Robert Thweatt

@RobertJMolnar That ship has sailed, Mr Bolton, is gone over the horizon. Get used to the bitter taste of defeat.

hey old guy Trump is not invading Iran with 300k troops all you old fucking dicks need to just shut the fuck up and go fishing or some shit Trump does not have the balls to invade Iran with ground troops

@gbrew24 Maybe they think the Iranians will be impressed by this leak. They're flailing.

"We're going to kill the ones who don't want to work with us" is essentially how this war started, interesting that they're thinking about giving it another go.

@aeberman12 Would have been good if somebody had piped up about this issue beforehand, maybe threatened to resign over it.

Low munitions don’t just limit this war—they reshape U.S. strategy globally. Strike capacity becomes scarce, escalation options narrow, and every new action has to be weighed against TAIWAN and other theaters. That pushes the U.S. toward SELECTIVE, SLOWER, and more INDIRECT PRESSURE Not open-ended escalation. #Geopolitics #USMilitary #Iran #Taiwan #Strategy

@RobertJMolnar Even if he had "the balls", he doesn't have the power. Country would not stand for it. He knows that much.

I mean come on everybody is this not the most embarrassing display of fail by any President, ever? Trump does not have the balls to send 300k troops to ground invade.....bombing them more isn't going to do shit what is the fucking plan? at least GWB was like fuck it i am just going to invade the fuck out of Iraq and let it ride Donald Trump is a goddam pussy cc: @StevenCheung47

@scarylawyerguy Tbf, he was probably up all night posting, and they are boring as can be, it's not like he hasn't heard it all before...

The media's complete and utter lack of interest in this (not to mention the right hand that's constantly slathered in concealer) after doing armchair neurology and chasing Joe Biden out of office fucking infuriates me every time I see a clip like this.

@Crash9510 @BillKristol A "kill 'em all, let God sort 'em out" kinda guy. Aside from the law, since Korea, US has fought 3 counter-insurgencies. Killing people you shouldn't is how you lose. And US did lose two of them. Iraq was a mixed bag. Read "The Village" by Bing West. Bet Petraeus, McChyrstal did

@thweatt_robert @BillKristol Hegseth has expressed contempt for ROE that got thousands of soldiers wounded or killed.

“On the other hand, perhaps the net effect of the Iran war will be to turn the senior leadership of the military against Trump and reduce his confidence that, in a constitutional crisis, he could call on them to help him domestically?” open.substack.com/pub/thebulwark…

@MalcolmNance @Aviation_Intel Maybe figure out how to design and build frigates first.

@Aviation_Intel Fucking ludicrous. They will pay a Billion dollars for each of the 3 concept paintings and that will be all there is of this ship. A fucking GI Joe toy mockup.

Everything New We Just Learned About The Trump Class Battleship Program We are getting a clearer idea of how the Navy thinks it can use these ships, which have an estimated cost of $17B per vessel. twz.com/sea/everything…

@gtconway3d The debate about systems, capitalism or marxism, is largely pointless. What counts is power, is it adequately limited, and widely dispersed? It hasn't been for some time, and it's getting even worse under Trump. Btw, Biden appointed Lina Khan to push back by reviving antitrust.

This isn't business; it's a power grab. One family owning two of our biggest media outlets benefits no one but them. This is Trump's America, and he's selling out our democracy piece by piece.

"What we are all seeing here is about one thing: power. ... Our Framers, the people who wrote the Constitution, the people who wrote the antitrust laws, were about fighting concentration of power. And this is an unholy alliance between powerful economic forces, powerful corporations, and powerful people in government who know no limits."

@Crash9510 @BillKristol I think every one in that kill chain for those two shipwrecked guys should be court-martialed, and Hegseth tried for murder. There are no end of competent lawyers who think the same. Hegseth has repeatedly expressed comtempt for the laws of war, which are also US law.

@thweatt_robert @BillKristol Saying something is a fact does not make it so. A president has vast military power to protect the homeland. Encouraging Democratic leaning soldiers to believe that every order might be illegal will break it faster

@Crash9510 @BillKristol We've seen clearly illegal orders given and obeyed. That's not a left opinion, it's fact. Intervening in electoral politics would go far beyond even that double tap in the Caribbean (which has not been repeated, note). If such orders were to be given, it could break the force.

@thweatt_robert @BillKristol Typically illegal orders are legal military actions leftists don’t like. The “don’t obey” videos made by politicians are more dangerous because they create doubt for young soldiers, sailors, and marines

@Crash9510 @BillKristol Not necessarily, could just be a mutiny, although refusal to obey illegal orders would not be that legally.

