Patty the Sharp

@mavkaprincess @mattyglesias If they lose a Tampa seat, then they've already lost the House by huge margins in the rest of the country and its not very relevant. Thats why 'dummymander' is mostly cope, if the maps in TX/NC/FL break then they never had a chance at the House majority to begin with

@mattyglesias Eliminating a Dem seat in St. Pete/Tampa is not smart. All those seats are now vulnerable. Lots of swing voters, lots of mobile liberals moving in, big Latino population. Dems flipped a Tampa seat with plurality R voters. He overshot.

This is smart map-drawing by DeSantis to be honest, what you want to max is maximize the number of GOP seats in a close election (which this does) rather than try to salvage the unsalvageable 2026 cycles

@clayf67 @s0phistry They will in 9 months.

@s0phistry Democrats don't have a trifecta in Minnesota.

Since Virginia voters have approved fairness in elections, I think it'd be good if Minnesotans also next year. Look at how fair and competitive this map would be!

@jambojeremy @s0phistry A fair map that gives each district a good mix of urban and rural voters.

@Mewtsukiki @SGeary4 @ChristianHeiens >its another 30 year old man with an anime girl pfp here to lecture us about their objectively correct worldview

@SGeary4 @ChristianHeiens Yes, because it's good when WE do it Do you not understand what time it is?

Almost every county in Virginia moved hard to the Right compared to 2025 and even 2024. Most of Rural Virginia appears poised to perform Trump's margins by enough to shift the entire state to NO....if NOVA followed suit as well. But NOVA did not follow suit. Most Northern Virginia counties moved to the LEFT of 2024. And that's the ball game. Virginia is under hostile occupation. We are ruled out of Fairfax County, and there's nothing we can do about it.

@smdowner @EWErickson @KenGardner11 Republicans have been gerrymandering for decades.

@EWErickson @KenGardner11 Democrats have been gerrymandering for decades.

Just so you get the truth and not the partisan spin here, Republicans came up with the idea of the mid-decade redistricting fight and started in Texas. Then, in Virginia, the RNC spent $0.00 to fight. Now, as drawn, the Democrats have an advantage from the redistricting fight.

@ClaireHalp20059 @cera_fl @MappingFL stacking the SCOTUS, or at least threatening to do so

@cera_fl @MappingFL What’s stopping the Supreme Court from just striking down that VRA too?

Yeah the issue is not that the VRA being overturned would doom democrats in redistricting The repeal of the VRA would just be morally bad. It would destroy minority political power as racial groups are used for political map drawing games across both sides of the isle

@bably0n2k1 @killerkittens20 @kendogg49ers @taporroJ113 @ZacharyDonnini Especially ones that take mental energy to defend. Being racist, sexist, etc is a difficult mental load in the real world--many young rw men aren't going to continue to carry that load into the future if Trump/GOP isn't delivering tangible results for them.

@bably0n2k1 @killerkittens20 @kendogg49ers @taporroJ113 @ZacharyDonnini They go hand in hand. When politicians you vote for prove themselves incompetent, you tend to sour on all their views, not just 1 or 2 of them.

The “Gen Z is conservative” narrative is starting to totally reverse. Trump did well with Gen Z in 2024, especially young men. But one year into his presidency, 18–22-year-olds now heavily disapprove of him and identify nearly as liberal as 30–34-year-olds.

@killerkittens20 @kendogg49ers @taporroJ113 @ZacharyDonnini pronouns in bio maybe not but having a laissez faire attitude about LGBT/racial minorities versus the actively hostile one of the current zeitgeist? probably, yeah.

@kendogg49ers @taporroJ113 @ZacharyDonnini So what are you saying— young white men are gonna start putting pronouns in their bios? After like a decade plus of white men are the enemy? I think it’s going to be more complicated than that.

@TheNovaAqua1 @fredsoda And they push those ideals while at the same time sending their own children to the very schools they rail against.

