Mike Bernstein

@RedSoxPlayerDev I think @Hunter_Noll might have a new king.

Juanyerlin Duran struck out 6 in 2.2 hitless innings for the FCL Sox yesterday!

@EdHand89 Good episode and Joon is a talented reporter. But he fundamentally misunderstands PE, as it’s not about maximizing profits at all. It’s about maximizing your exit multiple in 5 yrs. He also didn’t explain why the Dodgers have more patient PE capital than the Sox.

Who listened to the Joon Lee episode of PBR and what did you think of it?

Our One Pipeline strategy enables us to advance bold science, whether it comes from our own labs or from our collaborator’s labs.

@JuannyKC @Xaraphim I’ve never felt so seen by an analogy.

@Xaraphim The B-52 is like that refrigerator that came with your house when you bought it 15 years ago and you moved it to the garage but it's still running. Meanwhile, you're on your third stainless steel one with a ice dispenser and pull out freezer drawer in the kitchen.

Can someone tell me how the economics on the B-52 actually works out? This is a legendary aircraft, but what does it do so much better than other bombers in our fleet What are the main reasons that they continuously upgrade this old air frame?

@ByAndrewParker Would they though? Not sure that would change his timeline or relevance to the 2026 Red Sox. Is it worth it throwing him out there in sub 40 degree weather that’s not uncommon in Portland until Memorial Day?

@mikebernstein7 He might force their hand before that happens…

Red Sox prospect Anthony Eyanson threw another scoreless outing yesterday for Greenville. Over 3 games to start the year: 12.1 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0(!!!) BB, 18 K, 0.73 ERA, 0.41 WHIP Small sample size, but might need to get him up to Portland soon if he keeps it up.

@ozskier @slopefillers @mrjordanbentley It’s also pretty small for a snowmaking pond. Less than 10M gallons for sure and probably under 5M judging by the size of that guy in the pic.

@slopefillers @mrjordanbentley That’s my bet since it’s buried.

What did we learn this season about ski resorts in Utah that have base elevations under 8,000 feet? ksl.com/article/514743…

@RadSmithSki Whatever they call Montage these days.

And we’re on to the next ski terrain map project. Can anyone identify this hometown hill? #Skiing #Snowboarding #SKITHEEAST

@realwxforecast @OC_Scanner If it doesn’t have bright graphics and a BREAKING NEWS chyron, I don’t know if I can trust it.

@OC_Scanner And to think some folks forecasted an AR today in #socal.......takes all kinds.

It’s windy as fuck as OC HQ this morning. Damn.

@gabriel_miretti @mountaingoat27 @AdamCrafton_ .Technically the “host” with the obligation to fund is the local Boston organizing committee, not the small town of Foxborough where the stadium is located. They didn’t get a vote, or sign agreements, but will be stuck with the costs. This is their chance to say “no”.

@mountaingoat27 @AdamCrafton_ I'm asking because it's behind a paywall. The FIFA bid process has a lot of requirements. I don't understand how it's not clear 4 months before the event that the host has to cover everything. It happened in Brazil, Russia, Qatar, etc.

“I am flabbergasted. I’m just pissed.” In a Foxboro town hall, elected & unpaid locals (including a chiropractor by day) refuse to give FIFA a license to host games during the World Cup, as they stand firm over a $7.8m funding gap. Deadline: March 17. nytimes.com/athletic/70704…

@ChuckMe92Soccer @kerrc17 Can’t teach his mentality - if he’s healthy he’ll get his.

@mikebernstein7 @kerrc17 Feels like there's a small subset of people who somehow don't think Pepi is much good, but he continues to prove them wrong

Haji goes from a hat trick to 0 shots or chances created

@ChuckMe92Soccer @kerrc17 Anything else is overthinking it in the same way that allowed Jesus Ferreira to be viewed as a better option than Pepi in 2022.

@kerrc17 Both him & Agyemang really struggled apparently I like all 4 of our strikers for what they are good at. Wouldn't even mind carrying all 4 if Wright is viewed as multi-positional depth and Agyemang as an emergency-break-the-glass late sub But Balogun & Pepi ought to be #'s 1 & 2

@KeruboSk I’ve never felt so seen.

ADHD people screenshotting and bookmarking everything because they're afraid of losing ideas, only to never look at them again because the archive is now its own overwhelming problem.

For weeks, Mayor Karen Bass has denied that she was involved in altering an after-action report on the Palisades fire to downplay failures by the city & LAFD But sources say she was concerned about legal liabilities & directed the changes latimes.com/california/sto…

@brendan_camp It’s not nothing. Not sure why they needed a sweetener for a guy who had just been kicked out of the rotation and had no options left. That he looks like he may end up having a 4th OF type career is just a further kick in the nuts.

