TCG

352 posts

TCG

TCG

@thatcryptoguy77

Cryptp Quant Researcher and Trader 2014 vintage

Worldwide Katılım Temmuz 2013
731 Takip Edilen61 Takipçiler
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ً@trading_axe·
@KobeissiLetter Trump looks like a retarded KOL pump and dumping shitcoin charts, but this time it’s the US economy. Truly embarrassing. ~ Dr. Axius.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Iran issues a statement DENYING President Trump's post which claimed the US and Iran have had "productive conversations" to end the Iran War: Iran says: 1. "There has been no indirect or direct contact with President Trump" 2. President Trump is trying to "buy time" in the Iran War 3. President Trump "withdrew" from power plant strikes after Iran's "firm warning" 4. President Trump's comments are "psychological warfare" 5. "Hormuz will not return to pre-war conditions as long as psychological warfare continues" Iran has entirely denied all of President Trump's claims.
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thiccy
thiccy@thiccyth0t·
u know when a trade starts off as a little scalp but it instead of stopping out it as the trade goes against you, you just keep doubling down and martingaling until suddenly you're 10x levered and down -30% of your book? that's trump rn with the strait of hormuz
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Jmail
Jmail@jmailarchive·
We built Jikipedia, a new wiki that compiles Jmail data into exhaustive reports on key figures in the Epstein scandal. It lists all recorded visits to Epstein's estates, each person's possible knowledge of Epstein's crimes and laws that they may have violated. Here is Epstein's executive assistant, who sent >100k emails to him and was shielded from prison via a 2007 non-prosecution deal.
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Matt
Matt@BloFin_CEO·
Seamless crypto off-ramp with a 100% compliant Swiss bank account — zero card fees, 1% top-up, instant Mastercard virtual debit, and global spending via PayPal, Apple Pay, Google Pay & more. Powered by BloFin.
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Really American 🇺🇸
Really American 🇺🇸@ReallyAmerican1·
BREAKING: In a shocking moment, Trump appears to engage in foreign election interference, saying the U.S. will only give Argentina foreign aid if his pal Milei wins. "If he loses, we will not be generous with Argentina." Extreme corruption.
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
The government is in full shutdown and the Republicans are refusing to call the House back into session. Want to know why? Because we have secured the final vote on releasing the Epstein Files and they don’t want it out. Call GOP and tell them to swear in @AdelitaForAZ.
House Press Gallery@HouseDailyPress

The Chair announced the Speaker's designation of Tuesday, Oct. 7 through Monday, Oct. 13 as a district work period.

