Norbert
1.1K posts






Over the past week, I have significantly reduced my position in $PATH and I am considering selling all of it. TLDR: Weak moat & pricing power, and I like risk/reward in other stocks more I see a lot of extreme enthusiasm about $PATH and I think most people that own the stock don't understand the landscape of the space fully. I run a company helping businesses automate processes in their business and this can be done at a fraction of the cost of $PATH's software. We do this for smaller SMBs, not enterprise. But I have seen multiple startups pop up which are competing with $PATH for enterprise. $PATH 's technology has almost no moat. The moat is that they are established and have trust behind their name and partnerships with companies like $MSFT. For legacy enterprise companies, it's hard to get them to take a chance on something new and unproven, especially when security and sensitive data is involved. THIS is $PATH 's moat. While this is the case, I have talked to people who have indicated that many enterprise clients are looking for alternatives because $PATH 's software is expensive (even though it generates an ROI for businesses) and it's hard to leave once they are integrated. This could be seen as a positive, as their business is very sticky, but long-term, clients are looking for another solution. I want to be clear, I am not bearish on $PATH. I think they can still win especially in the near-term, however I think the long-term future is much more uncertain and they may be forced to lower prices exponentially. For now, I still have a small position and even if I end up selling all of it I will be rooting for them and all of you who own it. I just rather have my capital behind companies which have a much stronger moat and better risk/reward. $PATH still has a strong balance sheet and I'm sure growth will re-accelerate. So maybe I play this on a shorter time frame (1-2 years) but long-term, the future is realllly uncertain in my view. Regardless would love to hear your thoughts if I am wrong I am always open to having my mind changed!































