orbifold
370 posts
Watching Bitcoiners quote tweet Hasu without actually addressing the data makes me somewhat sad for the community I started in a decade ago
Hasu⚡️🤖@hasufl
It means Bitcoin is fucked long-term, but OK, keep brain-washing people with ridiculous positive spins 💄🐷
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@jon_stokes they can keep the throughput if they want it, but probably you don’t need to be doing 2 million trades per second if there’s no mechanical arbitrage from timing advantages…
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These numbers are the result of an HFT arms race. If all the HFTs were forced to trade on chain at a far lower throughput no one would notice but HFT shops.
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Counterpoint: there’s zero social benefit to this much speed in public markets.
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Oh man, it's even better. Not did they, yes, just keep adding exponents as long as they were significant, but they actually never even show the raw data in the paper. Only the model fits!
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Gonna make a wager here.
Those lines are not the real data; they fit a linear model to accuracy and a nonlinear one to confidence.
Let's read the paper and see!
Ethan Mollick@emollick
Graph to keep in mind as newly-minted experts proliferate on Twitter. It is the Beginners Bubble Effect: confidence increases faster than real knowledge, since we start to generate theories from the small sample of our experience. As we learn more our confidence actually drops!
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@Molson_Hart @jon_stokes because it is leaking jet fuel into the base’s water supply?
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If the United States wanted to defend Taiwan from the PRC, why...would you close what has to be your main fuel storage location in the Pacific?
Sam LaGrone@samlagrone
SECDEF Austin orders Red Hill fuel depot in Hawaii defuled and permanently closed. Big, big deal.
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@Stellaratum like, seemed like there were ~1k javelins and ~1-2k nlaws sent over recently. what if the ukrainians had 10x as many available?
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@Stellaratum (mine was a joke post but thanks for the clarification)
i’m curious about the lesson though, why can’t harassment and delay escalate to halting their forces, with sufficient supplies of weapons?
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that’s why the second amendment should be interpreted to encompass MANPADs, anti-tank weapons, etc, so that the volunteers have matching capabilities
Taras@Stellaratum
@Sharon_Kuruvila Qualitative difference between Russian forces and hypothetical international brigade would be much larger than their namesake faced; hard for ragtag fighters with small arms to seriously disrupt an adversary with overwhelming long range fires and air supremacy
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i highly recommend reading this as a microcosmic overview of Russia's military. is it actually representative? i have no idea, but this is supposed to be the russian navy's flagship, so one might imagine everything else as being even worse-off
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_a…
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great thread, curious what others think
mirrors some things ive been ruminating on
while my guess is yeah russia ends up "winning" the overall impression i have of their performance is that even after their purported modernization theyre fighting like a third rate power
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@Manicton @eigenrobot @acidshill he can probably take it but i cannot imagine how he can keep it. what is the end game here
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claims, oh, yikes, etc
no idea how much an issue this might actually be but there was concern prewar that reactors might end up causing Problems
𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞@benefic_venefic
google translate: "The radioactive radiation at the reactor of #Tschernobyl has increased significantly in the last few hours from 3200 nSv/h to 65,500 nSv/h #UkraineInvasion"
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@Manicton @acidshill @eigenrobot what the fuck does putin want? what the fuck is he doing? this whole thing is insane
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@Manicton @acidshill @eigenrobot can you honestly look at the decisionmaking process around this war and feel confident guessing what they (= he) wants?
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while you appealed to regulators, i studied the blockchain
⚡️🌙@dystopiabreaker
@ProfHilaryAllen @smdiehl @hackylawyER @Aarondklein @molly0xFFF @kwerb @el72champs @alexisgoldstein @moxie @SchrimpfAndreas @hwenqian @dgolumbia @tressiemcphd @BloombergME @JohnReedStark @paulkrugman @Edmund_Schuster @timoreilly @Prof_CarlaReyes @tarunchitra your systems are fragile. designed to abstract externality. ours are not. they are incentive compatible. they are antifragile. we ride the sandworms while you sit in the sietch under the emperor's protection. good luck
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thank you. doing our best
Ray (stingray.bsky.social)@SomeStingray
critical support for all tax evaders, you guys are the real anti-imperialist heroes
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Humans really ended up between bonobos who just fuck away the conflict and chimps who traumatize the shit out of each other by making the trauma hot
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here we go again. these private blockchain people love telling policymakers they can do everything cryptocurrency can without all the icky parts. it didn’t hold up last time
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