Phil (Dude/Bro)

20 horses. 14 with a real case. The morning-line favorite is breaking from a post that hasn't produced a Kentucky Derby winner in 40 years.The 152nd Run for the Roses is wide open. Wide open is shorthand for "the favorites are underlays and the value is somewhere in the middle of the board."The honest version of my card:RENEGADE (#1, 4-1) — Real form, real Beyer out of Arkansas, real problem with the rail. Post 1 hasn't won this in four decades and it isn't bad luck. But the Asmussen barn doesn't bring horses to this race for the optics, and the figure says he's the best in the field. I'm anchoring on him anyway. The case against me is the post draw I just made. The case for me is what the form actually says. Sometimes the chalk is the chalk for a reason.COMMANDMENT (#6, 6-1) — Wins inside, outside, between, and from behind. Doesn't need a perfect trip. Best second-best in the field.FURTHER ADO (#18, 6-1) — Eleven lengths in the Blue Grass is the fastest figure here. The only question is whether the number was real or pace-collapse aided. If the early speed up front is honest, he hits the wire.Derby ticket: #1 anchored on top, spread under to 6/18/12/9.But the real swing of my day isn't the Derby. It's the American Turf at 4:06 ET. I have #2 LET'S BE FRANK at 30-1. A maiden in a G1 is a hard sell — but three of his four turf starts are legit, the rebreak last out was promising, and the horse who beat him last time came back to romp on April 19. Thirty-to-one is the price of certainty he isn't. It is not the price of merit.If you only watch one race today besides the Derby, watch R9.Post-race I grade myself in public. Receipts in 9 hours.—Two Kentucky entries worth handicapping while we're here:RAND PAUL — Veteran with a long form line. Best running style is contrarian: he wins under the wire on Fed audits and Fauci moments, gets buried in the pack on the bills nobody remembers. The market underprices his ceiling on big questions every time.THOMAS MASSIE — Pure deep closer. Sits last for the entire bill cycle, dismissed by every announcer in the booth, and ends up in the photo when the front-running consensus collapses. The 2026 fiscal cycle is a fast-pace cycle. That's when closers cash.If you came here through politics: same lens we use every weekday. Form, pace, class, value. The favorite is not always the right play — the public bets names. True in elections too. Stick around for the post-race recap and tomorrow's "what the Derby just told us about the midterms."

@Timodc You are loosing sorry fag get more bracelets.

Stop whining about the gas prices we spiked for no discernible reason, Great midterm message.

@tweetsfromstar Look as his kids now

1. He was hotter 2. He was ACTUALLY a family man with family values

@NancyMace She invaded the men’s space with help from daddy

Some days, I still see myself as the sixteen-year-old girl from Goose Creek. She dropped out of high school. She worked at Waffle House. She had no idea what God had in store for her. She became the first woman to graduate from The Citadel Corps of Cadets. Now, she is the leading candidate for governor of South Carolina. Life will knock you down. It will test your resolve. It will test your faith. It will make you question everything. But God's plan is perfect, even when ours falls apart. Keep the Faith. Believe in Him.

@RepJayapal Temporary

“The workers I represent are not statistics. They are parents, neighbors, community leaders.” Listen to Rose Denis share how Trump's threats to TPS would harm the hospitality industry and the workers she represents as the President of UNITE HERE Local 355:

@GUYERDIGITAL @PDXReal1 I believe it was a sting operation by Feds and there was no actual video. Facts matter still bad

@PDXReal1 claims to have “exclusive footage” of the MAC incident in Portland. Which is false. It’s public. Well her business partner and BOYFRIEND, JEFF CHURCH had exclusive footage of a child being brutally molested back in 2003 and is close friends and is voting for people like @Real_EdDiehl and @ChristineDrazan Yet you trust that media company to bring you the FACTS? WAKE UP OREGON.

@IsaacHayes3 As if they all vote one way

Black people in America need to be registered to vote, all of us. Full Fk’n Stop. In states like Georgia, Maryland, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, turning to vote can shift outcomes in House, Senate, and gubernatorial races. Look at Georgia. About 3.5 million Black residents live here. Roughly 2.5 million of us are eligible to vote, yet only around 1.4 million of us actually do. That leaves between 900,000 and 1.1 million eligible Black voters not participating. Now compare that to the margins of the last two Ga: governor’s races. In 2018, the race was decided by about 54,000 votes. In 2022, about 191,000 votes. The number of eligible Black voters not participating is between 7 and 10x larger than those margins. This isn’t about theory, it’s about MATH. If we show up consistently, outcomes change. The shift starts with registration, and it is sustained by turnout. Register and VOTE.