Apropos of nothing but the Red Sox losing Zach Ehrhard to the Dodgers in the Dustin May trade irked me more than losing James Tibbs III.

@BarDown Whalers and Nordiques jerseys. Respect. 🫡

Nothin’ like a fresh sheet on the outdoor ice 🧊 (via IG/chrisflynnfootballcap)

@ManagerTactical Aside from good health generally, this is probably the most essential storyline USMNT fans should be watching. CB easily our thinnest position at this point, especially with a back 3.

It’s reaching a point where I’d be nonsense for Pochettino not to give Noahkai Banks a USMNT 🇺🇸 roster spot in March. How many good Bundesliga performances does he need to be ahead of players like Miles, Blackmon and Trusty…? He is not the best but likely our most promising CB alongside Richards, he is probably a top 4-5 CB for us though.

@matt_lorelli @skinorthwest @mattgebo @VailResorts @StevensPass They aren’t actually doing just fine, which is why they canned the CEO this year. Earnings up just 2-3% and stock down over 1/3 in the last 2 yrs isn’t “doing fine”. That said, they still won’t sell Steven’s b/c the broader point is correct - it sells Epic Passes in Seattle.

@skinorthwest @mattgebo @VailResorts @StevensPass Check out Vail’s latest earnings report. They’re doing just fine. Turns out that selling boat loads of epics passes between June and October pays the bills and more.

I’m increasingly convinced that @VailResorts’ first resort divestiture will be @StevensPass. It’s just too much of a headache for them, and there’s no way it’s made any money on their balance sheet. Now’s the time for a Seattle-area investment group to put together an offer.

@jason61987 @realwxforecast Yeah you called it a month ago for the fist week of December. Exponential increases of some metric were observed!! Haven’t seen you talking much about that one though. 🤔

@realwxforecast I told you we were going to get rain🙌🙌💯🤣. Classic December 2004 event.

