Dr. Thomas ODonnell

2.1K posts

Dr. Thomas ODonnell

Dr. Thomas ODonnell

@twodtwod

Geopolitics of global oil & gas/energy transition: USA EU/Germany, Russia/CEE/Ukraine, China, OPEC/Venezuela/Saudi/Iran. Academic. Contact: Consulting/ Analysis

NYC, Berlin, Caracas Katılım Mart 2010
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
@Valen10Francois Rotate 180 and one gets Brussels's (unfortunate) disintrest in "eastern expansion". Why do they only speak (disingenuously) about "W. Balkans" accession? :-)
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François Valentin
François Valentin@Valen10Francois·
What amuses me about the UK is that every 4 months you have a "Bregret? Brits regret Brexit" survey And then the most popular politician is Nigel Farage
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Margus Tsahkna
Margus Tsahkna@Tsahkna·
Suggesting that the Baltics or Poland are to blame for Russia’s aggression against Ukraine is not only impertinent but simply wrong. The real cause is Putin’s refusal to accept the USSR’s collapse and the West’s past appeasement while ignoring clear warning signs.🧵
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
globalbarrel.com/2025/04/01/my-… WATCH MY DUBLIN TALK! Renewables only make gas more geostrategic as there's no long-term universal grid-scale storage tech. Gas is used. EU must radically reform Green Deal for a NUCLEAR-POWER BASED policy like France in 1970s energy crisis @BeaBovary
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
@anasalhajji Anas, In general, yes. However, there are other demands he has against each and would use the tariffs as leverage on those as well. ... if he did not on some items or sectors, this reveals, likely, that he sees the USA uncompetitive in those and wants more time ...
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Anas Alhajji
Anas Alhajji@anasalhajji·
Serious question: If Canada, Mexico, and the EU approach Trump to remove all tariffs, will he agree?
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
My Sky News: Russia gas via Ukraine ends, Slovakia's Fico has plenty gas| Trump*s more gas or else tariffs seems unlikely as already get ca 67% of USA output| EU Green Deal overdependence on wind an "own goal" to deindustrialization,... youtu.be/OuR0KH9Eev0?si…
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
@degiorgiod Thanks for alerting me to the Swedish minister's views! Great! I should add that CDU's next-chancellor, Merz, only has financial ctitiques of renewables fundamentalism. The CDU believes in the Green program's tech can work, wants coalition w/ Greens @thierr
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Domenico De Giorgio, EU. Capre Diem (not a typo).
German Leadership is the worst. Their ideologic, radical energy ineptitude is something I've flagged many times. Their solipsism was initially only apparent to energy geeks like me. It is now a European-wide existential issue. Green radicalism is as dangerous as others. @twodtwod
Domenico De Giorgio, EU. Capre Diem (not a typo). tweet media
Visegrád 24@visegrad24

Sweden Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Energy Ebba Busch stated today that "she's furious with Germany" for dismantling its nuclear power plants, causing a spike in energy prices in Sweden. Southern Sweden has record-high energy prices today due to having send electricity to Germany via undersea power cables today. Cold weather coupled with no wind has driven up the demand in Germany from other sources than wind. EU regulations force Sweden to send that electricity to Germany, driving up prices in southern Sweden today to be nearly 200 times higher than they are in northern Sweden. A 10-minute shower in southern Sweden costs around USD 5 during today's price spike. Ebba Busch added that Germany's decision to dismantle its nuclear power plants has also other detrimental effects for Europe: "I'm furious with the Germans. They have made a decision for their country, which they have the right to make; it's their right to decide. But it has had very serious consequences, also for the EU's competitiveness because we see that German competitiveness has dropped significantly." She said that Germany's actions have also reduced its ability to help Ukraine. - “After Russia's invasion of Ukraine, they still chose to dismantle their nuclear power plants... I respect that people can have different opinions about nuclear power plants, but we could have kept it. They are important because they are baseload power plants. Having access to such baseload power plants would have increased the transmission capacity from Germany to other electricity price areas in Europe, driving down prices for all of us"

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James Hopf
James Hopf@HopfJames·
Poland will ask the European Commission for approval of its financing of, and support for, its first nuclear plant. Article link in reply. The reason for this is that the EU has restrictions on member state govt. support (subsidies) of domestic industries, to avoid unfair competition within the EU. In recent years, the EU has regularly approved state financing/support of nuclear projects, and will likely do so in Poland's case. The frustrating part is that renewable projects are completely exempt from all EU state aid rules. So, things aren't quite tech-neutral yet.
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Strait Talk
Strait Talk@StraitTalkTRT·
Could Türkiye’s latest LNG deal with Shell be viewed as competition for Russia? @twodtwod says this deal gives Russia less economic and political leverage and any relationship Türkiye makes with others lessens Russian gas importance. Watch more here: youtu.be/BkWR7RdoRMo?si…
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
My TRT Istanbul: Türkiya's African Energy Strategy: New Somalia & Kenya natural gas deals. On with me: Dr. Michael Amoah(LSE).- I explain Turkey's scramble for gas independence AND to maintain its role in Somalia as its security deteriorates.youtu.be/vvKpMZchTRQ?si… via @YouTube
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Mark Finley
Mark Finley@finley_mark·
@IEA @OPECSecretariat @EIAgov @Bob_McNally Understanding the institutional biases of leading forecasters can help us parse the differences between their outlooks. That doesn’t fix the problem – it just helps the rest of us deal with it. Which unfortunately may be the best we can hope for at this point… END
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Mark Finley
Mark Finley@finley_mark·
The Battle of Oil Analysts! Today’s @ftenergy article gives me a chance to preview forthcoming @CES_Baker_Inst research. What’s going on? I fear the most widely-used oil market analyses are shifting their purposes. A (long) thread… 1/12 ft.com/content/62d21b…
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Dr. Thomas ODonnell
Dr. Thomas ODonnell@twodtwod·
@general_ben "Go along get along" with MAGA foreign policy. As expected, from watching him for many years now on other issues.
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