@fredsoda Their advice to young people is literally for them to drop out of college, move to a dying small town and buy a dilapidated house, and find a wife at the local diner while working at the post office. Conservatives genuinely want young people to permanent underclass themselves

it’s just so embarrassing to see how little conservatives/right wingers understand about elite environments such as college admission genuinely they don’t know how outclassed they are by their opposition

@NHansenArt @WestsideLAGuy While obviously the ceiling for the NFL player is higher, the median Yale undergrad almost certainly has a higher net worth at age 40 than the median NFL draft pick does.

@WestsideLAGuy Incredibly stupid post. Getting drafted into the nfl guarantees fame + instant financial returns. Ivy guarantees nothing, you just get a SHOT at nfl rookie contract numbers four years later, when the top young nfl players will be looking at 30m+ contract extensions

Being drafted by the NFL is awesome but you wanna talk truly transformational experience that makes people cry? Getting into a top 5 undergrad as a regular middle/working class kid. Nothing like it.

@goobnav @chriswithans VRA advantage for Reps is vastly overstated. It knocks out maybe 8 or 9 blue seats in the South while allowing CA, IL, NY to simultaneously knock out their red seats. At best its a +5 gain for Reps but some people seem to have a fantasy it keeps the House red forever

@chriswithans The question is, when is the VRA ruling and that hammer going to drop.

Because Texas was in response to New York as well as necessary because of a court decision, which we’ve discussed ad nauseam. Texas also never had an independent commission. And finally, Texas is an R+14 state that drew a couple more red seats. Virginia is following California and drawing a 10-1 map that wouldn’t even be suitable for Maryland. It’s a D+5.7 state that just had a bipartisan moderate Republican governor who respected the will of voters. Voters went +33ish for an “independent commission” in 2020. Virginia’s New Democrat fakemajority is trying to gerrymander the state with a deceptively worded off-cycle referendum being held in April, so they’re not even getting the Real Voice of all voters. And they broke multiple laws to get that ballot measure, to boot.

@GR3GGMARSHALL @ThisNotCom probably Duke -16 vs Temple in '99

@ThisNotCom I wonder what the biggest spread was in a men’s elite 8. I doubt we’ve ever had one over 20(?)

That…is a very big number.

@2008Philz Neat that Myers had the first and last pitch in '07

Every Philadelphia Phillies Opening Day Starting Pitcher: 2026 - Sánchez 2025 - Wheeler 2024 - Wheeler 2023 - Nola 2022 - Nola 2021 - Nola 2020 - Nola 2019 - Nola 2018 - Nola 2017 - Hellickson 2016 - Hellickson 2015 - Hamels 2014 - Lee 2013 - Hamels 2012 - Halladay 2011 - Halladay 2010 - Halladay 2009 - Myers 2008 - Myers 2007 - Myers 2006 - Lieber 2005 - Lieber 2004 - Millwood 2003 - Millwood 2002 - Person 2001 - Daal 2000 - Ashby 1999 - Schilling 1998 - Schilling 1997 - Schilling 1996 - Fernandez 1995 - Schilling 1994 - Schilling 1993 - Mulholland 1992 - Mulholland 1991 - Mulholland 1990 - Ruffin 1989 - Youmans 1988 - Rawley 1987 - Rawley 1986 - Carlton 1985 - Carlton 1984 - Carlton 1983 - Carlton 1982 - Carlton 1981 - Carlton 1980 - Carlton 1979 - Carlton 1978 - Carlton 1977 - Carlton 1976 - Kaat 1975 - Carlton 1974 - Carlton 1973 - Carlton 1972 - Carlton 1971 - Short 1970 - Short 1969 - Short 1968 - Short 1967 - Bunning 1966 - Short 1965 - Short 1964 - Bennett 1963 - Mahaffey 1962 - Mahaffey 1961 - Roberts 1960 - Roberts 1959 - Roberts 1958 - Roberts 1957 - Roberts 1956 - Roberts 1955 - Roberts 1954 - Roberts 1953 - Roberts 1952 - Roberts 1951 - Roberts 1950 - Roberts 1949 - Heintzelman 1948 - Leonard 1947 - Rowe 1946 - Judd 1945 - Raffensberger 1944 - Barrett 1943 - Gerheauser 1942 - Johnson 1941 - Blanton 1940 - Higbe 1939 - Mulcahy 1938 - LaMaster 1937 - Johnson 1936 - Davis 1935 - Davis 1934 - Elliott 1933 - Rhem 1932 - Collins 1931 - Elliott 1930 - Sweetland 1929 - Willoughby 1928 - Ring 1927 - Carlson 1926 - Carlson 1925 - Carlson 1924 - Ring 1923 - Hubbell 1922 - Meadows 1921 - Ring 1920 - Rixey 1919 - Jacobs 1918 - Mayer 1917 - Alexander 1916 - Alexander 1915 - Alexander 1914 - Alexander 1913 - Seaton 1912 - Alexander 1911 - Moore 1910 - McQuillan 1909 - Coveleski 1908 - McQuillan 1907 - Corridon 1906 - Lush 1905 - Pittinger 1904 - Duggleby 1903 - Fraser 1902 - Felix 1901 - Dunn 1900 - Orth 1899 - Piatt 1898 - Donahue 1897 - Orth 1896 - Taylor 1895 - Taylor 1894 - Weyhing 1893 - Weyhing 1892 - Keefe 1891 - Gleason 1890 - Gleason 1889 - Buffington 1888 - Gleason 1887 - Daily 1886 - Casey 1885 - Ferguson 1884 - Ferguson 1883 - Coleman

