FallacyFlagHQ

Let’s talk about DoorDash Grandma 🧵 : what does it say about a society whose feel-good story is a 78 year old woman who has to work as a DoorDash driver to pay for her husband’s cancer treatment? This is the use case the White House is highlighting as a *positive* story. How and why is this something to celebrate?

@atrupar Right now, everyone’s losing.

"When you lose a war, things get worse, and voters blame the president when things get worse. At some point, though, the US will need to reckon with this loss as a loss if it wants to prevent such debacles in the future." publicnotice.co/p/trump-loses-…

@ImBreckWorsham It bears repeating: one indication of possibly being in a cult is defending the cult leader on grounds the cult leader doesn't even defend themselves on.

Trump defender on Trump posting pic of himself as Jesus: "I don't think President Trump posted that. I think somebody else posted that. It's whatever the media wants you to believe is what gets posted most of the time. Somebody else posted that. AI or somebody. President Trump didn't post that." Trump goes on air and LITERALLY admits it. MAGA defends it as "art." The cope is strong.

@atrupar The one that wasn't closed before he started a war based on a 'gut feeling' assessment of the intelligence that was different than the assessment of the DNI?

Q: Trump has repeatedly threatened civilian infrastructure. Last week he said that if his demands weren't met, an entire civilization would die. Are you comfortable with that? THUNE: I think you gotta look at what the president is doing. He's trying to open up the strait, which we're all supportive of

@FoxNews That appears to be an honest answer from Gallego.

NEW: Democratic Senator Ruben Gallego admits he "heard rumors" of Eric Swalwell’s “flirty” behavior for years but didn’t believe they were true: GALLEGO: I heard rumors of him being flirty. REPORTER: And that wasn't an issue enough for you to not trust him to watch your kids or be close with him? GALLEGO: You hear this, and then when you're close to somebody and you- you know, you know his wife, you see this, you see that relationship, you know that, like, it maybe just isn't true.

@Deejitv @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate I think you may be experiencing a medical emergency because the goalposts are still in exactly the same place

@FallacyFlagHQ @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate Whoa, where’d that goalpost go? It was here just a moment ago.

45K likes because people don't understand the blockade is of Iranian ports, not the Gulf states.

@Player0129876 @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate It's quite alright if you believe that. The POTUS aligning with CENTCOM *before* making an announcement so that both the POTUS and CENTCOM's statements cohered to each other would have been an example of coherent, 'jointed' communication. What did happen though was disjointed.

@FallacyFlagHQ @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate Yeah, official CENTCOM statements proceed random tweets and statements, sorry its just silly to say otherwise

@HQNewsNow Uh, does the Fallacy Flag Analyzer even need to do this? This one is pretty obvious. Good lord.

Top Trump Cabinet member: Just because it looks like we're going in the wrong direction doesn't mean that's the direction we are going

@JohnMalverne @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate Well John, you see, that doesn't matter. I've been informed that anyone who isn't a 'retard' knew what Trump *meant*, even though he said the opposite.

@Fullmetal150 @FallacyFlagHQ @bonchieredstate Trump's announcement: “Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz,” Any and all. The WH needs better communications.

Cool. And my original comment was that the Administration's messaging was disjointed. So saying CENTCOM has contradicted itself is irrelevant. On the second question: "Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz" x.com/TrumpTruthOnX/… He posted that Sunday morning. After the CENTCOM release Sunday night, Trump posted again saying something that was more in line with CENTCOM's version. Then various admin people, including Trump, spent all day yesterday talking about the blockade in various ways, some of which aligned and some of which didn't. So, like I said, disjointed. And, it doesn't look like the CENTCOM version of the blockade is actually what's happening either given some of yesterday's activity in the strait. Thanks for playing along.

@FallacyFlagHQ @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate They report to the DOW, they're the organization that is actually responsible for carrying out operations in the middle east, they have never contradicted themselves Also, when has trump said this blockade would be a total blockade of the strait?

@fearsema @bonchieredstate

@FallacyFlagHQ @bonchieredstate Bro just arguing for the love of the game at this point

@Player0129876 @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate Is CENTCOM independent, or does it report to someone?

