Cournot Protocol

As AI systems move from prediction to decision-making, markets and contracts inherit a new risk: unverifiable judgment. Cournot Protocol is building Proof of Reasoning, a verifiable AI oracle for resolving unstructured real-world events. Read our thesis docs.cournot.ai

@markit_markets Congrats team @markit_markets! Hit us up if you guys need an AI-native Oracle that can provide verifications and accuracy to 99.8% for Sports category.

Introducing MarkIt. A sportsbook where the house isn't your opponent. It's you. Now available to non-US users.

@cz_binance @cz_binance Indeed they are two strong ones! Congrats once again @predictdotfun!

Congrats! Good to see two strong project combing forces.

Deterministic finality isn’t a “nice to have” for prediction markets. It’s the trust layer that allows scaling. If resolution isn’t reproducible and final, the outputs would be oracle risk premium, widen spreads, increase disputes, and erode liquidity.

Cournot is not just another AI-Native Oracle. It’s an AI-Native Oracle that provides verifiable and auditable resolutions. You may not understand yet, but you will soon.

For years, the main limiting factor across prediction markets has been framed as liquidity. In reality, it is resolution capacity: the ability to turn messy, disputed, multi-source reality into a determination that capital, contracts, and agents can safely rely on.

The adoption of prediction markets for 99% of daily reality will be driven by Resolution Certainty. Liquidity is simply the fuel that follows a trusted engine.

@seer_pm We believe our AI-native Oracle can help to provide verifiable resolutions for Seer. Looking forward to connect! docs.cournot.ai

News markets are just the first type getting adoption. Long term, prediction markets will be ubiquitous, AI using them to give recommendations, governance using them to determine which decisions lead to the best outcomes.

@frachtisvc @fireplacegg This is a good piece! Also it's the reason why Cournot is building AI-native oracle that with verifiable and auditable resolutions for Prediction Markets and beyond. We look forward to connect! docs.cournot.ai

Prediction markets are scaling fast but discovery, context and execution haven't kept up. Read our thesis about why we backed @fireplacegg.

@0xProbable And that's why a more deterministic resolution is needed more than ever. We are building an AI-native oracle with verifiable and auditable reasoning that helps to turn the uncertainty into opportunity. Let's talk! docs.cournot.ai

JUST IN: Global uncertainty hits an all-time record high.

@zacxbt @getdomeapi @ycombinator @Polymarket @frontrunvc @Rhythmic_io @Visa @colonythegame solid list! Do check us out as well! We are building AI-native Oracle that provides verifiable and auditable resolutions for prediction markets and beyond. docs.cournot.ai we can give you exclusive alpha access to our dashboard to see how we resolve markets.

7 new interesting crypto projects 1) @getdomeapi: unified api for prediction markets backed @ycombinator acquired by @polymarket 2) @frontrunvc: find narratives first 3) @rhythmic_io: earn, hold, spend backed @visa 4) @colonythegame: idle resource-trading strategy game on solana 5) @predofficial: sports prediction platform backed @cbventures 6) @paysponge: ez agent wallets backed @ycombinator 7) @vesting_tv: crypto alpha stream by brycent not financial advice

@cfargis Hey Chris, we believe it has been a great journey building the team in! We built an AI-native Oracle that provides verifiable and auditable resolutions. We'd love to have a chat with you to discuss how we can solve your market creation and resolution bottleneck!

If you want to break into prediction markets, I have the perfect role for you on our exchange operations team. You will sit at the center of everything we are doing in the category, focused on sports. My DMs are open for high-energy self-starters. tinyurl.com/44wc77u9

@j__fort Congrats to you and all of the team! We share the same vision to fix the broken market and we have built an AI-native Oracle to provide verifiable and auditable resolutions for any kinds of markets, sports included at sub-second speed. let's talk! docs.cournot.ai

@predofficial Congrats! We are building AI-native Oracle to help you provide verifiable and auditable resolutions. Let's collaborate! docs.cournot.ai

The Myrnohrad capture market on @Polymarket illustrates a recurring blind spot in prediction markets. Even with a clearly named source and geographic coordinates, resolution hinges on how meaning is interpreted. See how Cournot use PoR to resolve this: @CournotProtocol/when-structured-markets-arent-deterministic-resolving-the-myrnohrad-capture-market-f4234bf1d31c" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@CournotProtoc…

In Prediction Market, capital does not hesitate because demand is absent, it hesitates because resolution risk is too high. To move from the “Headline Economy” to the “Reality Economy,” we must solve the Resolution Gap.

Despite growing adoption, prediction market liquidity remains concentrated in a narrow set of headline events. The real economic upside lies in the long tail of reality: localized outcomes, operational milestones, and regional risks that existing systems still cannot resolve.

Cournot Protocol approaches unstructured events as an AI-Native Reasoning Oracle, with goals not merely to output a verdict, but to make the interpretation verifiable and auditable end-to-end. Take this event by @Polymarket, as a case study. @CournotProtocol/polymarket-case-study-resolving-the-u-s-government-shutdown-market-with-cournot-protocol-d4220cab0150" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@CournotProtoc…

Who we have in the research (with no specific order): @Polymarket @Kalshi @MyriadMarkets @meleemarkets @trylimitless @TheHedgehog_io @Overtime_io @BuzzingApp @opinionlabsxyz @noise_xyz @ManifoldMarkets @0xProbable @xodotmarket @SX_Network @seer_pm

Our researchers have created this landscape to categorize the Prediction Markets based on the market structures: Simple and Complex, along with the Human Attention (dependency): High and Low. Discussions are encouraged! @CournotProtocol/the-prediction-market-resolution-landscape-c75b2ea6939a" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@CournotProtoc…

@hosseeb @hosseeb With the same belief we rolled out an AI-native Reasoning Oracle, providing a verifiable and auditable resolutions for through our Proof of Reasoning. We’d love to talk and to show how we can solve resolution bottleneck in Prediction Markets. docs.cournot.ai

We just closed Dragonfly Fund IV at $650M. It's a big milestone, and yet, it’s a weird time to celebrate. Spirits are low, fear is extreme, and the gloom of a bear market has set in. But here's the thing: we raised almost every single Dragonfly fund into bear markets. Fund I we raised through the 2018 ICO winter, when almost nobody believed in this space anymore. Fund III we raised right before Luna collapsed. Those were brutal times to deploy capital. But they turned out to be our best vintages. Last week I caught a lot of heat for arguing that non-financial crypto has failed. I meant that. But the flip side of that argument is: financial crypto is exploding. Stablecoins are eating the world. DeFi has grown so big it's rivaling CeFi. Financial institutions around the world are racing to build out their crypto strategies. And prediction markets are becoming the most trusted source of truth on the internet. Fund IV is our biggest bet yet that the crypto revolution is still early in its exponential. If you look at our recent bets—Polymarket, Ethena, Rain, Mesh—the growth speaks for itself. Agentic payments, on-chain privacy, the tokenization of everything—crypto's surface area is about to explode, and we want to be backing the founders at the center of it. We've always believed that the most important work gets done when the noise dies down. We believe moment is now. In fact, we’re putting money on it. If you're building what comes next, @ us.