Rich Bonnar
1.8K posts

Rich Bonnar
@richieb52
Dad, Grampy, Master Scheduler for Baril Corp
Concord, NH Katılım Mart 2009
267 Takip Edilen139 Takipçiler

@cindyy_tee I would rather not hear. Nothing rude, just more private of an explanation
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@JetBlue Is this an ongoing issue with the flight crews? It gives no confidence that rescheduled flights will be ok
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Hi, Rich. We're sorry for the disruption. Flight 1097 was canceled due to a crew availability issue that affected the crew's ability to legally operate the flight under required duty-time regulations. We understand how frustrating multiple cancellations can be and we apologize for the inconvenience.
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@JetBlue why has flight 1097 out of Boston had been canceled? My Granddaughter had 2 flights canceled last minute a couple days ago. It seems out of control
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@RedWavePress Yeah it’s like getting a phone call from Randall Flagg 😈
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NEWS: Shortly after his phone call with President Trump on Saturday night, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told an associate he was feeling unwell. The individual urged him to seek medical attention, but Graham brushed it off, saying he would do so after his Sunday morning appearance on NBC’s Meet the Press, according to Axios.
Graham even joked, “I can’t die now. I still need to do the Russia sanctions, get Iran sorted out, and do Israeli-Saudi normalization.”
The South Carolina Senator passed away a short while later.
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@cindyy_tee Your wish is granted. I’m 69, feel free to DM me. You will learn
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@JustinmTurpin @WEEI Pinochle nose I thought was going to start growing
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Bill Chisholm on whether there was any sort of financial mandate from ownership:
"No, absolutely not. This was all about basically trying to win, and, I think, really trusting in our process we have. I think we have the best front office in the NBA, and they put in their work, and they came to the conclusion this was the best way for us to win, and that's the mandate: Is to win. And I just have to keep saying that there is no —we'll spend whatever it takes to do that. The mandate is to win.”
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@CelticsCLNS @ByJayKing @CLNSMedia No, they asked for too much earlier, then those teams went elsewhere and this is what they were stuck with. Not buying that crap
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Jay King on @CelticsCLNS Daily: "They've watched every Jaylen game his entire career. They are not basing their ... lack of belief ... on just a simple number or formula."
"They canvassed the league ... they felt the 76ers' offer was their best option."
@ByJayKing @CLNSMedia
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@CasperOnChain He should never regret it. Maybe for financial reasons but I thought he did a great job
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Sylvester Stallone admits one risky career move set him back eight years
"I had a real down period, say around '95, when I did Cop Land, '95, '96, and I said, oh, let me do something really off, out of my comfort zone. And I did it. And I was very happy with the project, but actually it set me way back"
"The studios are going, why would you do that man, you did that for nothing, why wouldn't you just do an action film. I said, because I was gonna do it, I was going to do an action film next, I was just trying to prove a point to myself and whoever cared"
"He goes, well that doesn't make us look good because you're doing this for free, and why would we pay you anyway. It began a very bad spiral for about eight years"
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@JoeRoganRecaps Yeah cigarette smoking is great for you. You stupid fucks 😝
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New: Joe Rogan leaves legendary drummer Tommy Lee speechless when he breaks down why smoking cigarettes actually has health benefits and isn’t that bad for you:
ROGAN: “Only a small percentage of cigarette smokers get lung cancer.”
LEE: “I did one of those body scans and they told me after all these years of smoking that my lungs are fine. So I’m back on cigarettes, there’s no reason to quit.”
ROGAN: “People that eat a lot of olive oil seem to have no problem with cigarettes. They did a study on this.”
LEE: “There’s something about nicotine that’s apparently really good at preventing you from getting certain viruses too.”
ROGAN: “I heard that too. They’re also really good for cognitive function.
Stephen King said when he stopped smoking cigarettes it negatively affected his writing. He said his synapses just didn’t fire as fast anymore.”
LEE: “Woah, that’s wild.”
ROGAN: “A lot of creative people swear by cigarettes. I really think there’s a cognitive benefit to them.”
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@PageSix He is a real gentleman🙄 Should have helped his wife in first.
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@databallr If you consider how good he is defensively, he’s a better 2 way player than many of the others you listed. He has some shortcomings. The trade stinks and the coach is a major problem
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Here's my explanation of why Jaylen Brown's offensive analytics are underwhelming:
Jaylen Brown is a great scorer.
But “great scorer” and “offensive engine” are not the same thing.
An offensive engine creates impact in 3 distinct ways:
1. Score efficiently on big volume
2. Reduce team turnovers while carrying huge usage
3. Create better shots for teammates
That is what people mean by offensive impact.
Not just: did you score points?
Not just: did you get assists?
Did the team score points more efficiently because you were on the floor?
Jaylen is interesting because he had a good scoring season. I estimate his scoring impact last year around +2, the best mark of his career.
But if we are asking whether he is an elite offensive engine, the bar is much higher.
Let's start with scoring efficiency.
Jaylen took around 36 shots per 100 possessions at 57.5% TS last season. ("shots" includes freethrow possessions).
At that volume, TS% (True Shooting Percentage) has enormous leverage. Every 1% of TS% is worth roughly +0.6 points per 100 possessions on the scoreboard.
So the gap between 57.5 TS% and 62 TS% is not cosmetic. It matters. That is roughly +2.5 points of offensive impact. Scoring at 62% TS would move him from a top 50 per possession analytics season to a top 20 one last year.
