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19 posts


@williamlegate @atteonthephone @mustafap0ly i only got 1 order out of my orders refunded.. all of my winners are still archived ..... you guys keep promising but im still missing thousands in positions from highest temp May 17 Dallas, Warsaw, Atlanta, Madrid, Seattle, and Tokyo lowest temp..
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@atteonthephone @mustafap0ly We’ve enabled redeem on ~50% of the markets (pending resolution of other tmrw) and will issue the final batch of refunds today. Sorry for the delay here but there is a lot of reconciliation that had to be done on these markets as there were ~2k of them.
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It's now day 3 since "decentralized" crypto exchange Polymarket pressed a magic button that made our money disappear. @mustafap0ly and @williamlegate keep repeating that refunds are coming without specifying which positions will be paid, despite multiple people asking for days.
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@NoContextHumans the only real +EV bet here is red cause you lock in 1M. 50% odds is cointoss and theres no edge to that
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@s7ches @Polymarket Tens of thousands of people are in such a situation. Every day they said they would refund, but they still didn't receive any refund, and some people only received 10 or 20 dollars.
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@williamlegate @BeefSlayer_ @Polymarket i only got 1 order out of my orders refunded.. all of my winners are still archived ..... you guys keep promising but im still missing thousands in positions from highest temp May 17 Dallas, Warsaw, Atlanta, Madrid, Seattle, and Tokyo lowest temp..
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@BeefSlayer_ @Polymarket Hey, all refunds are being processed & will be received by end of day. The root issue has been fixed, and the newly deployed weather markets will be live by EOD as well. Apologies for the inconvenience here.
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I will forever be grateful for the opportunities @Polymarket has given me with the weather markets. But how this current situation has been handled is pathetic and disappointing. The weather community has been voicing concerns about these issues for over a month with no fix. Now this mess. Mistakes happen, but the lack of real communication is causing hesitancy to continue on the platform. I personally have done over $1.5 million in volume, but I’m unsure if I will continue here.
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@Polymarket @Panachequant i only got 1 order out of my orders refunded.. all of my winners are still archived ..... yall said 24 hours 48 hours ago and then 24 hours 24 hours ago yet im still missing thousands in positions from May 17 Dallas, Warsaw, Atlanta, Madrid, Seattle, and Tokyo lowest temp..
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@Panachequant Hey Monsieur, all refunds are being processed right now & will be received by end of day. The root issue has been fixed, and the newly deployed weather markets will be live by EOD as well. Apologies for the inconvenience here.
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@SOXBT @Polymarket i only got 1 order out of my orders refunded.. all of my winners are still archived .....
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@Polymarket I just want to know when the refund of the weather market will be fully processed? Now countless people are waiting, and no one responds to this question.
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@Polymarket @Panachequant hey my positions are still archived how long should we expect?
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@Autonomous_Chad @Polymarket i got tens of ks on the line, it's ok if something goes wrong, what really irks me is the unprofessionalism from top to bottom.. not enough testing was done on features, then some interns hop on twitter to promise before things are concrete, just amateurish.. id fire people.
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UPDATE on the disappearing Weather markets
Yesterday the Weather markets in the Temperature category disappeared and some trader even lost their open positions.
@polymarket announced that the market were *intentionally* pulled down due to an initial reconfiguration error and that users would be refunded with 10 days.
Today all those archived markets are being quietly resolved to random outcomes.
Since Polymarket contracts settle on chain there is actually no way for them to just delete markets and refund everyone.
All they can do is force resolution through "clarifications" and then refund the losing shares out of pocket
But it means there is also no way for them to avoid paying out the "winning" shares there.
So if you bought some cheap shares on a bracket that Polymarket just happened to resolve to you will get a nice free payout.
OVERALL :
- Big fuckup at the start
- Good handling of it afterward
It's is an improvement on the Ukraine ceasefire fuckup from last week.
If they had treated it the same way the handled this situation and refunded NO holders it would have been a non issue.



