@HTAlhasan Well, before they paid ransom to the US ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ they’ll be fine
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Consider this nightmare scenario: Trump keeps at it for few more weeks/months, fails to dislodge IRN regime and works out a deal instead: a partial restoration of shipping & side payments to IRGC. The global economy adjusts, but the Gulf states stay held to ransom by Iran.
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews
BREAKING: US may ‘unsanction’ Iranian oil to ease pressure from US-Israeli war roiling energy markets 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/fs4nzb?update=…
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@matthew_petti … ramping up production, which is hard, it also requires producing smaller and cheaper stuff like ammunition. People start talking about meeting the deadlines and efficiency. Nobody wants that
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@matthew_petti I don’t even think the military industrial complex wants instability or god forbid wars. In the peace time you can sell Pentagon some insanely overpriced high end large pieces of equipment. The war will test them and might actually embarrass you. But also war requires …
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There’s a reason the Koch Brothers funded two of the antiwar publications I wrote for while tech/finance funds so much of the insane neo-neocon lobbying.
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain
This is something people don't understand when they think "oil go up, American companies make money!" The oil majors want a stable situation in which they can achieve a long-term, predictable return on their investments. They want to be able to sell their product to whoever, wherever, with minimal regulation. An environment where prices are spiking wildly, trade corridors are being shut down, and multi-billion dollar facilities are going up in smoke in an instant is not good for business. Periods of high volatility result in these companies mitigating risk by scaling back investments. And they would love to make a deal with the Iranians, because there's money to be made there. Dick Cheney, of all people, spent the 90s lobbying for the removal of all sanctions on Iran for this reason. When Trump withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018 he blew up the first major western deal for investment in Iranian oil operations in a decade. Profit motive does not explain what we're seeing with this war.
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From @SohrabAhmari: “Trump…has now fully given way to his liberal caricature: venal, erratic, childish, a chaos agent…The scale of [his] failures...return[s us] to the character problem that first gave rise to the Never Trump movement” unherd.com/2026/03/trump-… via @UnHerd
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@JominiW The US needs to stop this idiotic war, the sooner, the better
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The US needs to keep building the necessary ground combat power to have a range of options to alter the calculus of the war with Iran.
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
The Boxer Amphibious Ready Group (ARG), comprised of the USS Boxer (LHD-4), USS Comstock (LSD-45), and the USS Portland (LPD-27) with the embarked 11th Marine Expeditionary Group (MEU), is on its way to the Middle East after departing the U.S. west coast for deployment.
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@kenklippenstein Two people put their lives on the line and were killed for this
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@_fat_ugly_rat_ Because
They
Love
Power
why give up something you love?
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@yarotrof Except that it is not. For Iranian leadership this war is about literally being killed and the regime changed. For Israel it’s about relative power balance in the region, for the Gulf some freedoms are at stake, but even there Iran doesn’t plan regime change
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If one side fights an existential war and another conducts a special military operation/excursion, the side with the existential motivation usually defies expectations and creates surprises. We have seen this movie with Russia and Ukraine.
But Iran, which so far retains the escalation dominance, confronts more than just the United States.
For Israel, and for the Gulf states, it is not an optional expeditionary campaign. For them too, how this war ends is existential.
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@BrewerEricM This is not an incredibly important data point, it’s Tulsi Gabbard, she can say whatever
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This is an incredibly important data point. The IC confirming not just that it knows where Iran’s enriched uranium is located, but that it has “high confidence” in that assessment.
Olivia Gazis@Olivia_Gazis
@jahimes COHEN: Does the IC know where Iran's enriched uranium is? GABBARD: The IC has high confidence that we know where it is. [...] COHEN: We have methods of destroying it? GABBARD: This is a conversation for a closed setting, sir.
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@mattxiv Also, she was just a girl???? This son of a bitch is supposed to be a journalist and a public persona
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gay guy here, i don’t care about this, she was 15. you are ~40 and posted this in november. let’s talk about that
Jon Levine@LevineJonathan
Hey @NYCMayor — what does your wife mean by "fgts" here?
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New Reuters-Ipsos poll of the Iran war:
37% approve
59% disapprove
reuters.com/world/middle-e…
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@LevineJonathan @NYCMayor Jon, you are fucking clown
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Minnesota GOP Senate candidate on rising gas prices:
"Maybe you take one less trip to Starbucks and so that gas goes a little further until this thing is over and these gas prices come back down again. Let's just try to be patriots about this"
danny@dabbs346
Oh my god. On the radio, NRSC-endorsed Michele Tafoya says that gas prices are spiking because of the Iran war that she supports and that people should “take one less trip to Starbuck’s” and to “just try to be patriots” about it. #mnsen
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@Birdyword it would be so much smarter for China to just do nothing and win, but it also would have been for Putin with Ukraine and for Trump with Iran. There is just something about being an authoritarian in control of a major power that makes you go nuts and start a disastrous war
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I have no particular defence and intelligence insight here, I just always wonder: if you were a risk-averse Chinese policymaker who believed that the US was currently a decaying power, flailing both at home and abroad, would you lean towards rolling the dice, or waiting?
The Wall Street Journal@WSJ
China isn’t planning to invade Taiwan in 2027 and would prefer to take control of the island without resorting to force., the U.S. concludes on.wsj.com/4lAedlA
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Almost three weeks into the war, Iran has carried out several dozen strikes on the critical energy infrastructure of all GCC countries and Israel, while its own oil and gas industry has remained largely unscathed (with the exception of part of the South Pars field that Israel hit yesterday.) The U.S. is now considering lifting sanctions on shipborne Iranian crude. The asymmetry of fear so far is clearly in Tehran’s favor.
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@NotWoofers I mean, if you are burning the hydrocarbons in missile attacks, it's not a decarbonization 🙄
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The world will be decarbonized by force.
Woofers@NotWoofers
Joe Biden enacted the Inflation Reduction Act, aimed at building out renewables & accelerating the energy transition. Donald Trump has taken a much different approach to decarbonization, starting a war in the Middle East that results in the Gulf states’ extraction exploding.
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.@M_S_Billingslea: The U.S. government's considering un-sanctioning Iranian oil seems like the kind of thing that might concern you. Any thoughts?
Annmarie Hordern@annmarie
BESSENT: US MAY UNSANCTION IRANAIN OIL THAT'S ON WATER BESSENT: WHEN WE UNSANCTION IRAN OIL, CAN GO TO EX-CHINA PLACES So we can see the regime selling oil legally at a much higher price?
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@isaiah_bb Who the fuck is Brianna Wu, and why should anyone care what she thinks?
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@LauraEWeiss16 Sen. FETTERMAN is such a piece of shit
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Breaking: Sen. MULLIN’s nomination for DHS secretary advances out of committee in an 8-7 vote
HSGAC Chair RAND PAUL breaks w/ R’s and votes no, after clashing w/ Mullin over his past comments & saying he has disqualifying “anger issues.” Sen. FETTERMAN is the only Dem yes, allowing nom to move forward
Senate GOP leaders planning floor vote early next week
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