@QuiteProblmatic @AndrewDahDude @Taniel @AspenMIPol Democrats would be than willing to work with the Republican majorities to pass federal anti-gerrymandering legislation. Not sure why the Rs aren't up for it.

@slayer_book @AndrewDahDude @Taniel @AspenMIPol Awesome, let's fix all of them.

Virginia update: 32K more voters than yesterday. Turnout picked up a bit in 2 bluest congressional districts, which have lagged but saw biggest turnout jump since yesterday (in terms of %). 5-GOP held districts still make up 55.0% of electorate (57% last week, 55.3% yesterday).

@MANonCompliant @PandasMQ2 @JosephPMatron @Timcast You're revealing yourself to be a stupid person. Even if she didn't know the cards, betting $100k to win a $270k pot is a mathematically strong bet if you're 50/50

@PandasMQ2 @JosephPMatron @Timcast If that's all she knew, it was essentially a 50/50 that she won. Why would anyone go all in on that??? A single pair would have saved him.

I've not met a single person live that thought it was a fair game 100% of people I've played with think Robbi cheated

@QuiteProblmatic @AndrewDahDude @Taniel @AspenMIPol You're right, it's not about Texas--its about the rest of them.

@AndrewDahDude @Taniel @AspenMIPol I wonder how you persuade people who want to punish "the other side". Remember, this has nothing to do with Texas.

@carpinthelake @Mason__McCann Dems will use their trifecta in 2029 to pass federal independent redistricting reform, which will certainly protect the SLC district.

@Mason__McCann Then when VRA is repealed that district will go away

THE PROP 4 REPEAL HAS OFFICIALLY FAILED UTAH WILL KEEP ITS BLUE DISTRICT INDEFINITELY

@FaustAndTrue @earlyvotedata Dems will have a trifecta in 2029 and will almost certainly use it to pass federal independent redistricting reform. House control becomes difficult for Rs in that scenario.

@earlyvotedata Niggas celebrating like 2030 will not be genuinely cancerous for democrats.

Yep figured this would happen. I still think it's better if it's on the 2028 ballot anyway. But the Utah Legislature still might try to pass something anyway this year. Utah Republicans have been relentless in this fight.

@SteveEvets8 @Uncrewed What's stopping them from simply passing it in 2029? Hold onto power as long as possible then pull up the ladder behind them on the way out.

@Uncrewed Why do Ds keep stupidly blocking independent redistricting here? The chances they actually have a trifecta here after 2030 is quite low (assuming a D is president) and there is an outside chance Rs get one in 2030 or in the decade after due likely fairer legislative maps.

Here are my first ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Nevada! Thanks to gerrymandering, the Nevada Dems are pretty safe this year. Governor Joe Lombardo is trying to use his popularity to elect more Republicans, but for now, both chambers are Dem-favored.