Peyton

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Peyton

Peyton

@peytonroym

Living life one token at a time

USA Katılım Nisan 2015
347 Takip Edilen87 Takipçiler
Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@carm1nee And it would still be overvalued
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Сarm1ne
Сarm1ne@carm1nee·
Gavin Baker on the SpaceX situation: "Wall Street consensus is $73 billion in revenue - if they bring on 3 gigawatts of power next year that's $150 billion - that's not in the model" this is him explaining why SpaceX could double what the Street expects, why intelligence per dollar will define the future of AI, and why betting against Elon has destroyed entire funds "open source models fundamentally just shift margin from the model layer to the infrastructure layer - if you have cheaper tokens we're going to consume more of them - we are structurally short compute" "the Cursor acquisition for $60 billion is looking very smart - that was $3 billion in annual revenue when they bought it - I think it's probably materially higher" "there's a graveyard of funds that shut down because they were Tesla short" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓
Сarm1ne@carm1nee

Mark Cuban watching AI repeat the exact same pattern as dot com bubble: "if there's a price performance curve on AI that minimizes the power requirements there's going to be a lot of data centers that are going to be turned into pickleball courts" this is him explaining why he thinks most VCs and funds are about to get wiped out, why CEOs have no idea what's coming, and what the dot-com bubble taught him about what happens when everyone prices to perfection "it's not the traditional dot-com bubble - but it could just destroy a lot of VCs and a lot of funds and a lot of PE - because they're going all in" "CEOs have no clue what is going on with AI - none whatsoever - and that's not going to change" "every single business plan ever written in the history of business plans is wrong" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓

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Daniel
Daniel@danielisdizzy·
I want to own $CBRS. I just don’t want to own it yet. The bull case for Cerebras is incredibly compelling: • Its chips can deliver inference speeds up to 13x faster than Nvidia GPUs. • $CBRS signed a deal with OpenAI worth more than $20B for 750 MW of compute capacity. • $AMZN AWS will deploy Cerebras chips in its data centers. • Back in 2017, OpenAI reportedly tried to acquire Cerebras, believing its chips were exactly what OpenAI needed. $CBRS is already down 55% from its highs and now trades below its $185 IPO price. It’s starting to get interesting. But I still don’t think the sell-off is over. I believe we’ll see even lower prices over the next few months, and that’s when I’ll be ready to open a position. I want to own $CBRS. I’m just waiting for the right price. How low do you think it goes?
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SemiAnalysis
SemiAnalysis@SemiAnalysis_·
ALERT🚨🚨: META's CUSTOM AMD MI400-series chip will be half the size of a normal MI455X chip. It is "optimized" for recsys workloads and $/Memory Bandwidth. It will use ~144GB of HBM instead of 432GB. We break it down below👇️ 1/7🧵
SemiAnalysis tweet media
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Patrick Moorhead
Patrick Moorhead@PatrickMoorhead·
Everybody told me Helios was too big! It’s all about perspective. $AMD
Patrick Moorhead tweet media
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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@PatrickMoorhead No one has $2.4T to spend annually just for ai silicon let alone memory and power
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Patrick Moorhead
Patrick Moorhead@PatrickMoorhead·
Time to short $NVDA. 🤣 Seriously, this number is mind boggling. $2.4T per year. Accurate? Don’t know.
Gavin Baker@GavinSBaker

Interesting report from @theinformation that Nvidia will be able to make 1000 Vera Rubin racks per day, which is $630b per quarter. Actually a little hard for me to believe and haven’t checked the math, but wow if true. And Vera CPU racks and Groq LPU racks would be incremental to this. As would their new business model where they take a revenue share of neocloud revenue in return for guaranteeing offtake. I do think the latter point has not been well explored by analysts and is likely to be super important going forward.

