dan preiss
3.3K posts

dan preiss
@dan_preiss
stealth founder building in ai. partner at @ardent_vc.


We backed @soothlabs at seed. Here's why. The team. @subail founded and scaled Meta's Pittsburgh AI office and serves on CMU's Robotics Institute faculty. @rsalakhu Salakhutdinov is a @SCSatCMU professor, a pioneer in modern generative modeling, Apple's first director of AI research, and a disciple of Geoffrey Hinton. Chuck Hoover directed billion-dollar innovation programs at Meta. $50M round led by @felicis at a $335M valuation. Angel investment from @ylecun and @JeffDean. Andrew Bosworth is advising. What they're building: a continuously trained world model for long-horizon forecasting. It takes verifiable propositions (Will Brent crude exceed $90/bbl in March 2027? Will US CPI exceed 4% YoY in 2026?) and returns calibrated probabilities with a structured causal timeline of driving events. Institutions commit capital in the face of deep uncertainty every day, and the stakes keep rising while the tools haven't moved. Strategy still gets set with gut calls, internal models, and the occasional expert opinion. Specialist platforms exist in finance, insurance, and energy, but each operates within a single domain and is rarely measured against what actually happens. Foresight should be a system, not a skill. LLMs aren't the answer here. They're optimized to generate plausible text, not to produce probabilities graded against real events. Sooth is built on a different architecture designed for exactly that job, with a causal chain users can interrogate, revise, and stress-test as conditions change. Congrats to Yaser, Russ, Chuck, and the team.





$BIRD is selling its brand and footwear assets renaming itself NewBird AI and using a new $50M convertible facility to pivot into AI compute infrastructure by buying GPUs. Going from selling wool sneakers to chasing AI compute might be one of the wildest pivots this cycle.







DenchClaw has now made it to the Hacker News frontpage 🚀 Also, we just hit 500 stars on GitHub 🦞 news.ycombinator.com/item?id=473099…


Four types of people at every company now yes, people get 10x better when the go from bottom right to top right but also, people get 10x worse when they go from bottom left to top left









