Chris@chatgpt21
If we assume GPT 5.4 is already doing about 28% of the total work needed to create GPT 5.5, and AI’s share of the model building pipeline rises by 10 percentage points every .5 iteration, then the curve gets steep fast:
GPT 5.5 = 28%
GPT 6.0 = 38%
GPT 6.5 = 48%
GPT 7.0 = 58%
GPT 7.5 = 68%
GPT 8.0 = 78%
GPT 8.5 = 88%
GPT 9.0 = 98%
if we assume 1 full digit model iteration per year
2029 the models should start creating themselves, in other words AGI perfectly as ive predicted.
only the people at OAI know the close % of total work 5.4 is doing in terms of research direction and architecture, data filtering, labeling, synthetic data work, experiment coding and debugging, training infrastructure scripts, optimization support, evaluations, error analysis, benchmark generation, safety review, release review, productization, and integration.
I assume its less than 28% but that was 5.4s guess