Nick Larson

807 posts

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Nick Larson

Nick Larson

@nlarsonconsltng

linkedin Top Voice // Serial founder // host of Silicon Zombies

Silicon Valley Katılım Temmuz 2013
949 Takip Edilen350 Takipçiler
Nick Larson retweetledi
Chris Anderson
Chris Anderson@TEDchris·
V curious what you make of this... the first TED talk delivered by an AI. But with a lot of loving human nudging.
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Hirokazu Yokohara
Hirokazu Yokohara@Yokohara_h·
動画生成じゃなくて画像生成 これwebカメラからのリアルタイム画像生成だけど動画生成のフレーム補完と違ってなんか温もりを感じて好き
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Nick Larson
Nick Larson@nlarsonconsltng·
@OpenAI is running the @Dropbox playbook. @Anthropic is running the @Box playbook. One built a consumer app so good employees smuggled it into work. The other built a "vault" and sold to CIO’s. Classic "Bottom-Up" vs "Top-Down" battle. Who will win and why?
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Nick Larson
Nick Larson@nlarsonconsltng·
@Scobleizer This is shocking- and to imagine it’s been just 3 years since the first will smith spaghetti video 🍝
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Robert Scoble
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer·
The hallucinations of AI provide mental health break A new kind of AI is here. A real-time world model. This isn’t like anything else you’ve ever done on your computer. It creates frames one after another, which translates into a new kind of video generation engine. I’m using PixVerse’s R1, realtime.pixverse.ai @PixVerse_ which is a category-creating technology and has just been upgraded to 720P HD video. R1 can create anything you want. I asked it to take me skiing in the Swiss Alps. Unlike other engines like Kling or Seedance it creates interactive videos. What makes this real time world model different than others like Kling or Seedance? It builds video frames one after another, so you can actually interact with the video while it plays (and it doesn’t take one to three minutes to generate like the others). More about what I learned by talking with Pixverse in this thread →>
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Robert Scoble
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer·
Jobs going away in Silicon Valley. Meanwhile AI companies tell me demand is exploding. Hmm.
Tech Layoff Tracker@TechLayoffLover

Just got off calls with 23 CTOs across fintech, adtech, and logistics The headcount math has fundamentally changed Average team that was 12 engineers 18 months ago is now planned for 4 by Q2 2025 One CTO walked me through their "AI-first restructuring": 47 engineers today, 16 planned post-reorg. Same product velocity expected. Another just cut their entire QA org. 31 people. Replaced with 2 senior engineers running automated testing through Claude API calls. CTO said "quality actually improved" The most honest one told me they're keeping 1 senior engineer per major product area plus contractors in Bangalore with Copilot access. "Why pay $180K when $35K plus AI gets you 85% of the output" New grad hiring is a dead category. Zero offers planned across all 23 companies for 2025. "We'll hire seniors to manage AI agents instead" Mid-level engineers (L4-L5) are the most endangered. Senior enough to be expensive, not senior enough to manage AI effectively. Three CTOs called them "the squeezed middle" One logistics company eliminated 28 frontend engineers last month. Replaced with 4 seniors using AI-generated components and offshore contractors doing integration work Most chilling quote: "We realized we were paying Silicon Valley salaries for work that AI plus a smart college grad in India can do for 1/8th the cost" The timeline they're all working toward is brutal: 40-50% headcount reduction by end of 2025 "Efficiency gains" is the phrase they use on board decks. What they mean is humans are now optional.

