Mitchell Hall

Like I say in my bio^

@chiky_handlr @AskPerplexity is this Trump quote real?

Reporter: The DOJ has this new fund — $1.7 billion. Why should taxpayers pay for the January 6ers? Trump: Because in my world, loyalty outranks law. They broke the rules for me, so you pay the bill for them. That’s the transaction.

@Doveofwar @michaeldweiss But Ukrainian capabilities keep increasing. Fighter jets, strategic depth drones and missiles, Starlink coverage in Russia, new organizational structure {corps). Russian capabilities have been degrading along with their air defense network. It's a reductive comparison.

@mitchellhall @michaeldweiss I mean, that's what we have been hearing every day when the Russians were advancing. Now that the Ukrainians are advancing we should do the same analysis.

“Ukraine has begun to claw back ground: a 30-day moving average shows it has recaptured around 189 square kilometres. Russia may be stalling before a summer push. This may also be a turning-point in the war.” economist.com/graphic-detail…

@Doveofwar @michaeldweiss And why would Ukraine keep recapturing lost territory at exactly the current rate?

@michaeldweiss At this rate it would take Ukraine 36 years to recapture the lost territory.

@RichLowry Because the Trump administration and Republican Supreme Court hasn't already overturned it? Wut?

Maybe Harris misunderstands the political moment the way she did when she adopted the Bernie Sanders agenda during her failed 2020 presidential campaign, but she’s probably reading the Democratic room correctly and the mainstream Democratic position in 2028 will be that the constitutional order must be overturned in order to save “democracy” x.com/patadams96/sta…

Social media has accelerated the trend, but let’s be clear: the collapse of Israel’s standing in the United States didn’t just “happen” to Israel. It was the direct result of a series of catastrophic political decisions by Benjamin Netanyahu over the past decade. 1. Netanyahu chose to drag Israel directly into partisan American politics. Opposing the JCPOA was not itself unique. The Gulf states also disagreed with the deal. But Netanyahu went far beyond policy disagreement. He organized a speech before Congress behind the back of the sitting American president in order to directly confront Barack Obama and align Israel with one side of America’s political divide. That moment, ten years ago, was the beginning of the end of bipartisan consensus around the US-Israel relationship. It planted the seeds for Israel becoming a partisan issue in American politics. 2. Netanyahu chose to empower extremists like Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich in order to maintain power. He helped engineer alliances with them, brought them into the center of Israeli politics, and handed them real authority over national security and settlement policy. The images Americans now see almost daily on social media — violent settler attacks in the West Bank, Ben-Gvir celebrating with a noose cake, a Palestinian journalist emerging from prison emaciated and abused under systems overseen by Ben Gvir’s ministry and being interviewed on CNN. All of that has done enormous damage to Israel’s image. Those outcomes were not inevitable. They were the direct consequence of Netanyahu’s political choices. 3. Netanyahu chose to prolong and prosecute the Gaza war in a way that maximized devastation. After October 7, there was overwhelming sympathy for Israel in the United States. Americans broadly agreed Israel had the right to respond to Hamas’ atrocities. But the war did not need to continue for so long, nor did it need to be prosecuted this way. A year before it ended, most Israelis were prepared to support ending the war in exchange for the hostages. Netanyahu repeatedly extended it because ending the war threatened his coalition and his political survival. At the same time, he refused to seriously empower or work with alternative Palestinian leadership that could replace Hamas. So Israel fought a devastating war while ensuring Hamas would still remain part of Gaza’s future afterward. The images coming out of Gaza more than anything else have transformed global and American opinion. Had the war ended earlier after Israel had achieved what military objectives it realistically could, Israel would not be facing anything close to this level of backlash today. 4. Netanyahu played a major role in pushing the United States toward war with Iran. That war is deeply unpopular in the United States. It directly cuts against what Donald Trump promised much of his own political base, namely, avoiding getting bogged down in another Middle East war with no clear strategic rationale and no plan for how to win. It has dramatically driven up oil prices, and will have long term direct economic impacts that Americans will feel every day. And now, just as the JCPOA fight a decade ago began the fracturing of Democrats on Israel, this Iran war is beginning to fracturing of conservatives. It will take time but you already see it.  So no — this is not fundamentally about social media. It is not simply a mysterious surge of antisemitism, a lack of hasbara, or genius social media of Iran and Qatar. And it is not primarily the result of advocacy groups or messaging campaigns. At its core, what we are witnessing is the cumulative consequence of a series of disastrous decisions by Benjamin Netanyahu — decisions that have been bad for Israelis, bad for Palestinians, bad for the United States, and bad for the broader Middle East.

@adamawmo @FireStaroX @jacksonpolyp1 @stoolpresidente Your apparently fervent desire to see this as a war between goodies and baddies speaks to your level of understanding of it. Thank you for your input, and have a nice life : )

@mitchellhall @FireStaroX @jacksonpolyp1 @stoolpresidente they are not like netanyahu's government in the slightest. It seems like you really, really don't want to acknowledge that israel is much, much, much worse than hamas

I don’t get what the gay kid doesn’t understand. If he went to Gaza they’d murder him for being gay. Doesn’t seem that complicated.

@DeepShort7 @slantchev I was going to say the same thing. And Trump will never learn how to deal with Putin.

@slantchev "Western leaders" Isn't more accurately to say Trump?

It’s a nice bit of trolling but the fact remains that the Western leaders folded yet again in the face of direct Russian threats and forced Ukraine to abstain from attacking during the parade. They have learned nothing about how to deal with the Kremlin.

