Osman (Ozzie) Osman

@PeteHegseth The Persian Stone Age was probably more civilized than you are.

Back to the Stone Age.

Tech leaders be like "we can replace managers with AI, except me, I am clearly not replaceable".

I'm so tired of paying taxes to kill kids, man.

@mattyglesias this will be over in 4 days. no wars just peace in the Middle East breaking out.

Eyewitness accounts are emerging of Israeli settlers brutally sexually and physically assaulting men, women, and children in the West Bank By @skwawkbox thecanary.co/skwawkbox/2026…

Israeli settlers sexually assaulted Palestinian man in Jordan Valley, witnesses say haaretz.com/middle-east-ne…

Some Israeli settlers are terrorists acting not just with impunity, but with the protection of the IDF.

𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚: An Israeli settler deliberately ran his car over a Palestinian child in the West Bank. The IDF acknowledged the case but dropped the charges. This is what impunity looks like.

Almost an entire family, a father, a mother, and their two children with special needs, was massacred by the IDF today. Two Palestinian men were shot at point-blank range on Thursday. There is a policy behind these deaths and much of the other violence committed by the IDF🧵

@AJEnglish Did they also have hostages? 🙄

Aftermath of Israeli air strikes in southern Lebanon’s Kfar Kila. 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/a49wlz

@chamath @nick_vladkis @troyhouse The human version of Wealthfront's "we've harvested losses for you" notification, except Wealthfront is less self-congratulatory.

@nick_vladkis @troyhouse Then you generated capital losses. Did you use those yet??

What happened at Social Capital was several things: 1) Personally, I was going through a divorce. It was a very hard time. 2) My ostensible “cofounders” spent more time jostling for board seats and credit for deals with outsiders vs doing good work and mentoring a team. They made the place a political snake pit - something that I had unfortunately allowed to happen. So I killed the snake. 3) It was increasingly clear that my returns were sporadic but gargantuan and didn’t fit in a classic fund with LPs. I was a home run hitter in a business where raising new funds invariably led you to hitting singles and doubles. In other words, I was making suboptimal portfolio decisions so I would return capital in order to keep raising funds. This was important to stack the compensation of my team who had far less capital than I did. I’m in a much better place now personally and professionally. We invest only my capital and so far, so good. Long live Social Capital.

Vote the pro-peace ticket. Vote Trump-Vance 🇺🇸

Remember that I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly-not skilled!

This is an insane comparison to make. Humans are not hardware or purely economic agents. Humans are hopes, dreams, emotions, dignity.

@karpathy Very reassuring to read this (vs all the hype out there). Very aligned with how we are using AI in development at Monarch. somehowmanage.com/2026/01/22/a-s…

A few random notes from claude coding quite a bit last few weeks. Coding workflow. Given the latest lift in LLM coding capability, like many others I rapidly went from about 80% manual+autocomplete coding and 20% agents in November to 80% agent coding and 20% edits+touchups in December. i.e. I really am mostly programming in English now, a bit sheepishly telling the LLM what code to write... in words. It hurts the ego a bit but the power to operate over software in large "code actions" is just too net useful, especially once you adapt to it, configure it, learn to use it, and wrap your head around what it can and cannot do. This is easily the biggest change to my basic coding workflow in ~2 decades of programming and it happened over the course of a few weeks. I'd expect something similar to be happening to well into double digit percent of engineers out there, while the awareness of it in the general population feels well into low single digit percent. IDEs/agent swarms/fallability. Both the "no need for IDE anymore" hype and the "agent swarm" hype is imo too much for right now. The models definitely still make mistakes and if you have any code you actually care about I would watch them like a hawk, in a nice large IDE on the side. The mistakes have changed a lot - they are not simple syntax errors anymore, they are subtle conceptual errors that a slightly sloppy, hasty junior dev might do. The most common category is that the models make wrong assumptions on your behalf and just run along with them without checking. They also don't manage their confusion, they don't seek clarifications, they don't surface inconsistencies, they don't present tradeoffs, they don't push back when they should, and they are still a little too sycophantic. Things get better in plan mode, but there is some need for a lightweight inline plan mode. They also really like to overcomplicate code and APIs, they bloat abstractions, they don't clean up dead code after themselves, etc. They will implement an inefficient, bloated, brittle construction over 1000 lines of code and it's up to you to be like "umm couldn't you just do this instead?" and they will be like "of course!" and immediately cut it down to 100 lines. They still sometimes change/remove comments and code they don't like or don't sufficiently understand as side effects, even if it is orthogonal to the task at hand. All of this happens despite a few simple attempts to fix it via instructions in CLAUDE . md. Despite all these issues, it is still a net huge improvement and it's very difficult to imagine going back to manual coding. TLDR everyone has their developing flow, my current is a small few CC sessions on the left in ghostty windows/tabs and an IDE on the right for viewing the code + manual edits. Tenacity. It's so interesting to watch an agent relentlessly work at something. They never get tired, they never get demoralized, they just keep going and trying things where a person would have given up long ago to fight another day. It's a "feel the AGI" moment to watch it struggle with something for a long time just to come out victorious 30 minutes later. You realize that stamina is a core bottleneck to work and that with LLMs in hand it has been dramatically increased. Speedups. It's not clear how to measure the "speedup" of LLM assistance. Certainly I feel net way faster at what I was going to do, but the main effect is that I do a lot more than I was going to do because 1) I can code up all kinds of things that just wouldn't have been worth coding before and 2) I can approach code that I couldn't work on before because of knowledge/skill issue. So certainly it's speedup, but it's possibly a lot more an expansion. Leverage. LLMs are exceptionally good at looping until they meet specific goals and this is where most of the "feel the AGI" magic is to be found. Don't tell it what to do, give it success criteria and watch it go. Get it to write tests first and then pass them. Put it in the loop with a browser MCP. Write the naive algorithm that is very likely correct first, then ask it to optimize it while preserving correctness. Change your approach from imperative to declarative to get the agents looping longer and gain leverage. Fun. I didn't anticipate that with agents programming feels *more* fun because a lot of the fill in the blanks drudgery is removed and what remains is the creative part. I also feel less blocked/stuck (which is not fun) and I experience a lot more courage because there's almost always a way to work hand in hand with it to make some positive progress. I have seen the opposite sentiment from other people too; LLM coding will split up engineers based on those who primarily liked coding and those who primarily liked building. Atrophy. I've already noticed that I am slowly starting to atrophy my ability to write code manually. Generation (writing code) and discrimination (reading code) are different capabilities in the brain. Largely due to all the little mostly syntactic details involved in programming, you can review code just fine even if you struggle to write it. Slopacolypse. I am bracing for 2026 as the year of the slopacolypse across all of github, substack, arxiv, X/instagram, and generally all digital media. We're also going to see a lot more AI hype productivity theater (is that even possible?), on the side of actual, real improvements. Questions. A few of the questions on my mind: - What happens to the "10X engineer" - the ratio of productivity between the mean and the max engineer? It's quite possible that this grows *a lot*. - Armed with LLMs, do generalists increasingly outperform specialists? LLMs are a lot better at fill in the blanks (the micro) than grand strategy (the macro). - What does LLM coding feel like in the future? Is it like playing StarCraft? Playing Factorio? Playing music? - How much of society is bottlenecked by digital knowledge work? TLDR Where does this leave us? LLM agent capabilities (Claude & Codex especially) have crossed some kind of threshold of coherence around December 2025 and caused a phase shift in software engineering and closely related. The intelligence part suddenly feels quite a bit ahead of all the rest of it - integrations (tools, knowledge), the necessity for new organizational workflows, processes, diffusion more generally. 2026 is going to be a high energy year as the industry metabolizes the new capability.

