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@nessmess981

Katılım Temmuz 2009
30 Takip Edilen13 Takipçiler
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R@nessmess981·
@Cashin986 @Brien_Jackson @paulhoti2 There's a bazillion reasons people dislike the health care system. ACA is both consequential & also not attempting to entirely fix a system that evolved over 100+ years. Since you're unwilling to look up data: kff.org/affordable-car… Also 65% are happy with their care!
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Cashin
Cashin@Cashin986·
@nessmess981 @Brien_Jackson @paulhoti2 What’s the popularity of the current health care system? Or are you going to pretend that the ACA is so inconsequential that it has no effect at all?
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Brien Jackson
Brien Jackson@Brien_Jackson·
The real black pill that more Democrats need to recognize is that if you make the median voter's life better they'll just find something else to complain about. Obamacare really should have been that lesson
NickFrank40@NickyFrank30

I’m personally tired of these same talking points. There is no broad agenda that the public will point to that they can agree with “make their lives better.” This varies by person to person. To the extent that there was one issue that there was wide agreement on would improve their lives, it was mass deportations.

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R@nessmess981·
@MattZeitlin Why doesn't the reverse work with, say, anti-union policies for Dems?
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Matthew Zeitlin
Matthew Zeitlin@MattZeitlin·
this is a pretty big asymmetry in us politics: republicans essentially get a free roll to take some populist, anti-business stands without the business lobby releasing the dogs of hell on them because they still prefer them to democrats
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias

I feel like if a Democratic president was trying to ban new built-to-rent housing projects we would be hearing a lot from right of center businessmen about how that's a dumb idea.

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R@nessmess981·
@JamesNeilMeece @mattyglesias Makes sense; but in that case if surgeries, end of life care, emergency interventions, AND costly prescriptions are all covered - I think you'll end up pretty much where we are today
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Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
They want us to think everyone would be able to afford all the treatments they need if only nobody had insurance?
Matthew Yglesias tweet media
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R@nessmess981·
@BresciaEric @Brien_Jackson That's way too much detailed analysis for the m down voter. It's just "I might lose my job and there will be something". Oh and also "they did something about preexisting conditions right? Whew, good"
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EB@BresciaEric·
@nessmess981 @Brien_Jackson Maybe that is a true benefit - if you are thinking risk aversion. But even that is only so so, because if you have your income for part the year, you don’t get as much subsidy and Obamacare plans pre subsidy are much more expensive than previous individual policy plans.
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Cashin
Cashin@Cashin986·
@Brien_Jackson @paulhoti2 Here’s a real black pill; Obamacare made the majority of voter’s lives *worse* and marked the extinction of the moderate Democrat after trying to defend that monstrosity. Your policies target the fringes and not the actual middle. Obamacare revealed that.
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R@nessmess981·
@BresciaEric @Brien_Jackson Median voter *might* like the safety net of having an insurance to fall back to if they lose their job though. Peace of mind is valuable to the median voter. Maybe not valuable enough though.
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EB@BresciaEric·
@Brien_Jackson Obamacare like many (not all) dem policies are about benefiting preferred groups at the expense of the median voter. Charitably you can say they care about the disadvantaged or cynically they are a patronage machine. But regardless of descriptor median voter doesn’t benefit
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R@nessmess981·
@JamesNeilMeece @mattyglesias I developed, in my 30s, an arthritic condition that requires a biologic, which has a list price of 3k/month. Covered or not covered?
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James Meece
James Meece@JamesNeilMeece·
@mattyglesias I think they want us to think insurance is just for big ticket items (cancer, heart attack) and that every day things (prescriptions, PCP) should be paid by yourself.
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R@nessmess981·
@GeorgeRoush Recession in 3...2...1...
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George Roush
George Roush@GeorgeRoush·
Remember when I said "this will be worse for your enemies?" This is what I meant. China and India are both digging into reserves. Asian countries are suspending travel. The EU, with its asinine energy policy, might just flat out collapse. African militias will return from Toyotas to walking on two feet as the ghost in the machine takes the third world first. Fertilizer shortages will eat their crops, leaving them starving. If the United States keeps the pressure on, every unfriendly government will have no choice but to bend the knee. We are the dominant oil producer now. We are the dominant food exporter. Your tanks? Empty. Your fields? Barren. Welcome to the era of hard power, wielded effectively. 🇺🇲💪
R A W S A L E R T S@rawsalerts

🚨#BREAKING: The India’s government has issued a serious warning stating the country currently has only around 60 days of crude oil reserves, 60 days of natural gas supplies, and approximately 45 days of LPG reserves remaining

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Pete Prokopowicz
Pete Prokopowicz@prokopowicz·
@mattyglesias @bscholl DOGE but for real. Cut all NGO funding, close Departments of Ed, HHS, Agriculture, ATF. End all federal subsidies and welfare. Remove military from Europe.
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Blake Scholl 🛫
Blake Scholl 🛫@bscholl·
Stop deficit spending and inflation will end as if by magic. This isn’t hard, except getting Congress to make the necessary cuts.
Blake Scholl 🛫 tweet media
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Michael A. Cohen (NOT TRUMP’S FORMER FIXER)
Michael A. Cohen (NOT TRUMP’S FORMER FIXER)@speechboy71·
I find it baffling that Platner keeps talking about impeaching SCOTUS judges, which would require 2/3 of the Senate, rather than expanding the court, which would require 50 votes (without the filibuster). I can only assume it's that he doesn't want to go on the record saying he supports expanding the Court and decided to talk about impeachment instead.
Graham Platner for Senate@grahamformaine

We have an activist, illegitimate, far-right Supreme Court, and there's a compelling case for the impeachment and removal of at least two justices.

