Robin Goodfellow (eff/off)

Things 2021 has taught us. A🧵of indeterminate length.

@wozzak She's married big guy

Jacinta is an amazing person. How she finds the stamina & strength & the will to continue doing her best for Victorians in the face of constant media attacks is truly impressive.

@AndreasShrugged @balajis Your confusing persuasion with fact. The Persuader in Chief has spoken.

@balajis "It also won’t take all the blame for the ongoing global supply chain crisis." You can reject taking the blame while still being the one who is to blame.

This could be the offramp the world needs. You can think of it as the best outcome for everyone, under the circumstances. (1) From MAGA’s perspective, if Trump declares victory here and moves on, the US won’t waste yet more blood and treasure in the Middle East. It won’t invade Iran. It also won’t take all the blame for the ongoing global supply chain crisis. It just pulls out and lets everyone work out the regional security equation for themselves. Trump can say he’s fulfilled both his campaign promises: stop Iran from getting a nuke, but also no endless Middle Eastern wars. (2) From Israel’s perspective, Iran has now been shown to be quite hostile to its neighbors, and its military has been substantially degraded. Stopping now is good. Otherwise there’s a danger of overreacting to Oct 7 as Americans overreacted to Sept 11. Israel can stand back and call it a win, because after a US pullout, Iran will have much less excuse for holding the Strait hostage. (3) From the Iranian diaspora’s perspective, it’s unfortunately clear that the current war isn’t going to result in liberalization. Further attacks would push Iran further into fundamentalism, making it even harder to eventually do a liberal reformation. (4) From the long-suffering Iranian people’s perspective, ending the war now would also save countless lives. Otherwise they’ll get hit by friendly fire and drafted by the regime to fight for fundamentalism. (5) Finally, from the world’s perspective, once the US declares victory and goes home, substantial diplomatic pressure will be applied to Iran to simply open the Strait of Hormuz and allow ships through. Iran’s leadership has shown, perhaps surprisingly, that they care about global public opinion…and they would be on the hook for the suffering of billions of people if the Strait remains blocked. TLDR: if Trump declares victory and leaves, Iran no longer has any excuse for blocking the Strait and holding the global economy hostage. Let the matter be worked out diplomatically with pressure from all the 100+ affected countries on Iran. America shouldn’t have to spend a single cent more, or send a single soldier more, to the Middle East.

@JoshBBornstein @RandaAFattah Can you show us the 3 retired teachers you were speaking to?

Kudos to Newcastle Writers’ Festival for programming the formidable ⁦@RandaAFattah⁩ . It was my pleasure to moderate an intense and gripping discussion. In 2026 in Australia, the event was an act of democratic resistance. #NWF26

@VickiJo28765736 @aaronsmith @optoio @mattjcan Well. This was fun. Well played Vicki

@aaronsmith @optoio @mattjcan

In the same part of Melbourne today, some are paying $221 to fill a 70L diesel tank. Others are paying $2.80 to charge a 70kWh battery. If the LNP hadn’t spent years frustrating the transition and failing to build the infrastructure, a lot more people would be paying $2.80.

@AshPolitik Good thing it's more expensive to encourage electrification...

Without Trump and Netanyahu wars petrol would be under $1.50

@TMFScottP Wasting taxpayers money on energy subsidies (CIS, Home Battery, Solar Rebates, green energy deal for manufacturing etc etc) is all stupid, but no ones accountable.

@sdunbabin Maybe. But if that's the direction we're going, wasting taxpayers' money on those impacted remains stupid, IMO.

Maybe one of the least important CPI drops in recent history, given we know what's happened since the end of last month. Still, a modest drop in headline is better than nothing. No change in the trimmed mean is... literally nothing. Incoming inflation will make both worse.

Actually David, people like me tend to get murdered by Israel. 300 journalists murdered in Gaza alone. As I said, no one buys this crap anymore.

@OMGTheMess Give it time.

Just doesn’t make sense

@heidimur The appeal of these two are not at all correlated. She can learn from SA if she wants, but the cans content are not the same.

Allan hoping Mali’s electoral success will be contagious: “Whether it's in Canberra, in South Australia, or in Victoria later this year, families with new challenges want Labor's new solutions - not Liberal cuts.”

@JacintaAllanMP @PMalinauskasMP Malinauskas is an admirable leader. Middle ground, disciplined, good communicator. You're compromised, egotistical and a bad communicator. These are not the same thing.

Big congrats to South Australian Labor Premier Peter Malinauskas and his team on their re-election. In uncertain times, people look to Labor for the things that matter. Cost of living. Health. Education. Safety. Jobs. Whether it's in Canberra, in South Australia, or in Victoria later this year, families with new challenges want Labor’s new solutions - not Liberal cuts.

Don't tease me Kon. I'm getting excited.

@strangerous10 The proportion of votes received is the story. As this continues the financial resources of One Nation expands. This is a slow moving asteroid coming for the conservative aide of politics, and thereafter...the left.

Zero seats, yet Pauline Hanson & One Nation are about to pop champagne. Deluded or just happy to be big losers? Either way, really embarrassing for One Nation supporters tonight. #savotes

@Ben_Davison1 @MartinS51059744 That's not really how preferential voting works old chum.

@MartinS51059744 To be fair to the South Australians more people have put their hands up to be candidates than ever before. The people just don’t want them to represent them. They want Labor to govern.

With Labor poised to achieve a record number of seats in South Australia the media is obsessing over…Liberal vs One Nation. The party with the largest primary support across the country still doesn’t have a “friendly” media outlet. Truly amazing. 🤦‍♂️

@respeculator @deepu3024 Thankyou, I thought so.

@sdunbabin @deepu3024 Go through company accounts and compare the price they realise vs the benchmark index (GcNEWC).. here’s Yancoal for example

Updated to $150/t… you see the leverage vs the $120/t below… #coaltwitter…

@respeculator @deepu3024 Where is that information sourced from please?

@deepu3024 How the coal prices relative to the benchmark index. Determined by coal quality.

@Monster_Dome Isn't he aware the grift is up?

🤣🤣🤣

@michaelsnape She really needs a Snickers

It is not indightful. It is not analytical. She purely can't regulate her emotions and hates being told no.

@UraneJohn She's not going to fuck you. Cuttlefish.

Grace Tame is an absolute champion. I salute her bravery.

@AshPolitik Ash joining the antisemite brigade for clicks and larfs.

Israel, a rogue evil state.