@the_andrey_x They just keep making you look more heroic and bad-ass.

Thank you for the repost 🔥

@IsraelMFA @gidonsaar "Yes, you are all wrong"

After an examination and discussion conducted following the US withdrawal from dozens of international organizations, Israel's Minister of Foreign Affairs @gidonsaar has decided that Israel will immediately sever all contact with the following UN agencies and international organizations. In addition, Foreign Minister Sa'ar has instructed his Ministry to immediately examine, in consultation with relevant government ministries, when necessary, the continued cooperation between Israel and other organizations. Further decisions will be made following thorough examination and an additional discussion. From the organizations listed in the US' announcement - Israel has already severed its ties with: 1. Office of the Special Representative of the Secretary-General for Children in Armed Conflict. The Office shamelessly blacklisted the IDF in 2024. Israel is the only democratic country to be listed, alongside ISIS and Boko Haram. Israel already severed ties with the Office in June 2024. 2. UN Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women. (UNWOMEN). The organization deliberately ignored all cases of sexual violence committed against Israeli women on Oct. 7th, 2023. The former local head of UNWOMEN concluded her tenure at Israel's request. Israel terminated its cooperation agreement with the body and notified the UN Secretary-General that it is ceasing all cooperation with the body, as of July 2024. 3. UN Conference for Trade and Development. (UNCTAD). The organization authored dozens of virulent anti-Israel reports. Israel has been disengaged for years. 4. UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia. (ESCWA). The organization issues virulent anti-Israel reports annually, and serves as a basis for further anti-Israel resolutions. Israel has been disengaged for years. In addition to these organizations, it was decided to sever ties from the following organizations: 5. UN Alliance of Civilizations. Founded by Turkey and Spain, the organization allegedly seeks to promote intercultural and inter-religious dialogue but has not invited Israel to participate, and has instead for years been used as a platform for attacks against Israel. 6. UN Energy. This wasteful organization reflects the excessive and inefficient bureaucracy of the UN. 7. Global Forum on Migration and Development. The Forum erodes the ability of sovereign nations to enforce their own immigration laws. As stated, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs will thoroughly examine additional organizations and further decisions will be made later.

@jmsuth @VicVijayakumar I don't understand how. Once we had kids our Starbucks spend plummeted and Target spend sky-rocketed.

@VicVijayakumar Flip the merchants and you have my household

I was not prepared for this

@nikitabier @miragemunny What % of highly-active posters have drafts though?

@miragemunny People with >10 drafts: 0.00072% of DAU This would be the worst engineering-to-impact ratio in the known universe. Better thing I’d like to solve: why aren’t you just posting those drafts when inspiration strikes?

hear me out @nikitabier— add a “search” feature within the ‘drafts’ tab, so i can search for key-words in my drafts instead of scrolling through hundreds of them to find the draft i am looking for thank you for your attention to this matter

@nasdaily @msuster @amasad By simple math, terrorism from the IDF far exceeds any terrorism from the Palestinians, and is funded by US taxpayer money (including myself and Amjad), so there's that. Unlike Shaun, Amjad isn't baselessly/obsessively accusing people of things. So there's that too. 🤡

As a Palestinian myself who actually has ancestry that goes back hundreds of years, I can tell you that your activism from Silicon Valley is the WORST thing for us. You frame it as child murder yet you never acknowledge the terrorism that has infiltrated the Palestinian cause which is destroying all of Palestine. Stop being intellectually dishonest.

The obsessive hate from some parts of the VC community towards Palestinians is beyond insane. Why do they need to baselessly frame Palestinians in totally unrelated incidents? I suspect it’s to justify the mass child murder they’ve been cheering on in Gaza.