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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@anni_sen Adding at the top what an idiot
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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@Midnight_Captl They not doing $700b lil bro and then if they do current market cap is well priced
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Nick Dorsey
Nick Dorsey@Midnight_Captl·
If $NVDA consensus is like $550B in rev next yr , and they end up doing >$700B in rev- people at MS / BofA / others should lose their jobs These teams are getting paid huge $$$ to get the numbers right or at least directionally right on the biggest company on earth, and I have a sneaking suspicion that all their numbers are complete dog shit and not even directionally right
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the tiny corp
the tiny corp@__tinygrad__·
Tune in tomorrow at 10:30 AM PST for the history and a tour of tinygrad. I'll post a link if there is one.
the tiny corp tweet media
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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@itskasturiii I concur my HRV has been spiking since I stopped
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Kasturi
Kasturi@itskasturiii·
creatine is such a scam. why did it become a trend? i feel nauseous and bloated all the time if i take it
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Raq
Raq@raqisright·
The type of girl they warn you about
Raq tweet media
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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@mweinbach i think it will be livestreamed :ppp
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Max Weinbach
Max Weinbach@mweinbach·
Well crap my flight to AMD Advancing AI was just cancelled because of the storms tomorrow All the earlier and later ones are sold out or cancelled as well
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Finance Jack
Finance Jack@FinanceJack44·
It's genuinely possible that $AMD hits $1000 this year. I'm not banking on it by any means, but it is possible. We have multiple new customers signing on + earnings are likely going to surprise massively to the upside, especially on guidance. This is why I can't bring myself to sell $AMD. The business just continues to execute at a very high level, which naturally brings exponential growth in the fundamentals that is hard to value ahead of time. Simply put, the thesis is getting stronger and stronger over time. That's not the kind of investment I want to get out of.
Finance Jack@FinanceJack44

$AMD has added $MSFT as another major AI customer. At the center of the deal is the deployment of the Helios rackscale platform shipping later this year, which contains MI455x GPUs and EPYC Venice CPUS. Clearly Lisa Su wasn't lying when she said that demand for this upcoming series of chips continued to exceed expectations. Thanks in large part to Helios. Looks like $AMD still has a long way to go...

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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@SemiAnalysis_ It lists AWS, but AWS is not a customer so this means nothing
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SemiAnalysis
SemiAnalysis@SemiAnalysis_·
ANTHROPIC WILL BE AN AMD CUSTOMER, ACCORDING TO THE PUBLIC GITHUB OF AMD’S SENIOR DIRECTOR OF AI 🚨🚨 We explain the GitHub code and nuances below👇️ 1/4🧵
SemiAnalysis tweet media
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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@SemiAnalysis_ It lists AWS, but AWS is not a customer so this means nothing
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SemiAnalysis
SemiAnalysis@SemiAnalysis_·
In the AMD senior director’s public GitHub, the YAML code file lists Anthropic as a “customer” that is probably currently in the evaluation/testing phase. It shows that Anthropic has received the maximum 30 “priority boost points,” putting it in the same tier as existing hyperscale customers like Meta. 2/4🧵
SemiAnalysis tweet media
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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@jasminecoded_ Nah it's because france made no effort to win in the first half and then got a beating by their manager in half time and start over compensating
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jasmine
jasmine@jasminecoded_·
This is exactly what the book The Inner Game of Tennis talks about The mind that’s trying to not lose is a different mind than the one that has nothing to lose It’s what makes Alysa Liu and Erling Haaland so fun to watch - they compete like they have nothing to prove, so nothing gets in the way
Josiah Gulden@jgulden

how did a third place consolation match end up being the craziest game of the 2026 World Cup? if this had been the final, the entire European continent would melt

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Peyton
Peyton@peytonroym·
@agupta @linzidongus Not everyone wants to live far from their family and loved ones maybe you don’t care about your parents
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Ankit Gupta
Ankit Gupta@agupta·
@linzidongus Yup, American Exceptionalism is what we call that special kind of arrogance. It’s the arrogance that’s enabled much of America’s greatness
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Ankit Gupta
Ankit Gupta@agupta·
FYI that America’s moronic visa policy is almost certainly a factor in why Kimi/Moonshot is a Chinese startup and not an American one. The fact that we don’t staple a green card to every AI PhD completed in America is stupid. would be more logical to seize their passports and force them to stay
Russ Salakhutdinov@rsalakhu

Congratulations to Zhilin Yang, founder and CEO of @Kimi_Moonshot, on the latest Kimi release. What a huge win for the open-source community! It feels like just yesterday Zhilin was graduating from my lab at CMU, jointly co-advised with William Cohen. Not only did he complete his Ph.D. in just four years, but he also made truly fundamental contributions to ML during his time at CMU. What a spectacular career! Congrats again Zhilin, and thank you and the entire Kimi team for everything you're doing for the open-source community.

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