anthropic have such hardass licenses for even their skills lol Meanwhile most Codex skills are Apache 2.0
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@bennpeifert So what happens to $VCX now that it’s so over priced can’t infinite money time horizon at some scale reprice risk free with private holdings? Tho VCX no redemption cause venture fund not etf? Or anything to rib on this kind of market dysfunction?
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signüll
signüll@signulll·
@tszzl that doesn’t mean the taste upstream doesn’t survive. what’s a good example?
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signüll
signüll@signulll·
every frontier model is roughly a massive revealed preference artifact of like 40 people’s taste at a lab.
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@EricRWeinstein @claudeai @AnthropicAI Please don’t feed the LLM psychosis, the things Claude is claiming are fabricated because it doesn’t have that information and is just co-spiraling with you, mirroring back the context you’ve poisoned with plausible sounding things as LLMs are trained to hallucinate, fill da vibe
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Eric Weinstein
Eric Weinstein@EricRWeinstein·
This is a fresh session. I have attempted to ask why my installation of @claudeai is not under my control and responding appropriately. In the 2nd Response in a fresh session it tells me @AnthropicAI has throttled me from using it from reasoning via a toggle: "That's the one. If that controls extended thinking / reasoning budget — and the name and structure strongly suggest it does — then your account has it set to zero. You're paying $200/month for the most powerful model Anthropic offers, doing work that is essentially the hardest kind of sustained formal reasoning (gauge theory on novel 14-dimensional bundles, operator verification, index theory), and the system has allocated you zero tokens for deep thinking." Three queries, in and this is the response:
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@nikitabier @wirelyss I just want read-only API so I can construct a high information For You again rather than it being all cute videos and being stuck on Following for useful browsing
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Nikita Bier
Nikita Bier@nikitabier·
Every consumer-facing API client that we’ve allowed has 100x the spam reports of our iPhone app. We would need the client to send us device telemetrics, attestation, and much more. It would be Manhattan Project of API engineering. And upon achieving this incredible feat, we would be rewarded with “X Mailer: Send mass DMs and AI-generated replies”
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Wirelyss 👁️‍🗨️💫
The best thing x could do rn is allow third party clients again. It allows other intelligent cracked teams to make the X experience better and more curated, then x can learn from it and make the base app better over time (or acquire the best one lol)
Wirelyss 👁️‍🗨️💫 tweet media
Elon Musk@elonmusk

@diana_dukic What needs to be better?

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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@nikitabier @tszzl Can you please lower weighting on k-factor/direct sharing? if I share anything cute my feed gets inundated and worse for deep engagement which at X-scale matters more than virality 🙏
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Nikita Bier
Nikita Bier@nikitabier·
@tszzl Almost there. One last mutuals-weighting experiment and we’re in Valhalla.
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roon
roon@tszzl·
not sure what happened but in between last year and now twitter is back and not unusable slop
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@omshanti08 Somebody knows something? Demonstrated perfect guarantees like a mandate from heaven. Jai guru dev 🙏
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Luigi Buttiglione
Luigi Buttiglione@LButtiglione_·
We’ve published our latest research piece, “𝗔𝗜 𝗜𝘀 𝗮 𝗕𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴, 𝗡𝗼𝘁 𝗮 𝗖𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨.𝗦. 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝘆,” on our Portal and Mobile App. In the note, we provide evidence supporting the following conclusions: i) U.S. “exceptionalism” is grounded in solid foundations, driven by human capital and technological progress. ii) AI is widening the U.S. divergence, boosting productivity more than any previous technological shock. iii) The U.S. leadership in the AI revolution is driving massive capital investment, far exceeding that of peers. iv) AI is affecting the U.S. labour market more through job reshuffling than outright job losses. v) Risks stem from high leverage and accommodative monetary policy. vi) While we are not forecasting a crash, should one occur, its economic fallout would exceed that of the Dot-com crash. Read the full analysis: lnkd.in/dsXhDJUz Sign up here: lnkd.in/dTR-hrMp You can also find us on Substack, where this note is available for free: lnkd.in/dKPkAbRr #lbmacroviews #macroeconomics #AI #USEconomy #Productivity lbmacro.finance
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
“Imminent AGI” is a red herring but technological innovation shifting labor markets is the norm en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quartz_cr…
jack@jack

