@corncobanalysis zohran only doing 5 points better than hochul among under 45 is a little concerning
English
.
1.5K posts
Hochul was also polled. Topline was +4 and her coalition was very similar to Zohran, but she did better with Whites and worse with Nonwhite independents.
She had better favorables among Dems and much worse for indies! Also had higher name rec/opinions than Zohran.
English
Data For Progress had a Zohran favorability poll in New York while also polling on home insurance.
Topline: +5
D's: +53
Ind: -4
R's: -58
Women: +13
Men: -6
Under 45: +20
Over 45: -2
College: +7
non-college: +2
Black: +47
Latino: +36
Renter: +30
Homeowner: -14
English
Hope Chapo does an episode about this…
Ed Krassenstein@EdKrassen
BREAKING: Massive explosion at the Valero Oil Refinery in Port Arthur, Texas sends towering clouds of black smoke and intense flames shooting into the sky. This is one of America’s largest oil refineries (335,000+ barrels/day capacity). Emergency crews responding with no injuries reported yet. We still don’t know the cause.
English
sure but the bigger problem is the republican bias of the senate. dems have overperformed expectations in the last few cycles
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban
If Brown and Casey had managed to eke it out in OH and PA in 2024, Dems would have pretty good odds on taking back the Senate. Flipping ME and NC alone would be enough. But they didn't, and now they need both of those and 2 of AK/IA/TX/OH/NE. So I'm pessimistic.
English
I guess it's worth asking why there aren't more viable left candidates since Bernie first ran in 2016? like how do we only have AOC
Organizermemes@OrganizerMemes
accelerationists online think zohran or AOC or any progressive failing will lead to a bunch of “true communists” taking power and not a bunch of normies seeing the most left politicians of our time fail and going farther right because they lump you in with him
English
The sheer volume of prediction market slop my FYP pulls up now is overwhelming
English
I don’t follow Hasan, but if someone has a huge political following, why not use it to sway voters from Newsom, who you agree is a terrible candidate, two years out from primaries?
Giacomo Volpe 🌹🤝🌐@_giacomo_volpe_
The actual harm of nominating Newsom isn’t from Hasan type wreckers. They’ll help Vance no matter who wins. It’s from the barrage of bad CA headlines that he has been and will continue to be tied to Don’t nominate someone who has poorly governed their state!
English
You know it’s over when even Quantus has it at D+6
Polling USA@USA_Polling
Generic Ballot Polling: 🔵 Democrat: 48% 🔴 Republican: 42% Quantus / Feb 13, 2026 (Republican Pollster)
English
Did Pitt season 2 fall off massively or am I tripping
English
. retweetledi
One would think at very least this would warrant expulsion from office, if not prison
Parody Jeff@Parodyjeffx
❌Florida’s Randy Fine 𝘄𝗮𝘀 𝗰𝗮𝘂𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗼𝗻 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗮𝗹𝗳 𝗼𝗳 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿𝘀 during a bill outlawing Israel boycotts. How corrupt does it get?
English
@auautumntumn @gavinbena his peak popularity will be the next 2 years. pass some stuff then dip if aoc isn't running
English
at this rate I think Schumer retires *and* AOC doesn’t run for the seat.
instead it probably ends up being Letitia James or Pat Ryan clobbering Ritchie Torres and a DSA endorsee.
the Schumer v. AOC battle for the ages would be too exciting for this timeline
English
@aethelamerican @PfPopulist I mean she could win new hampshire. south carolina is harder
English
@PfPopulist Fully agreed. She occupies a lane that wouldn’t lose votes from any of the candidates the gay white Lib ET crowd slobbers over. But she can’t win in New Hampshire or South Carolina so how does her campaign get off the ground?
English
A few thoughts on this whole AOC for president discourse:
1) She is likely running
2) She would be the frontrunner unless either Harris or Newsom (but not both) runs
3) While not being the most "electable" viable candidate for Dems, she also wouldn't be the *least* electable
Dylan Williams@dylanotes
Congresswoman @AOC is currently one of the most popular figures among Democrats—maybe even the most popular. “Democrats overwhelmingly want their elected leaders to fight, and they know who they want to fight against: the superrich and corporate America” newrepublic.com/article/206015…
English
@BarneyFlames @SpecialPuppy1 nate's model hasn't been that good or any different from others since 2016
English
@SpecialPuppy1 everyone except the Nate 538 model was revealed to be overdosing on copium
English
What happened to election forecasting models? There used to be so many of them that you’d have “Model Wars” but now Nate Silver is almost the only one doing it
English
Some young voters are starting to regret their vote for President Trump: A WSJ poll finds 58% of voters under 30 disapprove of the job he is doing as president. on.wsj.com/3MnH6V6
English
During the ICE operation in Minnesota, 3364 trafficked children were recovered and saved. Not a peep from Walz, Frey, or Democrats. It’s sick.
English
@gyrewidener ironic to be doing this to maybe the only relevant figure in national politics the org has had since Bernie
English