Vyren
349 posts

Vyren
@vyrenio
Participation is optional in most systems. That’s why they fail. Vyren. Participation isn’t optional.





New @ThePeelPod with @ttunguz We talk through Anthropic’s strategy, today’s “all out sprint” in AI, how it compares to prior technologies, the three layers of AI business models, where to invest today, and what Theory looks for in new investments. Thank you to @numeral, @FlexSuperApp, and @Amplitude_HQ for supporting this episode YouTube: youtu.be/hKLuvfr22Vs Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/39WBdI… Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ins… Timestamps: 0:42 The “all out sprint” in AI today 1:40 Why GPU prices are up 116% in six weeks 6:34 AI infra end-state: “We’ll over build” 9:12 Tokenmaxxing, and why AI needs to get more efficient 15:48 AI models will resemble pharma more than software 19:52 Why Anthropic still trades at a discount 25:42 Anthropic’s strategy: commoditize the compliments 30:29 Why OpenClaw is so strategic for OpenAI 34:08 The three layers of AI business models 38:18 Where to invest in AI today 45:49 Who will survive SaaSpocalypse? 52:15 Comparing AI’s impact to historical technology cycles 57:34 How new technology historically impacts jobs 1:05:58 Where AI is underrated today 1:10:41 How people are actually buying AI products 1:14:06 Why Theory’s investing in ads, inference, and email 1:16:24 2026 IPO pipeline, how VC has changed over 20 years 1:20:56 What Theory looks for in new investments 1:22:32 Starting Theory Ventures in 2022 1:25:39 Running a monte carlo analysis to determine portfolio construction 1:27:54 Tomasz personal AI projects
























This industry LACKS creativity.



之前一直在 River4fun 上赚 Pts,但说实话对转换机制没仔细研究过。今天认真看了一遍 Conversion 3.0 的文档,发现这东西比我想的复杂得多。 简单说就是:你的 River Pts 不是直接 1:1 换成 $RIVER 的。中间有一个实时波动的汇率,取决于当时有多少人在转换。扎堆转的时候汇率差,没人转的时候汇率好。 这就意味着你得挑时机。 然后质押周期是另一个变量。3个月到24个月,8档可选。选的越长,拿到的 Staked RIVER 越多,投票权倍数也越高。24个月直接是24倍。而且质押期间还能继续赚 Pts,相当于复利。 我自己的想法是先观察几天转换密度的节奏,找一个汇率回升的窗口再动手。周期的话倾向选长一点,反正 @RiverdotInc 这个项目我打算跟一段时间。 还有一个细节:不管你在赛季内哪天转换,解锁日期都是同一天。所以早转晚转不影响解锁时间,只影响你拿到多少。 S4 已经转了 6.5 亿 Pts,S5 刚开跑到6月底。还没仔细看过这套机制的可以去研究一下,别稀里糊涂就转了。 @River4fun









