4drant

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4drant

4drant

@4drant

Tech Investor. everyone and everything here is a joke!

Mars เข้าร่วม Aralık 2019
1.5K กำลังติดตาม2K ผู้ติดตาม
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
The implications of KV cache offloading (NAND) and engram memory leading to a bull case on $PSTG (tail latency!). I cannot put it more succintly Thats right, Macron, packets need to be predictable, for sure!
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
@ParadisLabs You shouldn’t - look at failure rate - illiquidity
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Paradis Labs
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs·
Also - should I even do this LOL? Shiny new toy syndrome? Need the next few days to really dwell on things properly. Anyone with any advice, DMs open.
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Paradis Labs
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs·
Guys, I've decided to sell 75%-100% of two of my high-growth holdings: > To get in on the latest funding round for an AI startup in London (AI financial advice) > I'd be on the cap table alongside some pretty famous tech investors. Names you'll all know 90% sure which positions I'll sell, but interested to see what people think. Poll in comments/quote tweet: > $IQE / $SIVE / $SOI / $AAOI (And yes, I know I'd be missing out on multi-year gains with these stocks lol) However, I personally see massive ROI in scaling an AI business alongside famous tech investors Probably bigger ROI when factoring in potential deal flow coming my way in the future? > Poll set for 7 days out, but will need to make my final decision before the weekend (And no, I won't be sharing any bear cases for the stocks I sell - I'm bullish on all four names mentioned)
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Scott Jones
Scott Jones@RyeNotBerben·
Anyone else noticed chat got deep research has become completely unusable? Can take 20 min or more for an answer i get on gemeni in 3 min - i’ve kept my $200/mth sub turned on bc i want to see if that changes on the update that never seems to come. Feel like @sama milking me.
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
If my Hermes agent is outperforming Claude code, I can’t think agents have a moat. It won’t be just those two. Many more. $Msft is their typical cautious fashion is slow. But offering all sorts of agents (after fixing security) commoditised the complement.
Evergreen Capital@evergreencap3

$MSFT faces a mounting strategic dilemma: They have no choice but to allow @AnthropicAI and @OpenAI to continue shipping agents inside Microsoft products, because 1) it allows users to derive more value from M365, likely boosting retention, and 2) blocking those companies from M365 would further incentivize them to launch their own full productivity suites (which may happen eventually anyway), creating risk of a major churn event (i.e., the worst-case scenario). But at the same time, the agents from those companies are so far superior to Microsoft’s @Copilot that more of the incremental AI revenue and value is being captured outside the M365 ecosystem. Moreover, users are increasingly using Claude/ChatGPT as the direct interface through which they accomplish AI work, building deeper relationships and stickiness with those tools, and less with M365. Something has to give. The longer this goes on, the weaker Microsoft's position gets. Microsoft must self-disrupt and completely reinvest itself for the new era. Otherwise, its dominance may slowly slip away.

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4drant
4drant@4drant·
@bstaples Bill, why is it that you can do code review for 0.15 and it costs $15 for the LLM company? Is it Same code review? Cheaper model? How come? It would be great for everyone to understand why that is.
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Bill Staples
Bill Staples@bstaples·
5/ GitLab's approach is fundamentally different: $24 of included credits per Ultimate license, no platform access fee, consumption that scales with actual value delivered. Code review at $0.25 vs $15+. Agents that run repo-side with full SDLC context so you use fewer tokens per operation. Governance, cost control, and context efficiency aren't features. They're the *whole point*.
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Bill Staples
Bill Staples@bstaples·
1/ Spent the evening reading @GergelyOrosz's AI tooling survey (900+ engineers) released today, which confirms what we've been seeing: ~15% flag AI cost concerns ~30% are hitting usage limits Companies burning $100-200/mo per engineer on max plans, and it's going up with API pricing...
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
@IndraStocks I can put it on got 5.4 deep think Still not great
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Indra
Indra@IndraStocks·
@4drant Limited by tools and skills definitions. I'd imagine they're on a cheaper model as the engine
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Ryan @ RepVue
Ryan @ RepVue@ryan_c_walsh·
Seller AI confidence scores (are sellers bullish/bearish on AI's impact on the company, 1-5 scale): CRM: 3.9 Gartner: 1.9 ZoomInfo: 3.5 Docusign: 3.5 MongoDB: 4.2 Okta: 4.1 ServiceNow: 3.8 Workday: 3.5 Atlassian: 2.8 Name a well known sales org and I'll share their score... Also: "Unlocking RepVue Alt Data Signals via Claude" - if you're a professional investor and want to understand how to extract alpha with alt data, register here: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
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Hammerhead Research
Hammerhead Research@hammerhead_res·
@4drant @WaterworldCapi1 Seems like the current guide is a bit sandbagged, and the stock might pop on the dividend instatement (for some reason, European investors seem to care about stuff like that). If it hits >8x P/E, it's a short IMO. I think bed bank take rates will normalize at <5% long term
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Hammerhead Research
Hammerhead Research@hammerhead_res·
@WaterworldCapi1 Yes. Supplying wholesale hotel inventory to partners like corporate travel agencies, boutiques, etc. They are trying to win big airline deals too I think they're using Agoda's tech stack as the basis for B2B platform consolidation
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
@Teknium Assume it happens really fast, all those hit the cache? So at 90% discount hopefully ?
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Teknium (e/λ)
Teknium (e/λ)@Teknium·
@4drant Because agents send every single tool call requires the entire context sent back
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
Built a skinny version of this for me at platform.equilyse.com Try it
Brett Caughran@FundamentEdge