@FallacyFlagHQ @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate I don't think you understand moron

@avidseries Yeah, they are two very different people, and their decline shows up in very different ways. This line - "This makes him a less pathetic figure than Biden, but arguably a more dangerous one." Yeah, that seems fair.

Biden was clearly suffering from greater cognitive decline than Trump currently is. Trump's decline has more to do with deterioration in impulse control (which was never a strong suit of his to begin with) than in intellectual ability (also never a particularly strong suit of his). This makes him a less pathetic figure than Biden, but arguably a more dangerous one. Bottom line: People this old have no business being president of the world's most powerful country.

@DeepNotShallow A lifetime of entitlement and no accountability is a helluva drug.

It's next level insane that someone like Eric Swalwell knew about all the skeletons in his own closet and still decided to run for Governor? How delusional are these people that they don't think this shit will come up?

@Player0129876 @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate Yes, that's Centcom - congrats for keeping up friend.

@FallacyFlagHQ @Fullmetal150 @bonchieredstate Thats CENTCOM retard, the people that is actually doing the thing

@fearsema @bonchieredstate Just hilarious that you keep posting stuff that's different than what he said a few hours before that. Then JD Vance suggested the approach was 'economic terrorism' yesterday. And Trump has intermittently floated the 'joint venture' structure as well. Crystal clear! lol

@FallacyFlagHQ @bonchieredstate Sure bro just continue to believe whatever you believe, once a retard always a retard I guess.

@barnacles71 @Rocketeer71 @NationalistStan @bonchieredstate Did everyone else from the admin stop talking about it after that and/or if they did talk about it, did they say the same thing?

@FallacyFlagHQ @Rocketeer71 @NationalistStan @bonchieredstate CENTCOM released the details by mid day when the original announcement was made. Please, shut up.

⚽ FAIR PLAY awarded! This argument contains no logical fallacies. Rather, it presents a well-structured analysis with specific data points, acknowledges losses despite the main claim, and provides quantified evidence for its conclusion about China's resilience. The argument provides specific percentages for oil imports from different regions, acknowledges significant losses (20% of total imports), quantifies strategic reserves with concrete numbers (1 billion barrels, 10% depletion), and uses this data to support a measured conclusion. While the premise assumes a US blockade scenario, the logical structure connecting evidence to conclusion is sound. #FallacyFlag #FairPlay #CriticalThinking fallacyflag.com

China is well positioned to withstand the impact of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz: Before the war, China purchased ~14% of its oil from Saudi Arabia, 11% from Iran, and 29% from the rest of the Middle East. Russia supplied another 20%, with the remaining 26% coming from the rest of the world. Despite the war, Iranian oil has continued flowing to China, making the country the least affected Asian nation. However, China has still lost at least 20% of its total oil imports despite Saudi Arabia and the UAE rerouting crude through alternative export channels. China has also built the world's largest strategic petroleum reserve over the last decade, with more than 1 billion barrels of crude stockpiled. As a result, even a 2-month loss of Iranian supply would only deplete China's emergency reserves by ~10%. China has been preparing for this situation for years.

@fearsema @bonchieredstate So your response to the comment that the Administration's communication has been disjointed is to say 'I don't care that the President said something different, because here's what Centcom said'. Right on brother 👍

@FallacyFlagHQ @bonchieredstate Read this for me , idgaf what trump said before the actual process began with centcom, trump gave the orders and centcom planned a mission around it “let’s ignore proper details to make a point” lol you have no point

@HormuzLetter Is this round 6 of what 'could be happening'?

BREAKING: Trump tells NY Post that US-Iran talks "could be happening over the next two days" in Pakistan, adding the US is "more inclined" to hold them there because "the field marshal is doing a great job," referring to Pakistan Army Chief Asim Munir. Iran has not publicly confirmed the timeframe, with IRNA reporting earlier today that no new round of talks has been scheduled.

@RichardHanania @Grok is the NYT reporting correct regarding several ships that passed through the waterway, including some that had departed from Iran?

NYT: Tuesday, the day after Trump’s blockade began, “tracking data showed that several ships had passed through the waterway, including some that had departed from Iran.” As I predicted, it’s looking more likely that Trump will say he won by just lying about what’s happening.