dedsec (prediction arc) รีทวีตแล้ว
dedsec (prediction arc)
3.2K posts
@DidiTrading vini missed like 10 chances and they still end up winning
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@HiveLiveHQ Did you use @bubblemaps to track wallet interactions?
Or what software did you use?
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No one cares about ballet and opera.
Everyone has a take on something.
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🚨JUST IN: Only 8 teams remain in the race for the FA Cup.
Arsenal is the heavy favorite at 35% chance to win.
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@one8tyfive @AlterEgo_eth and he also doesn’t realize that anthropic has two models, just because anthropic wins with the first one doesn’t mean it can’t resolve for the second
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@AlterEgo_eth But if Google becomes the third best model (i.e. openAI outperforms it) you lose BOTH yes bets and fix a huge loss.
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74% ROI on a tech market arbitrage on Polymarket
Two markets on Polymarket are contradicting each other right now
This creates a risk-free arbitrage opportunity
Market 1: Which company has the best AI model end of March?
- Anthropic — 75¢ (yes)
- Google — 16¢ (yes)
Market 2: Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
- Anthropic — 44¢ (yes)
- Google — 49¢ (yes)
Option 1: buy Google YES on both markets
- Total 65¢ < $1
- ROI +54%
Option 2: buy Anthropic NO on both markets
- Total 83¢ < $1
- ROI +20%
Both markets are pricing the same situation but contradicting each other in probabilities
Just open 2 positions that cover each other regardless of the outcome
Alter Ego@AlterEgo_eth
+$50 from two bets on Polymarket Earlier I analyzed 2 markets in the tech sector Both recently closed in my favor 1. Which company has the best AI model end of February? Bet: Anthropic [YES at 76¢] Result: Win Profit: +31% 2. Largest Company end of February? Bet: NVIDIA [YES at 84¢] Result: Win Profit: +19% Total: +$50 clean (two $100 positions) I also made a call on NVIDIA for March Market hasn't resolved yet, but currently sitting at +23% Still think the tech sector is one of the most predictable on Polymarket - the edge is right on the surface
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i’ve watched your videos, and you literally said that anything could happen, then you come back later acting like you predicted it, anyone can say bitcoin will either go up or go down that doesn’t mean much
positioning yourself both ways and then claiming you called it after the fact isn’t a real prediction, nobody expects you to predict everything, but don’t come back later saying “i said this” when you basically covered every possible outcome
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@0xresurekt People who listened to me were positioned for the early March rally after selling BTC last year.
People who listened to you got rekt and your way of coping is by screaming every time BTC prints a lower high.
x.com/intocryptovers…
Benjamin Cowen@intocryptoverse
In midterm years, Bitcoin often drops into February, rallies into early March, then drops again into April.
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Kook rugging 15k MC bundled tokens on TG for 200$.
Around 1 time per day.
> Post CA on the tg with 18k subscribers
> Dump the bundle immediately
> Blame someone else
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after the paid partnership update @nikitabier , can you make it mandatory for people posting about polymarket claude bots and quants to attach their profile links as well?
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@nikitabier @AdblockPlus asking ad blockers to unblock ads is wild
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@AdblockPlus Your ad blocker is hiding people’s own posts from them when they label it as a paid promotion. Please fix.
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Prediction market traders are down over $1m+ due to US attacking Iran.
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bro got kicked out by kalshi and now suddenly he's against it
these hoes ain't loyal
katexbt.hl@katexbt
Why is @nikitabier not going after gambling harder...
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when you're already down 95% so you don't care anymore
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@verrissimus not getting past arsenal this time, the good times are over for bodø
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@DannyT1502 it isn’t pumping because they got leverkusen, but because they are now placed in the other bracket
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Still kind of pissed I didn't buy Arsenal shares yesterday for an easy ~40% gain. Their possible oppositions were either Atalanta or Leverkusen, both easy draws respective of the teams remaining - however the market wasn't pricing it in.
Today i personally bought some Atletico Madrid shares at 3.2c as I think they are undervalued and Tottenham aren't great.
Fabrizio Romano@FabrizioRomano
🚨🏆 BREAKING: Champions League full draw and… road to Budapest. ✨
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@A_kinola02 madrid isn’t even getting past city this time lol
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