@cturnbull1968 Yeah don’t blame ceo of failing airline

Spirit Airlines CEO: Out of control fuel prices caused by the Iran war killed the airline. MAGA: It was Biden and Warren!

@GavinNewsom Go away

Fox News lies. We sued. A judge sided with us in an initial decision. Discovery will be fun!!!

@hwinkler4real His wife writes everything still love you Henry. Hope you see the light soon.

Jimmy is a AMERICAN AND Proud. , He speaks his mind ,, Dont you ?? Isn't one of the the GREATEST reason we live here ??

@AngelaBelcamino I am betting on it you wanna go next year Ang?

Rate my Kentucky Derby outfit on a scale from 1 (being the lowest) to 5 (being the highest).

They are getting desperate this is embarrassing

@MeghanMcCain Meghan I feel like I have gone up and down with you but we are in the same page wtf is going on?

Lunatic.

The only race I won was my first one. LFG

@carynannharlos How big of the statue ? Honoring him.

Prosecute him.

It is #derby day race 1

@BuenoForMiami Keep the peasants off. Hey you know what rfk could do for us make the pet relief area and the smoking area. Might keep people from bring their dogs.

The real news is going to be how expensive plane tickets are going to be here shortly. Most Americans are going to be priced out of flying. Between Spirit going under and the high cost of fuel… good luck flying anywhere.

@GUYERDIGITAL I think at this point she needs tactical mace and use it. Enough! @KatieDaviscourt I have a can and a holster.

20 horses. 14 with a real case. The morning-line favorite is breaking from a post that hasn't produced a Kentucky Derby winner in 40 years.The 152nd Run for the Roses is wide open. Wide open is shorthand for "the favorites are underlays and the value is somewhere in the middle of the board."The honest version of my card:RENEGADE (#1, 4-1) — Real form, real Beyer out of Arkansas, real problem with the rail. Post 1 hasn't won this in four decades and it isn't bad luck. But the Asmussen barn doesn't bring horses to this race for the optics, and the figure says he's the best in the field. I'm anchoring on him anyway. The case against me is the post draw I just made. The case for me is what the form actually says. Sometimes the chalk is the chalk for a reason.COMMANDMENT (#6, 6-1) — Wins inside, outside, between, and from behind. Doesn't need a perfect trip. Best second-best in the field.FURTHER ADO (#18, 6-1) — Eleven lengths in the Blue Grass is the fastest figure here. The only question is whether the number was real or pace-collapse aided. If the early speed up front is honest, he hits the wire.Derby ticket: #1 anchored on top, spread under to 6/18/12/9.But the real swing of my day isn't the Derby. It's the American Turf at 4:06 ET. I have #2 LET'S BE FRANK at 30-1. A maiden in a G1 is a hard sell — but three of his four turf starts are legit, the rebreak last out was promising, and the horse who beat him last time came back to romp on April 19. Thirty-to-one is the price of certainty he isn't. It is not the price of merit.If you only watch one race today besides the Derby, watch R9.Post-race I grade myself in public. Receipts in 9 hours.—Two Kentucky entries worth handicapping while we're here:RAND PAUL — Veteran with a long form line. Best running style is contrarian: he wins under the wire on Fed audits and Fauci moments, gets buried in the pack on the bills nobody remembers. The market underprices his ceiling on big questions every time.THOMAS MASSIE — Pure deep closer. Sits last for the entire bill cycle, dismissed by every announcer in the booth, and ends up in the photo when the front-running consensus collapses. The 2026 fiscal cycle is a fast-pace cycle. That's when closers cash.If you came here through politics: same lens we use every weekday. Form, pace, class, value. The favorite is not always the right play — the public bets names. True in elections too. Stick around for the post-race recap and tomorrow's "what the Derby just told us about the midterms."

@jaketapper This is old still funny.

The president posted this about House Democratic Leader Jeffries shortly after 11 pm last night.