Sultan

I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.

@ddsuhaimi_ @catalinmpit Claude sucks because of its rate limits.

@catalinmpit things to do with codex: 1. remove it 2. install claude /s

Now that I have the ChatGPT Pro plan, give me your best Codex tips and tricks.

@retired68734 @Dr_Singularity Exactly! I made a human progression map, where I made the base value as 100 which is 1995->2025 progress. Even with normal progress it is 2085 when the world just ends, becomes unimaginable.

A notable person recently posted that there is no way there will be a workable fusion reactor with net positive energy supply to a grid in the next 100 years. I'm like, wow, do you not realise we're going through the most exponential growth in intelligence ever seen, and it's hard to imagine 10 years out, let alone 100.

All timelines are too conservative. Autonomous AI agents and researchers are going to speed up science and tech by insane amounts. By the end of this decade, pace of progress may be 1000's to millions of times faster than today. In the early 2030s, maybe billions of times faster. By the late 2030s, trillions of times faster. We're talking here about double/triple exponentials. And even if I’m off by millions of times, it barely matters. Even a "small" 1000x acceleration means one year becomes like 1000 years of today’s research. That alone destroys almost every normal timeline people are using. Just 100-1000x acceleration is big enough to give us Star Trek level tech, science & wealth during 2030s, not 2300s.

#singularity #singularityisnear #humanprogression #AI #AGI #ASI

Singularity is nearer than you think

@257From @chesscom

@chesscom Nepo thinking that i don't know it's him

🚨 Michael Jackson will be Burnley’s interim manager until the end of the season, club statement confirms. Follows Scott Parker leaving with immediate effect.

@Felixjames56567 @BarcaTimes As a Barca fan this is a legit opinion. As a president you want a competitiveness in your league, you don't want any team to run away with a championship too early.

@BarcaTimes How does this mad man become league president

🚨🎙️| Javier Tebas: “Barça can reach 𝟏𝟎𝟎 points in the league? I DON'T like it when teams reach 100 points, it’s too many. It’s true that Real Madrid and Atlético have dropped a lot of points and are below their usual level, but I don’t like the champion going beyond 90 points.” #fcblive

Don't just reset Codex rate limits for fun, it costs money. Don't just reset Codex rate limits for fun, it costs money. ... but the vibes are good ... I have reset Codex rate limits for ALL paid plans to celebrate a good week and allow everyone to build more with GPT-5.5. Enjoy

@maticicero @EIlioth @NorthernSki Also, the condition states that "infinite agent". One of the reasons other than "everyone can do it" is that AI simply became expensive!

@thespacenemo @EIlioth @NorthernSki Again, let me repeat myself again and be clear, do you honestly believe the reason that AI-driven products/business do not make billions today is because "everyone can do it"?

Would you rather? Infinite Claude in 2009 or buy 1 Bitcoin in 2009

@maticicero @EIlioth @NorthernSki They are making billions today, what are you on? If in 2009, you can make simple mobile games and desktop apps with the team of 10 or more people, then if instead if you run dozens Claude agents in parallel, making them plan/execute/criticize/verify you will easily make billions.

@maticicero @EIlioth @NorthernSki Because everyone has access means everyone can do it. If you are the only one in 2009 with infinite access to Claude Opus 4.7 model then you are basically a superhuman

@EIlioth @NorthernSki Do you think the reason we can't pull this off today is because it's not 2009? You give AI too much credit bro

@SuperMiche017 @rsuyoy Yes, I am so freaking annoyed when I hear people understimate the "exponential growth" so badly.

@rsuyoy mf said 10 years 🤣 it will happen before christmas if the ai companies wont slow down

What's a reasonable timeline for a GPT 5.4/Opus 4.6 level LLM that runs locally on a good Macbook 10 years? much less? much more?

@listenyoulittle @sama @VictorTaelin Building the whole infrastructure that supports more compute power is not instantaneous

@sama @VictorTaelin Anthropic is about to get a lot of money from Amazon. You better deliver 5.5 tomorrow

actually quite depressed about the mythos stuff grinding my way through, I'll do it with or without them

@kkovraa @WadimRosenstein @GMHikaru @FabianoCaruana It is the land of the immigrants. Or do you want to see only the native American people representing the US?

@WadimRosenstein @GMHikaru @FabianoCaruana Americans 😂🤣🤡🤡🤡🤡 I see a Japanese, Italian, Philippino, and Armenian. American chess is dead. I wonder why they don’t let Hans play? They ruined his career but those who know, know.

Miami is about to witness something special. 🔥 New dates: 27-28 July. For the first time in this format - a true clash of generations and styles: Team USA 🇺🇸 vs Uzbekistan 🇺🇿 On one side, proven elite experience: Hikaru Nakamura @GMHikaru Fabiano Caruana @FabianoCaruana Wesley So @WesleySo_ Levon Aronian @LevAronian On the other, one of the fastest-rising teams in the world - a generation that already proved it can win on the biggest stage. Javokhir Sindarov @GMJSindarov Nodirbek Abdusattorov @NodirbekGM Nodirbek Yakubbaev Shamsiddin Vokhidov Speed. Precision. Nerves. Supported by the US Chess Federation @uschess and the Uzbekistan Chess Federation. Miami. July 27-28. Be ready.

@techbr0ther @rationalaussie I would agree with you on every other major change in the history of humanity but not the AI. It is indeed very different, hence why people are really afraid or excited.

@rationalaussie People have a habit of severely underestimating how long major societal changes take to play out. Even 10 years from now is optimistic for those predictions.

The way things are going, you basically only need enough money to last until 2032. By that point, the world will look so radically different that money won't really matter that much for most people. Change your mental model from saving for retirement to 'saving for robots that build robots that build everything'.

@tempuzfugit @bridgebench What happens if their upcoming model is comparable to that of Mythos but for much cheaper price?

@thespacenemo @bridgebench Let's see what open ai boys have to offer to us this week. I hope the will not degrade already exisiting models

Claude Opus 4.7 just regressed hard on BridgeBench. Bullshit Benchmark tests if models push back on nonsense or just make things up. Claude Opus 4.6: 95.0. Rank 1. Claude Opus 4.7: 75.5. Rank 5. Claude Opus 4.7 accepts made up jargon 24% of the time. Claude Opus 4.6 accepts 3%. Anthropic nerfed pushback.

@tempuzfugit @bridgebench Not enough compute I suppose. They are ultimately going to lose the AI race

@bridgebench I can't believe it... what is actually happening with them, come on it is not fair to play like this. How should we rely on these tools?

@kimiishard @ChessbaseIndia @ram_abhyudaya @GMJSindarov @Uzchesss Typical Manchester United fan

@ChessbaseIndia @ram_abhyudaya @GMJSindarov @Uzchesss Chessbase India is so cringe man. Gukesh will win easily. A lot of Indians are weird this is the only nation where a bunch of them simp for the opposing player and say some sweet nothings to these Turkish, uzbek, kazakh players whose fanbase is extremely toxic and racist

Bro didn’t even hesitate 🗿🔥 Edit: @ram_abhyudaya #chess #chessbaseindia #sindarov

@x3firearms @FIDE_chess Because sport is evolving. Especially mind sports. Thus, you could almost certainly say the current best as the best ever (not all the time)

@FIDE_chess In almost every sport , the current era is almost always chosen. For my I look at the apparent strength distance between the player and their contemporaries. That probably puts Morphy in the lead for a short period of time. Fischer as well.

Kasparov or Carlsen? Who is the greatest chess player of all time for 🇺🇿 Javokhir Sindarov? #FIDECandidates #FIDEWomensCandidates #FIDE #Chess #Cyprus