Mustafa@mustafap0ly
@0x3577 @Polymarket There was a misconfiguration on a small subset of markets. We have archived all the misconfigured ones and are going to issue refunds for these markets + reenable the redeems in the ui today. Weather markets will go back live again on Tuesday May 19th.
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@Climatologist_ @Roomservice_inc @atteonthephone @Polymarket I am pretty sure they are vibe coding polymarket...
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@Roomservice_inc @atteonthephone @Polymarket They have been careless for a while, since they started bringing out random UI updates unnanounced in the middle of the day instead of grouping them within one update like any other normal developer. These kind of problems were/are inevitable
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@0x3577 @mustafap0ly @Polymarket right i lost a whole day of trading and now i gotta wait to see if i get a haircut or the wins i put hella risk and time on
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@mustafap0ly @Polymarket Just to be fair @mustafap0ly .. You said “Today” in what timezone? Do we have more updates??
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We know that mistakes happen. What cannot happen is a billion-dollar company like @Polymarket remaining silent for almost 24 hours about the problem that occurred in Weather Markets yesterday. Too many people with frozen money on their platform and we dont have a fucking official announcement explaining what will really happens. Really? @shayne_coplan @mustafap0ly ????
What about look professional? and not an team full of amateurs?
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@Josikinz @noonautics @alieninsect the fractal blend and like tunnel at start was great nailed it but the whole elves shit is a 50/50 i dont remember any elves or entities
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Terence Meets the Machine Elves: A visual replication of the DMT breakthrough experience generated through a bespoke generative media pipeline.
built in collaboration with: @noonautics & @alieninsect
👁️
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@kea1on @0x3577 @Polymarket @mustafap0ly @williamlegate @shayne_coplan so all of my 100% and 99.9% wins are just gone and you guys gonna refund me my original amounts or what cause you guys are about to regress me i worked hard yesterday to climb outta a loss and all i had to do was wait for the redeem. Refund in 10 days?? disgusting
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@0x3577 @Polymarket @mustafap0ly @williamlegate @shayne_coplan There has been a misconfiguration on a very small subset of markets - mostly weather markets, and a couple of tweet markets. We have archived all the misconfigured ones and are going to issue refunds for these markets.
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Today Weather markets disappeared with an big BUG on @Polymarket and all positions, and money from Weather traders was gone. Will everyone get their money back @mustafap0ly @williamlegate @shayne_coplan ? What about give a better attention to Weather Markets? Improve liquidity, give us more Rewards!! Fix bugs, and broken Brackets!! Thanks!!!
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@Polymarket polymarket.com/event/highest-… why is the order book completely broken showing everyone at 50% odds or 0% odds
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I reversed engineered every skill in digital marketing and then trained my AI on all of them.
Here’s how I did it...
Oh, and I’m giving away all 84 marketing skill files at the end of this post.
This all took place over 5 days.
Step 1: The Skill Tree
I started by working with @ManusAI because I knew I was going to need their almost infinite context window.
My first request was for Manus to create a skill tree starting with the base skills of earned media, paid media, and owned media.
Aka paid traffic, free traffic, and your own subscribers.
We started cookin up branches and branches of skills from those 3 base skills.
Step 2: Teams of Experts
I noticed Manus was struggling to think outside of the basics so I started asking it to embody expert after expert.
For example:
“Embody Neil Patel and critique this skill tree for what’s missing.”
“Embody Frank Kern and critique this skill tree for what’s missing.”
“Embody Russell Brunson and critique this skill tree for what’s missing.”
After I brought in 12-15 virtual experts to critique the skill tree we (me & my pal manus) had over 1900 individual tactics mapped out across 152 unique categories of skills.
Step 3: Coworking with Claude
At this time Manus hadn’t released their skills feature yet. But Claude had a skill creator skill.
First I filled in Claude on the details of the project and the goal.
Because context.
The other reason for using Claude was because with Claude Desktop in Claude Cowork mode you can work directly with files and folders on your computer.
This was key to the organization, context, and memory for this project.
Once Claude was up to speed I asked it to remove overlapping skills and tactics. Stuff like SEO for Google vs SEO for Bing.
We came up with 84 total skills that would need to be created that would encompass all 1900(ish) individual tactics.
For example the media buying and planning skill includes writing headlines, customer personas, keyword research, copywriting etc.
And then we locked in…
Step 4: Best Practices Ranked
For each of the 84 skills I had Claude go into deep research mode and create a report on the best practices for that skill.
This means each skill was based on reading no less than 300 articles about that skill.
Then I would review the skills with my own 20yrs of experience overlooking what it found.
When I felt it was shallow on something I would ask Claude to embody a specific topic expert to enhance that skill.
Giving us 84 best practice documents that were extremely thorough, human reviewed, and expert enhanced.
Next I sent these docs back to Manus for its wide research mode. Manus can do up to 150 tasks in parallel. Essentially running 150 prompts at once.
I told Manus to rank every tactic in these best practice reports from S-tier (always do) to D-tier (never do).
This created huge context and rulings that would be necessary for our final skill files.
Step 5: Creating Skill Files
Back to Claude.
One by one I asked Claude to use the skill creator skill with my best practice reports and the S-tier rankings.
My wife kept the coffee flowing while I grinded these out.
For some like the long form sales letters skill I even included examples as reference files.
And then I loaded all 84 skills onto a directory I vibe coded into my website.
All 84 of these skills + an 85th I’m working on are available for free.
Just comment “skills” and I’ll DM you the link. Can’t post it because algo will throttle this post.
Bookmark this so you have a recipe for creating your own skills too.
Follow @IMJustinBrooke for more wallets fattening tips on using AI for marketing.

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