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phil_hellmuth
phil_hellmuth@phil_hellmuth·
I’m onstage Weds talking about success in both poker and business. I am an “Advisor” to over 32 companies, a partner in two funds, and a partner in SPAC’s ​“The Long Game: how to survive and thrive” CZ 15:The Long Game Ft. Phil Hellmuth · Luma luma.com/pokerGOAT
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Nick Larson
Nick Larson@nlarsonconsltng·
@its_The_Dr I met Steve when I was 12. Perhaps I’ll inspire a young future leader like he did me!
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Johnny Midnight ⚡️
Johnny Midnight ⚡️@its_The_Dr·
Steve Jobs talks about calling Hewett when he was 12 years old!
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Kerry Burgess
Kerry Burgess@KerryBurgess·
Brilliant from jamiekaler! It's hard to make light of such a terrible crime, but this might help some thick-as-shit MAGA fanboys understand why this is wrong.
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Nick Larson
Nick Larson@nlarsonconsltng·
@AuntieExhausted @KerryBurgess I understand the parody perfectly; I just think the execution is lazy because it ends up celebrating the thing it’s supposed to be mocking.
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Nick Larson retweetledi
Balaji
Balaji@balajis·
This is the EV flippening. Electric vehicles now fill up roughly as fast as gas. The new BYD chargers add 400km of range in just five minutes.
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TJ
TJ@TJAYTEXAS·
@DOGE Great…now tell us where this savings will be applied.
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Department of Government Efficiency
Contracts Update! Over the last 3 days, agencies terminated and descoped 15 wasteful contracts with a ceiling value of $289M and savings of $140M, including a State Dept. education training contract for “Global Peace Operations Initiative capacity building assistance in Togo”, an $80k HHS consulting contract for “executive coaching” and a $2.7M HUD consulting administrative management contract for “multi-family assessment contractors for green resilient and retrofit program”.
Department of Government Efficiency tweet mediaDepartment of Government Efficiency tweet mediaDepartment of Government Efficiency tweet media
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Nick Larson retweetledi
Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 )
The reason nobody is sure why BTC is pulling back is because everyone is looking for a single cause when this is actually a systems failure with multiple transmission mechanisms reinforcing each other. Here's what actually happened mechanistically: Bitcoin ran from $40,000 to $126,000 in less than a year on a very specific narrative: Federal Reserve easing cycle plus institutional adoption through ETFs equals sustained bull market. The market built up $94 billion in futures open interest, with some platforms offering leverage ratios as high as 1,001 to 1. That setup alone created extraordinary fragility. The trigger was simple but devastating. Fed officials reversed dovish expectations completely. The market went from pricing a 90 percent probability of December rate cuts to just 40 percent. Real yields on short term Treasuries stayed elevated above 5 percent. The entire macro story that justified Bitcoin at $126,000 collapsed in a matter of weeks. Now here's where the structural vulnerability shows up. The new ETF infrastructure that everyone celebrated as bringing institutional money actually created institutional scale sell liquidity that never existed before. When the macro narrative broke, institutions could exit with one click. We saw $1.1 billion in ETF outflows in just days. This isn't retail panic selling. This is professional portfolio managers rebalancing away from an asset whose fundamental thesis just evaporated. Simultaneously, long term holders who bought Bitcoin between $40,000 and $80,000 started distributing. They offloaded 815,000 Bitcoin in 30 days. These holders aren't selling because they think Bitcoin is worthless. They're selling because they see volatility ahead and they're sitting on 50 to 150 percent profits. Smart money doesn't ride drawdowns when they can step aside and rebuy lower with the same capital. Here's where it becomes a cascade. When price broke the $100,000 support level, technical stops triggered across the entire derivatives complex. Over $20 billion in leveraged positions got liquidated throughout October and November. Some single day events saw $3.2 billion wiped out. The liquidations themselves created additional selling pressure, which triggered more stops, which forced more liquidations. Open interest collapsed from $94 billion to $68 billion, but there's probably still more leverage that needs to clear. The critical insight everyone is missing: there are no natural buyers at these price levels. Institutions are rebalancing away from risk assets. Long term holders are waiting for lower prices to rebuy. Retail got scared off by the violence of the move. And new buyers won't step in until the leverage gets fully flushed and price stabilizes. So the market has to fall far enough to accomplish three things. Clear the remaining leverage completely. Reach prices where long term holders stop distributing and start accumulating again. Find the level where actual value buyers with real capital see opportunity worth the volatility risk. The $600 billion wipeout you're seeing is mostly the evaporation of unrealized gains that were paper wealth to begin with. When Bitcoin went from $40,000 to $126,000, that represented about $1.7 trillion added to market cap. A lot of that was pure multiple expansion based on a macro narrative that turned out to be wrong. Now the market is repricing based on reality: high real yields, no Fed easing, strong dollar environment. This isn't mysterious. It's textbook deleveraging dynamics in an asset with no cash flows to anchor valuation, extreme leverage ratios, and a macro thesis that broke. A 25 percent correction after a 215 percent rally with 1,000x leverage in the system is actually normal market behavior when the fundamental story changes. The violence of the move reflects the amount of leverage that was built up, not any change in Bitcoin's long term prospects. The real question isn't why did this happen. The real question is what price level actually clears the market and brings in genuine buyers rather than leveraged speculators. That's still being discovered.
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