But right now, among high-usage offensive stars, the efficiency gap is clear.
Shai: 67.0 TS%
Giannis: 65.9%
Curry: 64.8%
Kawhi: 63.3%
Luka: 61.8%
Mitchell: 61.7%
Brunson: 59%
Jaylen: 57.5 TS%
Jaylen’s scoring still has value because the volume is massive, but he's not generating the impact that some of these other guys do from scoring.
The second path is turnover value.
This part is underrated. If you are using a huge number of your team's possessions, how often you turn the ball over before you shoot matters on the scoreboard.
Historically, a lot of high-volume creators give their teams a significant advantage in the turnover game. Jordan, Kobe, Iverson, Lou Will, T-Mac, Melo, Shai, Kawhi, Brunson types. All of these guys have generated significant impact from reducing team turnovers and it's clear as day in the impact analytics.
They shoot a ton, and they also help the team avoid turnovers because the possession ends in a shot instead of a mistake more often than the league does.
Jaylen does not provide that kind of impact.
His box-score profile estimates his offensive turnover impact around neutral, historically, and last year. The 5-year lineup data, and the eyes, agree.
That does not mean he is killing the offense with turnovers.
It means he is not creating the turnover advantage that many true engines create.
Let's look at a stat called "Scoring Turnover Rate". It is defined as non-passing turnovers divided by scoring attempts. It's typically the ball handlers fault when he turns it over on something that isn't a pass.
Here are some high usage scorers around the league in Scoring Turnover Rate (Lower is better)
Jaylen Brown: 10.3%
Giannis: 10.5%
Paolo: 9%
Ant: 6.6%
Shai: 4.4%.
Kawhi: 5.5%.
Brunson: 4.1%
Mitchell: 5.3%
Tatum: 6.5% (2025)
Lower is better, and when the scoring volume is massive this accumulates to a meaningful amount of turnover differences between players which translates to offensive impact.
You see Brunson scored at 59% TS, a down year for him, but he turned the ball on handling related mistakes, per scoring attempt, at 4.1% vs Jaylen's 10.3%.
If you are on-ball enough to shoot over a third of your team’s shots, ball security gets magnified. The skill of getting to your shot without losing the possession is a big part of offensive value.
Top players can generate up to +2.5 points of offensive impact from reducing team turnovers.
Imagine if you could just imbue Jaylen Brown with Kawhi's handle. How much better would you feel about him having the ball in his hands even if he was shooting the same shots at the same efficiency. Instinctively, you know it matters, analytically it undeniably does. Having Kawhi's turnover economy alone would move him from a top 50 analytics season to a top 20 one last year.
(Passing turnovers matter too and he's average there but it's less meaningful to discuss because he's not passing the ball that much.)
The third path is playmaking.
Jaylen took 36 shots per 100 possessions and generates only 13 potential assists per 100 (shots, if they were made, that would be an assist for JB).
He shoots almost 3x as much he directly creates a potential assist. He's much more of a scorer than he is a passer.
Shai is at 34 shots to 18 potential assists which is lower than 2:1 ratio. So you see, even the best scorer in the league has a more balanced distribution of shots and potential assists.
Jaylen averages only around 2 rim assists per 100, which is low compared to the best playmakers, so he's not creating obvious value via lobs and easy layups.
A scoring heavy profile can be great if the scoring efficiency and turnover efficiency are overwhelming like it is for Kawhi or Shai, but neither are for Jaylen. That's the problem. Just one of the two being elite, or both being good, can be enough to get him to engine status. But he has neither. Perhaps he can still improve.
But if the scoring efficiency is low for the top stars, and the turnover value is around neutral, and the playmaking is limited, the elite-engine case falls apart. It just does.
You have other players like Cade and LaMelo who have similar scoring efficiency profiles to Jaylen, but those players are elite playmakers according to both the analytics and the public. Not only are they passing the ball a lot more, but they are generating a ton of assists to players at the rim, which are markers of elite playmaking.
The point is not that Jaylen Brown is bad.
He is a positive player who plays a lot of minutes.
The point is that his team impact has been very weak for a supermax offensive centerpiece because he has not proven himself to be a real offensive engine.
The question is whether he can become one in Philly. I think the Boston system was a pretty awesome environment to thrive. If Jaylen Brown was playing elsewhere and traded to Boston I would be bullish on his fit there. I just don't really see Maxey and Embiid as being the type of players that fit particularly well with him and increase his impact. Its certainly going to reduce his usage, which might be good. I'm not sure JB is in his optimal role as a ultra high usage player with his current handling.
I think Jaylen becoming more impactful offensively is mostly about his own skill development as a handler/3P shooter, and an improvement in shot selection. There's a lot of upside for him if he does that. Most people can't create the shots that Jaylen does. So that's the thing with Jaylen.
In any case, I'm excited to see how it plays out next year.
As for who won the trade?
I like it for Boston. They are fixing a potential long term salary cap issue and bringing in PG who can provide 2 way impact Boston. He's a much better 3 point shooter and defender. His durability and decline is the main issue.
Really I think Philly is rolling the dice on whether Jaylen Brown can improve. If he does it could turn out to be an excellent trade. If he's the same player here as he was in Boston, I don't think it's a good trade. The contract is massive and the synergy with Maxey/Embiid is questionable.
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