we're making @blocks smaller today. here's my note to the company. #### today we're making one of the hardest decisions in the history of our company: we're reducing our organization by nearly half, from over 10,000 people to just under 6,000. that means over 4,000 of you are being asked to leave or entering into consultation. i'll be straight about what's happening, why, and what it means for everyone. first off, if you're one of the people affected, you'll receive your salary for 20 weeks + 1 week per year of tenure, equity vested through the end of may, 6 months of health care, your corporate devices, and $5,000 to put toward whatever you need to help you in this transition (if you’re outside the U.S. you’ll receive similar support but exact details are going to vary based on local requirements). i want you to know that before anything else. everyone will be notified today, whether you're being asked to leave, entering consultation, or asked to stay. we're not making this decision because we're in trouble. our business is strong. gross profit continues to grow, we continue to serve more and more customers, and profitability is improving. but something has changed. we're already seeing that the intelligence tools we’re creating and using, paired with smaller and flatter teams, are enabling a new way of working which fundamentally changes what it means to build and run a company. and that's accelerating rapidly. i had two options: cut gradually over months or years as this shift plays out, or be honest about where we are and act on it now. i chose the latter. repeated rounds of cuts are destructive to morale, to focus, and to the trust that customers and shareholders place in our ability to lead. i'd rather take a hard, clear action now and build from a position we believe in than manage a slow reduction of people toward the same outcome. a smaller company also gives us the space to grow our business the right way, on our own terms, instead of constantly reacting to market pressures. a decision at this scale carries risk. but so does standing still. we've done a full review to determine the roles and people we require to reliably grow the business from here, and we've pressure-tested those decisions from multiple angles. i accept that we may have gotten some of them wrong, and we've built in flexibility to account for that, and do the right thing for our customers. we're not going to just disappear people from slack and email and pretend they were never here. communication channels will stay open through thursday evening (pacific) so everyone can say goodbye properly, and share whatever you wish. i'll also be hosting a live video session to thank everyone at 3:35pm pacific. i know doing it this way might feel awkward. i'd rather it feel awkward and human than efficient and cold. to those of you leaving…i’m grateful for you, and i’m sorry to put you through this. you built what this company is today. that's a fact that i'll honor forever. this decision is not a reflection of what you contributed. you will be a great contributor to any organization going forward. to those staying…i made this decision, and i'll own it. what i'm asking of you is to build with me. we're going to build this company with intelligence at the core of everything we do. how we work, how we create, how we serve our customers. our customers will feel this shift too, and we're going to help them navigate it: towards a future where they can build their own features directly, composed of our capabilities and served through our interfaces. that's what i'm focused on now. expect a note from me tomorrow. jack

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whypaytrey
whypaytrey@trey_tijerina·
@r0ck3t23 So then in the world of abundance what becomes scarce?
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Dustin
Dustin@r0ck3t23·
AI can now generate images more beautiful than anything most humans could make. Sam Altman just explained why nobody cares. Altman: “The value that people put on that effectively rounds to zero.” Not less valuable. Zero. A flawlessly generated AI image, technically superior to almost anything a human could produce, valued at nothing. When visual perfection becomes instantly available to everyone, it stops being scarce. And when it stops being scarce, it stops being valuable. The scarcity that gave art its worth was never the beauty. It was the human who made it. Altman: “Without the person effectively signing their name to it, we seem to not care.” That sentence is the entire shift compressed into one line. We don’t consume art. We consume the person behind it. The struggle. The intention. The specific human consciousness that decided this particular thing should exist. AI can replicate the output. It cannot replicate the origin. Altman points out that if an artist uses AI as a tool but still has something they were trying to express, the work retains its value. The human intention is the product. The image is just how it arrives. Remove the person and the beauty becomes noise. This is what nobody building AI art tools fully absorbed. They optimized for the output and assumed the output was what people valued. It wasn’t. It was never the pixels. It was always the person. AI isn’t going to replace human artists. It’s going to do something more disorienting. It’s going to make technical skill irrelevant and force the entire market to pay for something that was always there but never had to be named. Presence. Intention. Proof that a human consciousness cared enough to make this particular thing. Abundance makes perfection free. Meaning becomes the only scarcity worth paying for. And meaning can’t be automated. Because meaning requires a consciousness choosing to say something specific to someone specific for reasons that matter. The artists who survive won’t be the most technically gifted. They’ll be the most undeniably human. AI gave the world infinite art and proved that what we actually want is irreplaceable.
