AngryBuhda

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AngryBuhda

AngryBuhda

@AngryBuhda

Trading and Macro Economics Options (Put-selling, Call hedging) Find edge in $BTC treasuries NY | Long Live Bitcoin.

New Jersey, USA เข้าร่วม Haziran 2016
366 กำลังติดตาม2K ผู้ติดตาม
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
I'm building a Monster Flywheel - With ASST over the next year. I got bored of all the back and forth on X. I want to talk about execution. So I figure I'd share exactly what I'm seeing and doing without the usual spreadsheets. Hope ya'll enjoy me having a bit of fun. I'll post a technical write up if there is interest. cc. @WOLF_Bitcoin_ @BitPaine @AdamBLiv @TimKotzman @Strive #Bitcoin $MSTR $ASST $STRC $SATA EP1 – ASST Discount Terminal: I’m buying amplified Bitcoin at a built‑in discount through ASST instead of chasing spot.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@traderprad Don't tempt me with a good time and a waste of credits.
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TraderPrad
TraderPrad@traderprad·
Everyone's crying about edge leak... Here is an edge leak for you. This trader made an average human's monthly salary in one day. Good luck trying to decipher this.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
ASST (Strive) - CSP + Leap Daily Dashboard This is a daily snapshot of GEX and Options data run through my assessment dashboard. (See pinned post for strategy explanation) ----------------------------------------- Not Financial Advice. ----------------------------------------- (This is for my personal use that I am sharing) #Bitcoin $MSTR $ASST $STRC $SATA
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
ASST ( Strive ) CSP - LEAP Strategy Update. I'm Pulling GEX and Options chain data each day to understand where dealer Gamma Exposure sits. This allows me to position my Cash Secured Put cost basis in a negative gamma range where dealer buying is likely to support price. Buying Leaps when price is in this range also experience the benefit of the most gamma. Now here's the Alpha and why I'm focused on this. The ASST options market is massive compared to the spot market cap. That means when dealers move to balance their positions their buys and sells have a greater effect on price. This + the ASST Structural Flywheel with Bitcoin as the backing asset will add a similar step up function over the long term to the underlying. I built this for myself and is not direct financial advice, But I think it's important to share how we are choosing to execute at this time and I will be using this exact data to make accumulation decisions. Any Questions? #Bitcoin $MSTR $ASST $STRC $SATA #optionselling @AdamBLiv @WOLF_Bitcoin_ @Z06Z07
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Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor@saylor·
“11% is a big number.” “Am I offending you if I call it a money market fund?” - @SullyCNBC Digital Credit is redefining yield. Today we discussed Stretch $STRC on @PowerLunch.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@CrisReed This is my criteria for friends. Bitcoin and Kettlebells.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@hillery_dan I think it makes sense. Arb near par. Arb the SATA div. rotate after. I think this will compress as more long term capital starts sitting in both vehicles.
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Dan Hillery
Dan Hillery@hillery_dan·
Weird STRC price action.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
It's weird having the scarcity/debasement/purchasing power talk from a gold bug while being invested in Bitcoin for years. The mechanics don't change because a trend correlation with gold broke. You missed the point of the chart and got distracted by fiat. You want to use a trend line while I'm using a year of RSI and 4 years of 2 standard deviations of regression. That's why even on a BTC/GLD chart it still shows there isn't much room for this to trend lower. We are also receiving support from high vol levels. You have a presupposition that gold doesn't lose against debasement which is incorrect (it loses less against debasement). It was a tool that was used as such, but a better tool has come along.
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Alex Slezak
Alex Slezak@AlexSlezak·
Everything goes up and to the right in terms of fiat. Fiat destruction. Measure your purchasing power in something that doesn’t lose like gold. What matters is are you gaining, maintaining or losing purchasing power in whatever you are investing in. Fiat price doesn’t matter. Purchasing power matters. Bitcoin was the best asset until this cycle. You can prove this by measuring it in terms of gold. But this cycle is different because for the first time ever we broke the trend priced in gold. Imagine Bitcoin priced in gold if gold is 16-20k an ounce and bitcoin goes relatively nowhere for a decade. The ratio goes back to bitcoins beginnings and loss of purchasing power. In that world of gold being 16-20k fiat destruction has led to $300 oil, $45 sugar, the inflation is large.
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Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
GOLD GOES TO ZERO AGAINST BITCOIN.
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Grain of Salt
Grain of Salt@Z06Z07·
STRC is currently at $99.94 VWAP for the MONTH. Based on the slide, it would NOT necessitate a rate increase because its >$99. IMHO a raise to 11.75% However, fine print: "Note: All recommended dividend rate changes under this framework are subject to approval by the Company’s Board of Directors, and dividends will only be declared and paid when, as, and if the Board determines such changes are in the best interest of the Company and its stockholders. Recommendations may be adjusted to reflect prevailing market conditions at the time of recommendation. This structured approach is intended to maintain the trading price of STRC Stock near its $100 per share stated amount. There can be no assurance that the recommended dividend adjustments will achieve such intention. Strategy may change or suspend this framework at any time in its sole discretion, consistent with the terms of the STRC Stock."
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
Doesn't really mean anything, Bitcoin mechanics haven't changed even if you don't believe they are functioning. If we look at W RSI(50) + 200 period lin reg (2 std dev). This is nearly a year of rsi and 4 years of lin reg. You can see we don't stay in this environment for long throughout the entire history of the asset. Also Bitcoin has also shown a consistent step up function in its realized market cap. This means that over time low RSI will be at higher prices.
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Alex Slezak
Alex Slezak@AlexSlezak·
@AdamBLiv It didn’t break the trend a long term one from 2013. It broke the bottom support. This is Bitcoin priced in gold chart always higher lows until now. I am concerned. It’s a long term trend. This stuff doesn’t break easy on technical analysis.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@AdamBLiv But someone said Bitcoin is going to zero..
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Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
The mean/median 6 month, 1 year, and 2 year returns of Bitcoin after 30% drawdowns are incredible. If the median 2 year return plays out, we'll see $290,000 Bitcoin by February 2028. Seems like a GREAT time to buy Bitcoin:
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@BitcoinRachy @River Me too 👍. It's just solid. the supercharge buy is great. Also people really just need to start holding some bitcoin. Once they have it they will watch it and learn about it when price gets interesting for them.
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@bleighky @Strategy Think of the freedom MSTR has while moving through this list. How hard are those other companies working to even move 1 spot.
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BLAKE⚡️ROGUE MONEY USER
This has always been one of my favorite @Strategy stats. 225th largest U.S. company by market cap, but trading like it’s the 23rd by volume. Strategy is more interesting than the 202 companies ahead in size. Pure signal.
Jeff Walton@PunterJeff