@FireStaroX @jacksonpolyp1 @stoolpresidente It seems like you really, really don't want to acknowledge that Hamas is, like Netanyahu's government, really, really bad.

@mitchellhall @jacksonpolyp1 @stoolpresidente Yeah man, I'm sure they're just going around looking for gay people right now, in the middle of a genocide. And the Israeli bombs actually don't effect gay people

@mattxiv @BriannaWu Serious question: If Israel is genociding Palestinians why are they providing aid to Gazans & not trying to murder the 2+ million Palestinian Israelis? Couldn't see the Nazis doing that. Or is your definition of genocide just "lots of civilians dying in a war is very bad"?

@BriannaWu no, i don’t want to visit a state committing genocide regardless of how they’d treat us as queer people. but thank you

hi dave portnoy i’m “the gay kid” in the video :) if i went to gaza i would killed by an israeli drone strike

@mattxiv If you went to Gaza any time before Hamas started the war they would murder you for being gay, and if you go there after it finishes if Hamas is still in power they will still murder you for being gay.

@CheburekiMan @PhillipsPOBrien If Russia invades, Europe can protect itself with the help of Ukraine. Being able to protect yourself unfortunately does not preclude idiots from trying to invade you. Hope this helps.

@PhillipsPOBrien But people like you said Russia was going to invade Europe. Which is it?

Ukraine is now taking the war to Russia. It is as clear a sign as any that Europe together can protect itself in the future without the USA.

@akanoego @Noahpinion Quibble over the phrasing if you like, but if tanks were obsolete, Ukraine would not have them *anywhere* on their wish list.

@mitchellhall @Noahpinion I mean they accept tanks, but there are no indications they are "desperate" for them, they are nowhere near the top of the wish list.

Yes. Germany can make plenty of tanks but who cares? Tanks are obsolete. How many drones can Germany make?

@JamesPa41826783 @BenObeseJecty There's that, and the other issue is that if you are wounded by a drone, drone saturation means no one can safely evacuate you in time for your injuries to be treated before you die.

@BenObeseJecty The Russian killed to wounded ratio is now 2:1 instead of a traditional 1:4. Basically once a drone homes in on you in the vast majority of cases there is nowhere to hide, you can't outrun it and the likely scenario is it will kill not wound you.

As a former infantryman, this video chills me to the bone. Whilst the war in Ukraine isn’t necessarily the next war, the future of warfare is a nihilistic Black Mirror nightmare that we simply are not prepared for. My fear is that the Defence Investment Plan won’t fix that.

@PhillipsPOBrien @marcthiessen Sorry, when did he have integrity? Lol

You have to give @marcthiessen some credit. When he sells his soul and loses all integrity, he doesn’t hold back. He goes all in and serves his new master without reservation or conscience.

@TrentTelenko Joining an offensive war against Iran is outside the legal definition of NATO's defensive purpose - & is geographically outside NATO's legal boundaries of North America & Europe north of the Tropic of Cancer. Not to mention the war is wildly unpopular with the US public.

Europeans have a real problem if Iran does escalate and Trump invokes NATO’s article Five. Trump is trying- and succeeding in my view - to make the case to the US public to withdraw from NATO. NATO nations refusing to support the USA after an Iranian act of war kill NATO. 1/2

@AdamSinger Like everything in America, this stat is an average and obscures the fact that most Americans earning $100K+ get 4+ weeks vacation (depending on the industry).

Americans: we are financially better off than you Europeans: thank you for your email, I'm currently out of office on annual summer vacation until 30th sept, 2026

@shashj @kriegsforscherD @TheEconomist A fascinating and optimistic perspective - thank you for giving @kriegsforscherD this platform @shashj !

@heynavtoor This post reads like it was written by AI lol

Researchers at EPFL proved your AI is lying to you. Not sometimes. Most of the time. They built one of the hardest hallucination tests ever made with Max Planck Institute. 950 questions. Four domains where being wrong actually hurts. Legal. Medical. Research. Coding. Then they ran every top model on it. The results. GPT-5. Wrong 71.8% of the time. Claude Opus 4.5. Wrong 60% of the time. Gemini 3 Pro. Wrong 61.9% of the time. DeepSeek Reasoner. Wrong 76.8% of the time. These are the smartest AI models on Earth. The ones you trust with your career. Your health. Your money. You think turning on web search fixes it. It doesn't. Claude Opus 4.5 with web search. Still wrong 30.2% of the time. GPT-5.2 thinking with web search. Still wrong 38.2% of the time. The internet attached. Still lying to you in 1 out of every 3 answers. Now the part that should scare you. Medical questions. The one place being wrong can kill you. GPT-5 hallucinated 92.8% of the time on medical guidelines. Claude Haiku 4.5 hallucinated 95.7% of the time. Gemini 3 Flash hallucinated 89% of the time. Nine out of ten medical answers from popular AI models. Wrong. It gets worse. The longer you talk to it, the more it lies. Early mistakes cascade. The model starts citing its own earlier hallucinations as facts. Your third message is more wrong than your first. The paper, in its own words: "hallucinations remain substantial even with web search." This is what hundreds of millions of people are doing right now. Asking software that lies in the majority of its answers. About their health. About their job. About their legal case. About their code. Most are not checking. Most never will. But please. Keep using ChatGPT for medical advice. The doctors need a break. arxiv.org/abs/2602.01031