@BillKristol The senior military works for him. They have two options. Follow his directives or resign. The constitutional crisis you seem to be hoping for would be a military coup

@MarioNawfal Cute he thinks that issue is still in doubt. Wonder that you do. Every day's delay makes the eventual price higher. Trump cannot outlast, and he cannot out escalate. Look at the polls, if nothing else.

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Walking away now would make Trump look like a massive political loser. Ex. IDF spokesman Jonathan Conricus suggested declaring success without real results would damage U.S. credibility globally. He says it would send a dangerous signal of weakness to both allies and rivals. "Eventually, the Iranian regime will be forced to relinquish enrichment on Iranian soil. They will be forced to cap their ballistic missile program." @jconricus

@BrynnTannehill @WarMonitor3 Mid-terms, tick, tock. Not lost on the Iranians.

@WarMonitor3 Yeah. Not true at all. The IRGC can survive as a government no matter how unpopular they are. The Trump admin cannot, especially if the economy collapses.

Trump says he is not anxious to make a deal and all the pressure is on Iran.

@heynavtoor Technique I found very helpful, rewriting (longhand) notes. I did this for a statistics course when I was a Psych major. A lot of it is still stuck, 40 years later.

I hope you've found this thread helpful. Follow me @heynavtoor for more. Like/Repost the quote below if you can:

You take notes in meetings because you think you'll remember more. Princeton and UCLA proved the opposite. Laptop note-takers wrote down 65% more words than longhand note-takers. They also scored significantly worse on understanding questions. A week later — with their own notes in front of them — they were still worse. This effect has a name. It's not what you think. 🧵

@amandalitman One little problem with that, that old guy who was president was ahead of, not behind, the curve. Unless you think anti oligarchy/ green/ pro union policies are the past. Blaming it all on age is just intellectually lazy.

Wrote this a year ago and I stand by it.

@jimstewartson Fortunately, most of those buildings won't even get built. The rest can be repurposed as laser tag arenas, as per Ed Zitron.

We’ve had lots of speculative bubbles where aggressive industry overcapitalizes a new technology. AI is different. The railroad boom left tracks. The internet bubble left fiber. The housing bubble left empty homes. The AI bubble will leave obsolete GPUs & unusable buildings. The psychology of this bubble is far more akin to tulip mania in the 1600s except instead of flower bulbs selling for the equivalent of a million dollars each, it’s data centers for $100 billion per gigawatt. Another way to describe AI data centers is money furnaces. Zero data centers have made a dime. And with the current technology, zero will. The CEOs know these monstrosities can NEVER make money, but if they don’t go along with the program, their investors will leave now. They’re selling out the future to avoid a short term embarrassment by admitting they were wrong. They think they’re playing musical chairs, and they still can come out on top. But in this game there are no chairs. There is no music—just a bunch of obsolete NVIDIA chips rotting in giant white tombs. My hope for this no-win scenario is that after the financial apocalypse is over and we learn how to make fire again, that we will use this as a lesson about how we need to regulate the internet like we do any other critical infrastructure. Since the beginning, we’ve treated the internet like a sidekick to real life. We never made rules for it like we have for the real world. That has to change. We must recognize the digital world is just as real as the physical world and that it’s being polluted by our own ignorance—and by billionaires who want to exploit it. Happy Earth Day

@anders_aslund Because Republicans in DC still think they'll get reelected, no matter how big the blue wave, as long as they don't cross Trump.

This is the question the whole world posed: ”Why is the USA incapable of removing an obviously insane and incompetent president?” Moreover: How can republicans accept to lie with Trump as their modus vivendi?

@SarahLongwell25 Deranged dumbass can't see, or can't accept, he doesn't have the cards, the other guy does. He's turned down two off ramps already. Every day he keeps this up, the mid-terms get worse.

See, it’s actually bad that it’s sealed up tight. That is not the desired outcome.

@abstractedaway @BillKristol Biden had no such power, with 2 of his 50 Senators being Manchin and Sinema. They're why we didn't get the John Lewis Act, etc, etc, remember? As it was, the Court protected Trump when it became clear Biden wanted significant reform (term limits).

@BillKristol Biden should have immediately expanded SCOTUS to 13 judges - one for each Circuit Court, as it was meant to be structured. After years of Republicans packing the court, it was urgently needed. Despite his good points, he didn't see where there was no substitute for victory.

“Expanding the Supreme Court is no different that redistricting in California and Virginia. It is a proportionate response to Republican attempts to degrade liberal democracy and move America toward a post-liberal order.” open.substack.com/pub/thebulwark…

@OurShallowState @anders_aslund They think they'll get reelected as long as they don't cross him, no matter how big the blue wave.

@anders_aslund No. They only have greed and fear.

For how long can corrupt and senile madman and liar Trump stay US president? Don't US republicans have any morals or even sense of self-preservation?