Tobias Goebel (Unsupervised)

1 million robotaxis. That's what Tesla needs to break even with their automotive revenue. Check this out: To reach its current annual automotive revenue of ~$70b with ride-hailing, Tesla would need to provide 70b annual miles (at $1/mile, which many say is the goal) – which happens to be pretty much exactly what Uber likely did in 2025. Assume the robotaxis do ~70,000 miles per year (a possibly realistic high-utilization target with 16–20 hours of daily operation) and you would need a fleet of exactly 1 million robotaxis.

@a_lyx Such a cool use case for video people. @gobilo was trying this earlier today using local models

@tpgoebel apparently codex is great at this too (this was right below your post in my feed...) x.com/heccbrent/stat…

Nice. I just gave Claude four local video files (~44 minutes) with a task to identify snippets where I can be seen either full body and/or laughing. I needed this material for a new intro jingle for my channel. It did a near perfect job. Using ffmpeg to pull frames at 4 second intervals and analyze the stills. Gave me a list of files with start and end times. Impressive! (Fable 5 on High, 18 minutes processing time, half my daily credits till reset.)

@michaeljanich Nah. Was within my daily free limit on the Pro tier

@tpgoebel Plus tokens for 200 bucks?

Einfach unglaublich🤯 x.com/i/status/20766… Der Unterschied zwischen @Tesla FSD und anderen Systemen, dich sich Konkurrenz nennen, ist offensichtlich die Intelligenz. 100% Regelkonformität funktioniert im Straßenverkehr nicht, das weiß jeder, der sich in diesem Verkehr bewegt. Kann @Tesla FSD mit einem Hinderniss auf der eigenen Spur umgehen? Ja, das kann es! 💪

@michaeljanich 5 trees in the Amazon.

@tpgoebel And how much did that cost you??

@nymbusjp Yep! Still cool to see,

It's map based. They pre-map the garage.

@mehauff7 Sounds reasonable to me!

@tpgoebel I’m still predicting that Amazon will make a panel version of their Zoox vehicle with a small delivery robot and do this exact thing.

Very cool. We'll need delivery drivers for quite some time more, but I can totally see how this will make the job so much less stressful and harsh on the body... BUT: What's in it for the logistics business itself? Are delivery drivers hard to find, where this would be an incentive?

HOLY CRAP that's cool. Check out how XPeng's vehicles visualize multi-story parking lots when navigating up or down (either with their flavor of FSD, ie. Next Gen Pilot on VLA 2.0, or manually driven) 🤯 And as for parking, they also seem more advanced than Tesla already in terms of the feature set itself (very likely NOT in terms of overall consistent performance.) LOVE the innovation coming out of this company!

@wholemars @XPENG_Global Doesn’t matter. Show the people cool stuff! ESPECIALLY the Chinese

@tpgoebel @XPENG_Global Major overkill

Brilliant idea by @XPENG_Global for their robotaxi service: let the passenger speak into the hailing app a description of how they look and where exactly they're standing - then let the AI figure out the exact pickup spot with their cameras. Nice! (And they can't refrain from taking a friendly stab at Tesla 😅) cc @FutureAZA

@leRaffl Whaaa?? Getouttaheeeeeree…

@tpgoebel Almost as if... I dunno... It was safe to use?

And no major incidents. Trust me, we would know… 😅

@teslanerdX Lol

FSD Probefahrten können in Stuttgart nicht mehr gebucht werden 🤷🏽‍♂️

@jonasdriftAI @Captain75733660 A Tesla is cheaper than the average new car sale. At least here in the US. I don’t think what you say is actually true. Some people calculate very carefully.

@Captain75733660 @tpgoebel Everybody who can afford a Tesla lease or buy can afford 99€/month

By the way... should FSD Supervised indeed come to Germany*, Tesla would likely kill the free "autopilot" functionality currently included; in particular, the lane assist. New cars would then only feature Traffic-Aware Cruise Control (TACC), and the basic safety measures mandatory for every new car in the EU. For anything else, you would need to subscribe to FSD for €99/month. (*see the signal's we're seeing in my quoted post; the only thing that changed since yesterday is that FSD demo rides have been extended by 15 days: x.com/tpgoebel/statu…)

@daniel_gersch Also so ganz würde ich den Juli noch nicht abschreiben wollen

@tpgoebel Und ich wusste das nichts kommt. Passt halt zu Deutschland.

@JonBbC_TechGeek been following you for a while. You're one of the good guys in the community!

@tpgoebel Thanks Tobias!

Follow this man for updates on the Tesla ad shooting in Chicago!

@Avatrode @ScottTArcher @Teslaconomics his post showed as muted to me in this thread. So I must've found a reason in the past not to want him in my timeline. This post might have been it, actually.

@ScottTArcher @Teslaconomics Oh well, that's crap too. 🤷‍♂️

Again… don’t be a dumbass and do stupid shit like this fool just for clicks and attention. Josh West intentionally grabbed and pulled on the steering wheel of a Tesla Robotaxi during a ride to see what would happen. He did it multiple times from the backseat. The Robotaxi responded by braking, giving safety alerts, and contacting support. He also unbuckled his seatbelt while the vehicle was moving and, after the ride, put one of his own stickers on the Robotaxi. The Tesla team reviewed the trip, cited safety violations and property damage, and suspended his Robotaxi access. Then he turned around and made a video titled “I Got BANNED From The Tesla Robotaxi Network… So You Don’t Have To!” No… You didn’t do this “so we don’t have to.” Nobody needed you to grab the steering wheel of an unsupervised Robotaxi. Nobody needed you to intentionally trigger its safety systems. Nobody needed you to put your sticker on a vehicle that doesn’t belong to you. You did it for content. And this is exactly the kind of stupid shit that pisses me, many investors, and many hardworking employees on the Tesla team off. The @Tesla team has spent YEARS working their asses off to make unsupervised Robotaxis a reality. Engineers have dedicated countless hours to building, testing, and improving this technology while Tesla fights through regulatory scrutiny and proves the system can safely scale. Then a fool gets access and intentionally fucks with the vehicle for a YouTube video. Think about how selfish that is. Millions of people are waiting for this technology to expand. Tesla employees have spent years of their lives working to get it this far. The last thing the program needs is some attention seeker intentionally creating safety incidents for clicks. If you’re lucky enough to get access to a Tesla Robotaxi, respect the fucking technology, respect the vehicle, and respect the people who spent years building it. Sit down and buckle up. Keep your hands off the steering wheel. Don’t put or do shit on a car that isn’t yours. And enjoy the fucking ride. It really shouldn’t be that difficult. The Tesla team has worked too damn hard to get to this point for fools chasing YouTube views to jeopardize it for everyone else. Don’t be like this fool.