Followers — hope you’re all having a good and safe holiday season. I’m finally done with my holiday parties, so I’m back to finishing out the year on the business side and can now spend a bit more time digging into the weather. By now, everyone—followers and non-followers alike—has heard that an “ARKSTORM” is supposedly coming to the West Coast and #SoCal next week from the Marshall Islands… 😂 The hype around this pattern change is epic. Truly epic. Personally, I think this setup looks similar to what we experienced in mid-November. The main difference? It’s now December, so there’s at least some hope that colder air from the Arctic can bleed farther south—maybe even toward the Mexican border. One can dream. That said, below is my AI-driven weather update, and it’s extensive. AI Weather Discussion: The large-scale pattern across the Pacific–North America domain is undergoing a structural change, favoring a wetter West Coast after weeks of blocking from Greenland: What’s driving the shift??: • Breakdown of the persistent +EPO / +PNA-style Pacific ridge • Height falls across the NE Pacific as troughing deepens near 140–150W • Jet stream becomes more zonal with undercutting flow beneath the ridge • Strengthening Pacific jet increases IVT transport, opening the door for ARs • Better phasing between subtropical moisture and mid-latitude energy Regional impacts: Northern California • Favored region for strongest IVT (AR's) and frontal forcing • Higher QPF potential with multiple shortwaves • Orographic enhancement along coastal ranges and Sierra • Snow levels fluctuate with each wave but trend lower behind cold fronts Central California: • Increased confidence in valley-wide precipitation • Improved frontal penetration into the Central Valley • Sierra Nevada snowpack gains as trough axis moves inland • Inversion erosion as stronger synoptic forcing replaces stagnant flow Southern California • Rain chances tied to trough amplitude and southern extent of jet • Precipitation efficiency improves with deeper cold-core systems • Convective elements possible if upper-level cold pool advects south • Burn scar and debris-flow risk depends on rainfall rates, not totals Now, this pattern change is still 5+ days away for#SoCal and Central CA, NorCal is getting some showers, which are the tail send of more rain into the #PNW That being said, a lot can between now and then, so there is a lot that can change. Again, the snow levels are all over the map in the Sierra's, so I am trying to streamline it below: West Coast Pattern Shift: Timing & rain/Snow Breakdown (CA) The evolving Pacific pattern change favors a multi-wave storm sequence, and not a single event. Guidance supports an active window over the next 7–10 days as Pacific troughing reloads and the jet remains energized. Timing Overview • Confidence highest north → south 🌧️ Northern California Rain: • Event-total QPF (drought.gov/data-maps-tool…): 3–8 inches coast & coastal ranges from today thru end of next week. • Locally 10+ inches favored terrain (orographic enhancement) • Valley totals generally 1.5–4 inches Snow: • Sierra snowfall: 4–8 feet above ~7,000 ft across multiple waves • Snow levels initially higher, lowering post-frontal as trough axis moves inland • Strong cold advection behind systems supports accumulating snow at pass levels later in the period Primary drivers: High IVT (AKA the AR), strong frontogenesis, persistent upslope flow. Central California Rain: • Valley QPF: 1–3 inches, locally higher with AR alignment • Coastal/foothills: 3–6 inches • Best rainfall efficiency during stronger frontal passages vs stratiform events Snow: • Sierra totals: 2–5 feet above ~7,000 ft • Snow levels fluctuate but trend downward as colder mid-level temps overspread the region next week Pattern note: Improved synoptic forcing helps break inversions and scour out long-standing stagnant conditions. Those that have fought the Tule fog for the better part of a month know what I am talking about Southern California Rain: • Basin/coastal totals: 0.75–2.5 inches • Foothills/mountains: 2–5 inches, locally higher if jet dips farther south, that is TBD. • Heavier rates tied to convective elements embedded within cold-core systems Snow: • San Bernardino/San Gabriel ranges: 1–3 feet above ~6,500–7,000 ft • Snow levels highly sensitive to trough amplitude and timing of cold air advection ⚠️ Burn scar impacts depend on rainfall rates, not storm totals — short-duration high rates remain the main concern. Folks — I threw a lot at you, I know 😄 But you deserve it. Here are the key takeaways: • NorCal: Rain begins later tonight, continuing on and off for the next 7–10 days. • SoCal: Rain chances increase Monday night into Tuesday. • Sierra snow levels: These will be highly variable with this pattern. I strongly recommend following @TahoeWeather (BA) and @OpenSnow for detailed mountain forecasts. • We need this snowpack badly, and the timing of this pattern change is favorable. • I’m hoping snow levels in the Tahoe Basin drop closer to lake level during the stronger AR impulses next week. • SoCal mountains: Expect elevated snow levels, but details are still TBD. More clarity coming this weekend as models converge. I’ve already shared rainfall totals through next Friday from the Euro AI, Euro ENS, and NBM. The numbers are impressive — but keep in mind they resemble November model runs at similar lead times, especially for #SoCal. Expect refinements. 📌 Resources to follow closely: @NWSLosAngeles | @NWSSanDiego | @NWSBayArea | @NWSSacramento | @NWSReno These offices will be critical as we head into what currently looks like a high-impact event statewide. Stay weather-aware. More updates once the PM model suite rolls in. PS: Some of you noticed I changed my profile photo. Due to a few disturbing interactions and security concerns related to my work, I was advised to remove it. I’ll switch to a cartoon image this weekend. Amazing that weather discussion can lead to threats — but here we are. It takes all kinds. More soon....... #LARain #CAwx #socal #pnw

@realwxforecast But, but the Marshall Islands!!