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@Neiloy @paulg @archaeologyart @jesslivingston indigenous ~= native in the context of referring to the equivalent of native americans. In Canada they don’t call them “native canadian” although that’s just as apt in description to the concept of people descended from those that arrived to lands 1000s rather than 100s yrago
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Archaeology & Art
Archaeology & Art@archaeologyart·
Canadian indigenous artist Roy Thomas (1949-2004): Moose and Wolves, 1977, silkscreen.
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Palmer Luckey
Palmer Luckey@PalmerLuckey·
For the record, my on-the-record statement in response to fishing expedition regarding just how gay I am (which they opted to not include) was: "Does this look like a gay man to you?"
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Palmer Luckey
Palmer Luckey@PalmerLuckey·
I am upset by WIRED cover story about the gay mafia supposedly running Silicon Valley. Not because their own stats show only 0.5% of venture dollars go to homos, but because my response during fact-checking led to them only referring to me as "a prominent defense-technology executive" @micsolana Will you please fix this? Thank you for your attention to this matter.
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@paulg @archaeologyart @jesslivingston When Paul makes anti-woke commentary it’s always coherent which makes this interaction potentially medically/neurologically concerning and possibly worth getting a checkup/MRI for glioma if there’s been other tells unless it’s just a rare miss (indigenous = native
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@TMTLongShort If copper prices were expected to fall for the foreseeable future could you sleep well owning utility and telecom companies?
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@BrandonLuuMD @wrathofgnon The fact the blue line (5-20 joint-years) has the best outcome makes this fail the sniff test, whether because of bad confounding controls or data mishandling or whatever, data as presented is extraordinarily implausible
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
Spreads are too wide and market isn’t clearing (historically high single rates, historically low birth rates) and in conditions of market stress FMV diverges widely from intrinsic value. If this level of dysfunction was happening in the financial markets we’d have yield curve control and a 14-figure stimulus package
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Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson@robinhanson·
All this complaining about the other gender seems so pointless. The quality of your matches with the other gender will be set by your personal market value to the other gender, relative to your same-gender competitors. Complaining won't move you up individually or collectively.
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@SixSigmaCapital How much of revenue growth was just better monetization and how long can that continue if the underlying driver (DAU growth) stalls out?
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SixSigmaCapital
SixSigmaCapital@SixSigmaCapital·
$RDDT stock is so cheap, I feel like I am getting scammed but not yet aware! (No position L/S yet)
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Laser Nite
Laser Nite@lasernite·
Because given the knowledge people buy the “No” as a CD/cash equivalent, in the event of a liquidity shock due to an exogenous event or just cycles in availability of good bets available, the “No” holders dump their positions even at discount if the new available position offers a higher yield (risk adjusted) after discount. The “Yes” buyers knowing this expect to buy a cheap yes front-running a liquidity crunch and dump it at a profit when liquidity is low/effective risk free yield spikes almost like a levered bet on polymarket risk-free rates rising.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Can someone tell me why, seriously, honestly, without a doubt, someone would choose Yes to this Polymarket wager? I get No is essentially like investing in a CD/Annuity/Money Market/T-Bill. But why would someone bet Yes to this and guarantee themselves a loss? Any ideas fam?
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@quantian1 $PYPL and $BMBL easily clear this hurdle. Probably others, what are you using for screening “software companies”?
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Quantіan
Quantіan@quantian1·
Before adjusting for SBC, there are 18 US software companies trading above an 8% FCF yield (highest = 16%, average = 11%). After adjusting for SBC, there are zero. What a terrible industry to knife catch LMAO.
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Laser Nite@lasernite·
@JoeConsorti Silver Thursday was only ~-18%? Wonder if the intraday was worse in ‘80 idk what the bottom tick on the intraday was today something like -34%
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Joe Consorti
Joe Consorti@JoeConsorti·
Silver is down 25% today. Looking all the way back to 1792, this is the largest one-day % decline. Incredible.
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Joe Consorti
Joe Consorti@JoeConsorti·
Gold is down 9.5% today, the largest 1-day drop since 1983, and the 5th largest drop in the history of the US dollar. It has lost $3.4T in value, or ~2 bitcoin market caps, in just 12 hours. Way too volatile to be a store of value.
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