Strategy tracking day 510 $MSTR now ranked 225th largest US company by market cap. Fell 4 companies in the last 3 days. The boring zone. Edged out public storage by $60 million…. 23rd largest publicly traded equity by volume, on a low volume day. $2.59 Billion traded.

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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
@FinFreedom414 Now I'm just feeding it the API data. Perplexity builds the image. Buildings something bigger with Perplexity computer. Hard choice between Bitcoin and credits 🤣...
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FinancialFreedom
FinancialFreedom@FinFreedom414·
Implied volatility represents the market’s forecast of future price swings, but it often overestimates the actual move. When you sell premium when "fear" is high or when sentiment is extremely bullish, you can profit from the eventual crush in option prices as uncertainty fades. It isn't about picking a direction, it’s all about trading the gap between expectation and reality.
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Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
Bitcoin volatility is dying. I ran 3,737 days of data through a statistical gauntlet and the results are staggering. A 2022-style crash, based on volatility alone, is about 94% less likely than under the average 2022 volatility regime Here's the full breakdown 🧵👇
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AngryBuhda
AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda·
ASST just ripped +8.76% today. Most people only watch the price. I watching what most traders never look at: Gamma Exposure When ASST is below the gamma flip point (currently ~9.47), dealers are short gamma. Any upside move forces them to buy stock to stay neutral — creating a built-in acceleration. That’s why I deliberately position both my cash-secured puts and my long-dated LEAPs inside/near that negative-gamma zone. For CSPs: I choose strikes so my effective cost basis lands in the accelerating zone. For LEAPs: I target strikes in the same zone so my long-gamma position rides the dealer buying tailwind. This is how we let the market’s own mechanics work for us. $MSTR $ASST $STRC $SATA #Bitcoin #Options
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AngryBuhda@AngryBuhda

EP5 – Dealer Protocols: ASST’s outsized options volume means dealer hedging flows can move the stock harder than its market cap suggests.

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