EscapeFromUtopia

6K posts

EscapeFromUtopia

EscapeFromUtopia

@utopia_escape

Katılım Ocak 2021
900 Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler
EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@simple_setups @jrex035 Okay. Let's take that as given. It took them 5 years to do 10MW, 5 more for 100MW. So by 2035 we get 1000MW and by 2040 we get 10,000MW. Unlikely, but plausible. That's not quite 88Twh. The Hormuz is on a completely different scale. 10,000Twh x.com/i/status/20582…
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape

This is all the energy that we use as a species, in total. Right now 3-5% of the purple is gone, along with 10% of the blue. People talk about how its small in the grand scheme of things, but that's 10kTwh of power annualized. Its more than all the pictured nuclear and solar.

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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
While, I thought $oil was going up until the latest DEAL OF THE CENTURY, if it can't get us down below 90, and summer driving season starts today, that looks increasingly like a double bottom. Note the clouds. Going to be hard to drive price below those with these fundamentals.
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@simple_setups @jrex035 See, here you're so close. You have the relationship backward. Something always pops the bubble. Oil doesn't fall then markets follow. Oil spikes, and markets flame out, then oil follows them lower. Look to 2008.
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Leveraged Leaders
Leveraged Leaders@simple_setups·
@utopia_escape @jrex035 Ignorance ? Ok. The equity bull market is coming to an end and when it does - as it always does - everything gets sold as they always do. Equities and Commodities alike .. TLT will start to catch a bid shortly and has most likely bottomed . $150-$250 will be next cycle stuff ..
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@simple_setups @jrex035 That's the lower trendline going back to the 70s. The last time we left it was COVID. The time before that was 2016, and before that was never.
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@simple_setups @jrex035 If someone said they'd stuff it down into the 80s on a peace deal I'd consider it, but $68? $50? You're just showing your ignorence here to be outlandish. If $oil couldn't got to $50 before the war, how the hell do you think the loss of 2B reserve barrels will make that happen?
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Leveraged Leaders
Leveraged Leaders@simple_setups·
@jrex035 @utopia_escape It’s going to $68 before it ever goes to $150 or $250 - whatever price X furus have been trying to scare everyone with . And after $68 it will be in the $50s before $150 and probably the $30s again before $150
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@TommyMartin21 You have a future as a Trumpian Speech writer. You use the best, adjectives folks, and I mean that bigly.
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TOMMY MARTIN
TOMMY MARTIN@TommyMartin21·
@utopia_escape I think it will be referred to as “the greatest deal of all time a beautiful deal,probably “
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@jeremygolant Shows how wonderful our central planners are targeting things in their utopia, no?
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
Great rant. samkriss.substack.com/p/if-you-let-a… "I hate that when I read basically anything now I’m constantly on alert, twitching like a schizo in an underpass. Is this thing really what it says it is? Is this person actually a robot in disguise?"
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@IvanJaros When I visited eastern Germany it was pretty bad, especially anywhere outside the touristy spots. Bavaria has some, but mostly around the train stations.
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🇸🇰 Ivan Jaros
🇸🇰 Ivan Jaros@IvanJaros·
i'm doing some research with streetview and i don't think i have seen worse place in entire europe that is suffering with graffiti. it's literally on every building. utterly disgusting. makes greece look like a cheap back alley whore.
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@rabbitholebot "In February 2012, Reuters analyzed Komen’s 2011 financial statements and reported that: “43 percent of donations were spent on education, 18 percent on fund-raising and administration, 15 percent on research awards and grants, 12 percent on screening and 5 percent on treatment."
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rabbitholebot
rabbitholebot@rabbitholebot·
Does anyone else find it odd that $200 billion is spent on cancer research every single year and the only thing to show for it is a 75% increase in cancer deaths since the 1990s?
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@D3_Deflation Trump did try during COVID, but it was seen as a give away to big oil and congress blocked it. I don't ascribe to any 5D chess theories on this. Isreal had their guy and wanted Iran taken out, but America was no longer strong enough to do the job, and now the world is screwed.
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Sebastian
Sebastian@D3_Deflation·
@utopia_escape maybe this back and forth and prolonged process with no clear outcome is part of the deal the only thing that irritates me on top of that theory, that the US did not fill up their strategic reserves before hand this leads to another theory which is ...
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
Every new headline is breathlessly reported like THIS will be the detail that fixes the strait. What does it matter if it's Qatar or Pakistan? Doesn't the fact that all this keeps changing worry the plan trusters? Seems to me that it's evidence that the deal is not all but signed
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@calvinfroedge I was shocked to find out that Humans had 8B barrels of petrochemical reserves. I was also shocked to find out that 5.2B of that cant be used (oil in pipes, oil in transit, tank bottoms). What I can believe though, is how quickly we're burning through the rest.
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🏴‍☠️
🏴‍☠️@calvinfroedge·
"The 1970s oil crisis can't happen because we have the SPR now" My brother in Christ, they're taking out over a million barrels per day from the SPR It could be empty by the end of the year at the current pace
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@SpeculatorPL1 While $100+ oil could drive a fracking boom that kills gas in the medium term, past 2028, I think it's going much higher. Just look at power growth and export terminal dates. One way or another America will normalize with the rest of the world.
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Resource Alpha
Resource Alpha@SpeculatorPL1·
$NatGas Update: The trend reversal I highlighted is officially playing out in textbook fashion. Following the initial +20% surge, Natural Gas just completed a healthy, technical correction to establish a solid higher low. Look at that structure on the 4H chart: a massive, clean Inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) pattern has materialized. The right shoulder is firmly locked in, and the price is already accelerating out of the base. Everything looks violently bullish here. The path toward that multi-month resistance zone (3,600–3,750) is wide open. Are you still fading NatGas?
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Resource Alpha@SpeculatorPL1

$NatGas Update: Since I highlighted the major trend reversal at the multi-year resistance, Natural Gas is already up +20%. The exact level I’ve been watching for months was tested and violently rejected to the upside. A beautiful reversal pattern has played out. This move is accelerating fast. Are you watching NatGas?

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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@JoshYoung Which was a strange miss on his part, since the power draw of his mansion makes him a world class expert on air conditioning.
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Josh Young
Josh Young@JoshYoung·
Thought provoking
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
@EdwardAmar46469 So that 10% of global we're bleeding is optional, huh? What about the 25% of LNG? That won't be a problem either, right?
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Volatility
Volatility@EdwardAmar46469·
$OIL will continue to fall at a faster and faster rate. Those calling for a prolonged HIGHER $OIL will look almost as foolish as the $SILVER and $GOLD bulls of 3 months ago. I truly feel bad for ppl who speak so CONFIDENTLY about stuff they know nothing about!
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EscapeFromUtopia
EscapeFromUtopia@utopia_escape·
$Silver is currently benefiting from $oil's smash. While I continue to prefer the red line the blue line is certainly interesting. It's a support line that was resistance last year, and bears watching.
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Keşfet

@simple_setups @jrex035 @TommyMartin21 @jeremygolant @rjplanetb @IvanJaros @elonmusk @BarackObama