Persistent Blocking Pattern Sets Up a Tale of Two Winters Across the CONUS Followers - Hope everyone had a great thanksgiving holiday. Below is my AI weather discussion, in honor of meteorological winter (12/1), as I lay out what the next 2 to 3 weeks will be over the CONUS. Some folks have been posting that there is a major AR coming into #SoCal this week thru next week, etc. Folks, that is fantasyland. Read below and I will summarize it. If you don't want to read it, scroll to the bottom: AI Weather Discussion - Over the next few weeks, the continental U.S. (CONUS) will remain locked into a classic high-amplitude blocking pattern—a setup that strongly favors warmth and dryness in the West while cold air remains trapped across the Northeast and Great Lakes. This type of configuration is becoming more common in recent winters, and it creates extreme regional contrasts in temperature, wind, and snowfall. Why This Pattern Is Occurring: - At the hemispheric scale, the atmosphere is being dominated by a strong ridge over the Eastern Pacific and Western North America, while a deep long-wave trough is anchored over the eastern half of the U.S. Key drivers include: - Negative EPO (East Pacific Oscillation): A strong ridge near Alaska and the Gulf of Alaska is blocking Pacific storm energy from entering the West Coast. - Jet stream displacement: The polar jet is forced north into western Canada, then dives sharply southeast into the Midwest and Northeast. - Downstream troughing: Cold Arctic air is repeatedly reinforced east of the Rockies, while the West remains under subsidence and compressional warming. - Air mass stagnation: Because this is a block (not progressive flow), these features move very slowly—locking in the pattern for weeks rather than days. Those in the central valley can relate, with the tule fog. The pattern is stagnate. - This is a high-latitude block with split-flow characteristics, preventing a traditional west-to-east storm track across California and the Great Basin. - Which means, California & the West Coast: Santa Ana Winds and Abnormal Warmth! - With high pressure dominating the Great Basin and interior West, surface pressure gradients repeatedly favor offshore flow into Southern California. This leads to: - Frequent Santa Ana wind events - Downslope compressional warming - Very low humidity - Temperatures well above seasonal averages Elevated fire-weather conditions As air descends from the elevated desert plateau toward the coast, it warms adiabatically, producing summer-like temperatures in late fall and early winter, even as the calendar says winter. Northern and Central California will also remain mostly dry, with only glancing inside-slider systems that bring wind and brief cooling—but almost no precipitation. ****Snow Impacts in the West**** - Because the Pacific storm door is effectively shut, ski resorts across: - The Sierra Nevada, Southern Oregon, Utah and the central Rockies will continue to see below-normal snowfall, thin base depth, and heavy reliance on snowmaking. Natural snow opportunities will be highly limited until the block breaks down, but in the meantime, snow making might be optimal, due to the dry/cool nighttime conditions needed for the snow guns to produce a base layer. Northeast & Great Lakes (Hudson Bay Low anchored away): - Cold Air Locked In Downstream of the western ridge, the jet stream carves out a persistent trough across the Eastern U.S. This allows: - Repeated Arctic air intrusions - Below-normal temperatures - Strong lake-effect snow events - Occasional coastal storm threats (when moisture becomes available) - Unlike the West, the Northeast has a continuous cold supply, creating a much more favorable environment for: - Natural snow production - Strong seasonal snowpack development - Early-season ski resort operations Synopsis: We are seeing a true split-winter pattern—with snowpack expanding rapidly in the Northeast while the West waits for its first meaningful storm cycle. When Does This Change? - Blocking patterns are notoriously resistant to quick breakdowns. Until we see: - A shift in the EPO back to neutral or positive - A collapse of the Gulf of Alaska ridge - Or a strong Pacific jet re-engagement - MJO position favorable for West Coast troughing - …the West Coast will remain largely dry and warm, while the East stays locked in cold. Forecast guidance suggests this pattern could persist well into the next 2–3+ weeks, possibly longer. Bottom Line - - California stays warm, dry, and windy with recurring Santa Ana events off and on for the next few weeks. - Although #california had a lot of rain in November, Fire danger remains elevated despite the calendar shifting deeper into winter. - The Northeast gets the cold and much of the snow, creating a growing regional imbalance in early-season winter weather. This is similar to the pattern that was set up with the wind storms last year, that brought apocalyptic winds and the #palisades and #Eaton Fires - This is being driven by a classic high-latitude block tied to a negative EPO and jet stream suppression along the Pacific Coast. - If this block relaxes later this winter, all the withheld Pacific energy could be released in a much more active storm cycle for the West—but until then, winter remains firmly split east vs. west. *****Summary***** if you skipped to this point, or read the whole discussion: So, I hope this covered some key points. I went back and looked at my winter outlook from last year - x.com/realwxforecast… I discussed the block, the Meridional flow, which is a large-scale atmospheric motion with a significant north-south component, unlike the more common east-west zonal flow. I also discussed the -EPO a well. One thing that I discussed in my winter outlook this year versus last year, is the southern jet being in play. Currently, some of the ENSO regions got a bit cooler, which I think has suppressed the southern jet, to knock out the block to the east. Time will tell when and if that happens this month, as well if those ENSO regions wam up. One thing for certain, the next few weeks in out west, into the #PNW and CA will be by and large, warm, dry and very windy from time to time, despite most of the teleconnection patterns being favorable for active weather in CA. Crystal Ball - a ton of you have asked me when the pattern is going to break out west. On paper, I would say the week of Xmas, but the can is getting kicked down the road. Most of these blocking patterns can last 21+ days, and reload again. A lot of the weather folks have said the AR's are coming back to the west coast the middle to the end of this week and next week. I don't see that at all. Time will tell, but will know more later this week. In the meantime, look at my images below, and let me know if you have any questions. Images posted - Euro Ens 850 MB temps, Euro AI, Euro weeklies PNA index and EPO Index. The PNA really goes deep negative in the middle of December, the EPO goes positive and then neutral middle of December. This is good news on paper to remove the block, again, TBD. The delay of these forecasted teleconnections patterns could be weeks before the block our west is removed. Pray! More later...... #socal #california #santaana #cawx #nywx #pnw