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Xeer
Xeer@Xeer·
$10,000,000 net worth in finance: - Patek Philippe - Penthouse on 5th Ave - Weekends in the Hamptons - Uber Black SUV - Loro Piana fit $10,000,000 net worth in tech: - Apple Watch 2013 model - Room in hacker house - Motorized bicycle - Only wears free merch $10,000,000 net worth in crypto: - I can’t even retire on this 😭
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Adam Schiff
Adam Schiff@SenAdamSchiff·
Kash Patel wants you to believe the Bureau of Prisons’ decision to move Epstein’s co-conspirator to a minimum security prison after her interview was… a coincidence. His false testimony is an insult to the intelligence of the America people.
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Sen. Cory Booker
Sen. Cory Booker@SenBooker·
Kash Patel has made our country less safe. He has put fealty to Trump over his sworn oath to the constitution.
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david 🔛⛓️
david 🔛⛓️@davidonchainx·
Just did an interview for a CT lead role • $60k per month • 1.75% of token supply • 10 posts per week (including memes) • Minimum 250 replies per day • Paid travel and expenses • Free health insurance I said no because I’m worth more
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Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib
Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib@RepRashida·
BREAKING: In the @USHouseFSC, we just moved to subpoena all of Jeffrey Epstein's unredacted financial transactions through JPMorgan Chase and other banks from the Treasury Department. Republicans voted to block the subpoena. Why are they trying to run cover for pedophiles?
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TCG@thatcryptoguy77·
@PixOnChain Bro be careful for your GTA - one is year 2026, the other is 2025!
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Pix🔎
Pix🔎@PixOnChain·
This Week’s Most Mispriced Markets: starting a new series where i share 3 plays i like in prediction markets: - 1 arbitrage - 1 good LP - 1 interesting market 1. arbitrage play most inner-market arbs happen between binary and categorical markets. one side usually has less liquidity → creates constant mispricings. last week: mr beast. this week: trump meets putin by end of month. i caught a 3% spread on decent size. i think this one keeps will give opportunities all month. so monitor it closely 2. good LP rule of thumb: only LP markets you actually believe in. reason: you need to earn at least $1 to get rewards, so sizing matters. market i like: kai cenat hits 1M subs by end of month. low competition + $100 daily reward pool why i think it hits: - twitch “subtember” discounts + 1 free sub per 5 gifted later in month - kai set a public goal with lebron haircut as a reward - already +136k new subs on day 2 (200k total). if daily adds stay 25–30k and celebrity spikes land, 1M is very doable. if growth slows mid-month, odds slide fast. so keep watching spreads while LP’ing! 3. interesting market there are several unique markets around GTA VI, this is one of them: "will gta 6 cost $100?" at first glance this looks like a simple price market. but if you read the rules carefully, it only resolves based on the official release day price. here’s why that matters: - rockstar has officially announced may 26, 2025 as the release. - gta games have never launched earlier than their official date. - the february resolution means this market will almost certainly settle NO. so right now you’re basically getting a ~16% apr on a “bet” that isn’t really a bet, unless rockstar suddenly decides to break a 20-year pattern that’s the kind of edge most retail traders skip over. hope you found these useful let me know what you’d like to see in the next one
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TCG@thatcryptoguy77·
@OctopusTakopi Looks cool, thanks for sharing! How can I use it / what insights can I take away from looking at that?
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Takopi🐙
Takopi🐙@OctopusTakopi·
Binance L3 Order Book Estimator It uses L2 data changes to estimate L3 microstructure in real-time. now features K-means clustering! Now we can see different types of market participants' movements in the order book clearly. Check it out: > github.com/OctopusTakopi/…
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Peter - Cracking Markets
Peter - Cracking Markets@SystematicPeter·
Here's a follow-up to my Z-score strategy from Friday. Many asked: Does it work on stocks, or is it over-optimized for indices? I ran the exact same rules on the Nasdaq 100 universe. See the chart. Teal = strategy, gray = QQQ buy-and-hold. Code was shared on Friday. You can test it yourself. Same rules, new universe—here’s what happened 👇 🟩 Strategy: Multi-Scale Z-Score Mean Reversion 🟩 Universe: Nasdaq 100 (historical constituents included) 🟩 Max 1 new position per day 🟩 Risk: 5% per position (~15 % max at full 3-tier size) The rules remain identical: 🟩 Entry: Buy 1/3 when 5-day Z-score < -1 🟩 Scale-in: Add 1/3 on each new low (max 2) 🟩 Exit: Sell when price > 5-day EMA The results speak for themselves: 🟩 CAGR: 14.80% 🟩 Max Drawdown: -35.31% 🟩 Sharpe Ratio: 0.94 🟩 Win Rate: 70.29% 🟩 Total Trades: 11,144 🟩 Avg Exposure: 34.66% 🟩 Max Exposure: 156% Retail fees included. This isn't a final system. But it's a clear demonstration of a robust concept that works across different asset classes. A solid foundation for a live trading model. #SystematicTrading #AlgoTrading #TradingTips #Automation
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dethective
dethective@dethective·
6/ Conclusion As we all suspected, he didn’t actually lose that much money, and now we have the proof. The downside? That narrative was extremely effective marketing. Now he has • 370k followers • 2360 smart followers (seriously, stop following him) • More Yaps than I’ll ever earn in my life This gave him the credibility to shill his memecoins, sell courses, and find every possible way to monetize even more.
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TCG@thatcryptoguy77·
@ltrd_ TLDR after > 30% drop buy and sell after 2 days? Thanks for the insights bro!
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ltrd
ltrd@ltrd_·
On this plot, you can see the average and median result, day by day, starting from the day of the price drop. You’ll notice there’s some recovery within the first 2–3 days, but after that, the price action gets pretty bad. After 90 days, the median return is over -30%.
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ltrd
ltrd@ltrd_·
Why you should not catch a knife on small-cap instruments? 🧵 Today, I’m going to give you one of the most important lessons you can get if you want to be profitable long-term (with statistics and examples). We all have the desire to think that a 30% drop is just a discount and a time to buy your favorite, solid-looking coin. That is far from the truth. If you want to read only one thing today, this is the one you should choose. #CryptoTrading
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