This is exactly what needs to be built for Investing AI. A fully pre-configured AI workspace with integrations, skills, persistent memory, and scheduled automations built in (i.e. all you have to do is upload your tickers and you have a scheduled earnings preview automation done with an institutional-grade workflow). This felt very sci-fi until about six weeks ago. But I feel like the pieces are there today to build this (no one has yet pulled them all together). And it doesn't feel like LLM intelligence is the gating factor anymore (particularly if you believe the hype about Mythos and believe Chat GPT 6 will mark a similar leap....Polymarket prices 84% that GPT 6 happens in '26). What pieces do you need to build this? 1) The right platform (imo, a multi-model agentic workspace with integrations) 2) The right research context (filings, news transcripts, sell-side research, open & alt data, and RMS integration) 3) The right workflow orchestration (unlike the rich training corpus in coding and legal, the training corpus in investment process is laughably bad, and today I might argue this is the most important point of leverage between good outputs and bad outputs) This should be The New Investor's Dashboard, that could be configured and customized for the front office professional in less than 60 minutes. In the same way that a Bloomberg rep will help you set up your Bloomberg launch pad today. The idea of giving every investor an IDE like VS Code to build their own custom dashboards is dying a quick death, in my opinion (and was never a good idea). It's part of the reason why I paused Enterprise AI trainings. I've done plenty of six-hour, on-site "AI Basics for the Investment Process". The more I see how fast things are moving, the more I see how obsolete much of it will become. My belief is that so much of the technicals will be abstracted into something incredibly useful and incredibly user-friendly, that isn't that hard to learn. The same way that I don't need to know the engineering behind how Bloomberg serves me a piece of data, I won't need to complete a Claude Code course to use the New Investor's Dashboard (and it is "so Innovator's Dilemma" that right when grounded chat-bots are being decommissioned...Bloomberg finally rolls out their grounded chat-bot). My hypothesis is that the core motion in adoption and enablement of AI for investors will be cultural more than technical. How to we rework & rewire the investment process now that process triage is a thing of the past and opportunity will come from finding signal from AI-outputs, building workflows to enhance comprehension, and building dashboards to facilitate judgment. And as someone who has randomly dedicated my life to documenting and teaching investment process, bucket 3, the workflow orchestration layer, is obviously where I believe I can add the most value to this dashboard. I've been quietly building that engine I am calling "Fundamental Edge Atlas", which is an institutional-grade workflow orchestration engine that I think we be an important piece in making investing agents come to life, and exploring some exciting distribution partnerships to do that.

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4drant
4drant@4drant·
Weighing in on the “state” of things
4drant tweet media
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
@Teknium It’s the Xiaomi mimo v2 pro Ok, just wanted to check nothing in the harness
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Teknium (e/λ)
Teknium (e/λ)@Teknium·
@4drant I mean it depends on the model - Opus does it all imo
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Teknium (e/λ)
Teknium (e/λ)@Teknium·
Little quality of life update: Skills should be called more proactively now! ~20% more likely to load the right skill for the job! And, of course, in Hermes Agent fashion - it did the prompt improvement and benchmarking itself! Get more out of the self improvement loop when Hermes Agent more reliably loads and uses the skills it makes :) github.com/NousResearch/h…
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Jerry Capital
Jerry Capital@JerryCap·
Satyas legacy below the 200 day $MSFT
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