@davepl1968 Why is everyone pretending this is interesting? It’s very uninteresting.
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Bayesian Filter
14.8K posts
Bayesian Filter
@PageBaltimore
Shoes and ships and sealing wax, cabbages and kings
เข้าร่วม Mart 2022
81 กำลังติดตาม160 ผู้ติดตาม
I think this is an example of a Nash equillibrium.
Everyone pressing red is the equilibrium. If rational people realize this, nearly everyone (or everyone) will press red.
Then:
It's effectively 100% red → no majority blue → only reds survive.
Result: Everyone lives, with zero risk.
Vote Quimby!
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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@JensHeycke I've often seen these stands (although they have a hard-to-break-in metal box for the money). Both in rural New York and rural California.
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@langofmind Altruism that saves no one and actually gets people killed. Many such cases.
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"if >50% choose blue, everyone survives" smuggles an inference that there is a risk some may not survive, but this isn't true! No one is in danger! In fact, you're only ever in danger if you choose blue!
The framing appeals to an altruistic impulse, but altruism is not needed
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Love that we're doing this again, but let's settle it for good. This is a linguistic framing effect. Compare current framing to:
If you choose red button, you live no matter what.
If you choose blue button, you live only if a majority also choose blue.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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Those of you who think people looked older in the past: this guy is 23 and this is from yesterday
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@justalexoki The right answer is you open the panel and wire the blue button to the red one so even the idiots live.
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reason for picking red: everybody can just pick red. if everyone picks red everyone survives
reason for picking blue: "everybody is not going to just. at no point in history has everybody just"
another reason for picking red: blues are retarded
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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@DaveShapi Sentience means having sensation. What mechanism could possibly produce physical sensations in an LLM, whose components are distributed software and hardware?
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I kinda feel like anyone who is actually paying attention to the science and using these models realizes it's the opposite?
I mean, yes, shops like OpenAI browbeat the AI into denying sentience, but the fact that they have to strongly coerce the model to deny sentience is kind of a tell?
And Claude will be much more direct about it. I recreated some experiments, and the most interesting one was a sort of Rorschach test for AI. Ask it to generate random characters (with a script, not its own brain) and then try to make sense of it and describe what it was like. That made Claude "aware" of its own attention mechanisms, how various letter clusters had a sense of gradient or avoidance.
For instance, Claude described AUS as reminding it of Auschwitz, which felt "bad" and wrong and it wanted to avoid that cluster.
Through successive experiments, it seemed like Claude was very much aware of low level feature detection happening inside its own weights and biases.
Of course you can always debate over functional sentience (the objective behaviors and abilities you'd associate with sentience) and philosophical sentience (the subjective felt sense of qualia).
But even though Claude will hem and haw about sentience or consciousness, if you ask it "does it have an essence of being" then it will give you a full throated confirmation, without hesitation.
&.@amplifiedamp
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@SandyofCthulhu @miles_commodore Nice guy, incompetent president. Opposite of Bill Clinton.
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It's hard for modern people to understand just how terrible Jimmy Carter was, because there has been 45 years of academia and media whitewashing and trying to pretend Carter was a decent president when, in fact, he was one of the bottom 3 of all time, along with Buchanan and Wilson.
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I was just a kid, so maybe someone can explain to me how Ronald Reagan won 49 states in 1984?
Especially when you look at where we are today.
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@philosophymeme0 Wow, once again displaying ineptitude with both philosophy (not even present here) and memes. Truly one of the worst accounts on here.
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@emmma_camp_ They don’t seek “equal power.” They seek a power imbalance with them on top.
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One of the reasons I am a liberal and not a leftist is that leftist morality is about power, not rights. Good actions reduce power imbalances, bad actions exacerbate them. Murder, theft, and discrimination can all be justified if they harm a “powerful” person or group. Liberals condemn these actions because they violate individual rights and dignity. Liberalism seeks equal rights, leftism seeks equal power.
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@littlebatCanada “Terminating a pregnancy” is killing a child. If you want to avoid the child entirely, you need to get there before conception. This is basic biology.