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R@nessmess981·
@SabreExe @poljunkieLA @FreeNortherner I'm not making a point about fairness. I'm narrowly responding to "blue states can't try to even the score by gerrymandering further". CA still being able to swing as many as 5 seats if they try means blue seats can try to respond.
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Sabre Exe
Sabre Exe@SabreExe·
It's a lot overall, but for a state with 52 seats and 40% opposition, only being able to remove just 5 more seats is legit kind of insane. Not even Texas was that ruthless, Dems in post-GM Texas still had a higher percentage of seats (21%) than Republicans had (17%) in pre-GM California. Now it's 21% vs 9%
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Sabre Exe
Sabre Exe@SabreExe·
@poljunkieLA @FreeNortherner California is so incredibly gerrymandered that a state that was 40% Republican would only need to lose 5 Republican seats to make it 52-0
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R@nessmess981·
@MorosKostas That's not the same as what sean is saying. Who has control matters a great deal more than the margin!
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Kostas Moros
Kostas Moros@MorosKostas·
In 2024, Republicans won the House national "popular vote" by 4 million votes (roughly 2.5%), and yet *Dems* gained a net of two seats for a very narrow 220-215 Repub House. Nobody considered that a "nightmare."
Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende

Because we live on the worst timeline, we should prepare for a situation where Rs lose the popular vote cleanly (i.e. 51-46, not the 49-48 situation from 2012) but keep the House. Which would be a nightmare.

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R@nessmess981·
@bonchieredstate You meant the Supreme Court decision would have gone another way?
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Bonchie
Bonchie@bonchieredstate·
All California had to do was chill out when Texas did a map not even as bad as their “commission” map. Squish Republicans would have accepted the ceasefire. But they couldn’t help themselves.
Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini

Decent chance we are looking at 9 pro-GOP redraws and 1 pro-Dem redraw between 2024 and 2026. 🔴 Texas, North Carolina, Ohio, Louisiana, Tennessee, Florida, Alabama, Missouri, South Carolina vs. 🔵 California Gain of ~9 GOP seats from redraws in a neutral environment.

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Clifford Jones
Clifford Jones@Radicalinfidel·
@nessmess981 @happyfreb @idobadtakes The vast majority of crime is committed by blacks. The vast majority of blacks are democrats. We are not allowed to keep blacks out of republican states and towns. Yet.
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R@nessmess981·
@happyfreb @idobadtakes @Radicalinfidel Interesting, but do these really count as cities? Definition seems to be >3800/sq mile. I don't think Fishers or Frisco meet the threshold.
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R@nessmess981·
@happyfreb @idobadtakes @Radicalinfidel Now make a list of the least violent cities in the US. Are they also overwhelmingly democrat? If so you're not getting a signal.
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R@nessmess981·
@marcthiessen Statute of limitation is shorter than 47 years. What's an example of a first-strike attack Iran made against the US in the last 10 years?
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Marc Thiessen
Marc Thiessen@marcthiessen·
Putin launched a war of conquest. Iran has been attacking America for 47 years, spreading terror throughout the Middle East, and pursuing nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles to deliver them. Trump was the first president to respond to Iran’s aggression. If you can’t see the difference, and how your analogy is problematic, that’s pretty sad
Richard N. Haass@RichardHaass

You may not like my pointing out that both Putin and Trump initiated wars of choice (in Ukraine & Iran respectively) where the costs have proven far greater than benefits for them and their country but that doesn't make it less true.

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R@nessmess981·
@mattforney What will they actually pass legislation wise though?
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Matt Forney
Matt Forney@mattforney·
We're living through a repeat of the New Deal coalition era, but with the parties reversed. It is entirely conceivable that Republicans will have 300 seats in the House and 70 in the Senate in the near future. The Democrats are a regional minority party.
Shipwreckedcrew@shipwreckedcrew

2026 and 2028 are going to be desperation level, potential existential events, for Democrats. Between the Census accurately reflecting population shifts and the end of racial gerrymandering that guaranteed them seats in overwhelmingly red states, the Dems will lose maybe as many as 30 seats in the House. They won't just be "competitive" -- these will be likely safe Dem seats becoming likely safe GOP seats. They will become largely a party of the cities to a degree even greater than they are that now. And they are titling farther left in the direction of Euro socialism and the DSA at the same time. They are staring at a future where they are under 180 seats in good election years, and bouncing down around 160 seats in bad years.

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Keşfet

@Cashin986 @Brien_Jackson @paulhoti2 @MattZeitlin @JamesNeilMeece @mattyglesias @BresciaEric @GeorgeRoush