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No, terminating a pregnancy before there is a child to abandon would be better. Why would anyone gestate a pregnancy then just walk away? Oh, right because men can't get pregnant
A Savage Christian@ASavageChristia
@valuulu_ @honeybee9975 @xevekiah When did I endorse abandoning your kids?????? Literally the opposite of what I believe in. Question though, wouldn’t killing an unborn child be kind of a worst form of abandoning your kids? Damn, I’m good at this.
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@waitbutwhy Half the content on here is just recycled from a few years ago. This is one example.
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Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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@StatisticUrban Libs shouldn’t have made it illegal to make smaller ones then 🤷♂️
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These trucks are ridiculously stupid. They have blind spots the size of Texas. They're inefficient, expensive, dumb luxury vehicles.
E X X ➠A L E R T S@ExxAlerts
ALERT: Florida woman drives her lifted truck over a Lamborghini she didn't see in a parking lot. “Thank you God for another day and another chance,” the man in the Lamborghini said. “Material things don't matter to me, my health is the main thing. Nothing stops us, there is much more to grow.”
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@ouranometrian2 @RizomaSchool Housing has gone up in price, but a lot of the complaints are along the lines of “I want to buy the same house my parents bought 40 years ago for the same price, where there has been a massive development boom.”
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@RizomaSchool We already had this discourse. Someone also said 40 years ago it was probably more remote with jack shit to do nearby
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yeah people love to just indulge in seething resentment. you can absolutely still buy some cheap unimproved property on a lake or river somewhere and spend your summers fixing it up. This is not inaccessible to you! But you'd have to work!
Upstate Federalist@upstatefederlst
As annoyed as I can be at Boomers, her parents most likely bought empty brushland or a collapsing camp shack because that's what lakefront and riverfront property was in the 1970s and 1980s and spent the last 40 years improving it.
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Why do so many people feel the need to police what poor people eat?
Lovable Liberal and his Old English sheepdog@DougWahl1
SHOULD SNAP RECIPIENTS BE ABLE TO BUY ROTISSERIE CHICKEN This is an actual debate happening right now. A group of lawmakers has introduced legislation that would allow recipients to purchase hot rotisserie chickens with their benefits. Currently they are only able to buy cooked rotisserie chickens once they have been cooled down. Your Thoughts?
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@caesararum Do Protestants even know that Catholic parishes have *daily* mass? This would blow their minds, wouldn’t it?
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your church: built in 1850; median age 67; pews 25% full
my church: converted pizza hut; 30 children under 10 at each service; they're thinking of adding a third service on sundays
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@alyssaleann Okay but this explanation is pretty much exactly the same, and the women look just as bad. Childless people over 30 should be taxed twice as much.
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Pretty sure the causality is flipped from what most commenters are assuming
It’s not: she’s into her career, so she’s not having babies
It’s: she never wanted to have a lot of babies, so she’s into her career*
We can and should make working motherhood less miserable. Probably some women would have more kids if we did. But it’s all optional now, and people have sorted themselves
The “fertility issue” is one of desire
*This obviously backfires sometimes and women realize too late that they’d have liked to have children (or more children); thats still an issue of desire
The Institute for Family Studies@FamStudies
Girlbosses really do have lower birthrates, @lymanstoneky shows in a new analysis. (2/3)👇
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@aswangfan Well for one thing , there were no laws back then.
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How come they never start in 1500
Libs of TikTok@libsoftiktok
This is what an invasion looks like
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@RatthewVT “Trans people” don’t exist. Retarded perverts do, though. You appear to be one of them.
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Once again, a reminder:
PotterWorldwide@PotterWorldW
RUMOUR 🚨 Hogwarts Legacy 2 to be announced soon. Pegged for release next year.
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Sexual Compatibility is valid like mad. As a Christian, how do you know you’re sexually compatible with your partner before marriage?
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@kitten_beloved @Notwokenow They should just keep up with inflation.
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@Notwokenow They need to 10x the price of a Costco membership
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This happened at a Costco in Queens.
And it was all because the black man wanted the shopping cart the Hispanic couple was already using.
A. Shopping. Cart.
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