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Mevolander
1.6K posts
@Lewy_B_2013 @SamCoatesSky One of the most reliable and accurate pollsters?
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YouGov / Sky / Times voting intention
RefUK 23%(-2)
LAB 19%(+2)
CON 17%(nc),
GRN 18%(-1)
LDEM 13%(-1)
Pollster note: While changes are all within the margin of error, this does put the Greens back into third place (presumably as the publicity impact of Denton & Gorton gradually recedes).
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@LucasWard_ What these graphs also don't convey is the absolute stonking degree of uncertainty at play, reforms seats could plausibly between 150-450 or something absurd
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I don’t understand how proportional representation isn’t the biggest talking point in British politics right now.
How can anyone look at this and believe our democracy is functioning properly?
Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️@LeftieStats
‼️NEW | Reform lead by 6pts ➡️ Ref: 25% (+2) 🟢 Grn: 19% (=) 🔴 Lab: 17% (=) 🔵 Con: 17% (-2) 🟠 Lib: 14% (=) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 306 🟠 Lib: 91 🟢 Grn: 85 🟡 SNP: 46 🔵 Con: 43 🔴 Lab: 36 Poll: @YouGov, 15-16 Mar (+/- vs 10 Mar)
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@Qawaafil @thepondering_ @KyleKulinski Or just refused orders and at worst been imprisoned, where there is little risk of death
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@thepondering_ @KyleKulinski He killed himself there isn’t a draft he could’ve just not signed up for the military
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@Itagen5 @DrDDSteelei @TambovGlasser amputation is a medical procedure, but when I do it to strangers in the woods it's "mutilation"
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@DrDDSteelei @TambovGlasser I'm sorry that you don't have a culture in medicine and surgery, but it's true.
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Stone Toss will post shit like this thinking that in the first two pics consent is silly while the last one should require it.
Stone tossers@Stone_tossers
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@PebMet1 Counterpoint, Starship has already recovered more flown engines than were ever used by shuttle.
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@rawdawgcomics @IterIntellectus Not even that, this is a sensationalized article being misrepresented to laypeople, experts in the field already do this stuff because they're not stupid, it's just not very effective long-term on large populations of people.
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@IterIntellectus "We are going to cure so many diseases" Haha. I admire your optimism but no the pharmaceutical companies and medical industry is going to regulate this. AI is going to be handicapped in the only few ways it actually benefits people because money gatekeeps progress
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this is actually insane
> be tech guy in australia
> adopt cancer riddled rescue dog, months to live
> not_going_to_give_you_up.mp4
> pay $3,000 to sequence her tumor DNA
> feed it to ChatGPT and AlphaFold
> zero background in biology
> identify mutated proteins, match them to drug targets
> design a custom mRNA cancer vaccine from scratch
> genomics professor is “gobsmacked” that some puppy lover did this on his own
> need ethics approval to administer it
> red tape takes longer than designing the vaccine
> 3 months, finally approved
> drive 10 hours to get rosie her first injection
> tumor halves
> coat gets glossy again
> dog is alive and happy
> professor: “if we can do this for a dog, why aren’t we rolling this out to humans?”
one man with a chatbot, and $3,000 just outperformed the entire pharmaceutical discovery pipeline.
we are going to cure so many diseases.
I dont think people realize how good things are going to get
Séb Krier@sebkrier
This is wild. theaustralian.com.au/business/techn…
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@murchiston @PatrickHeizer Are you suddenly going to pull thousands of geneticists and biochemists out of your hole to satisfy this? What about equipment, or bulk processes, or precursor materials etc etc
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@PatrickHeizer floodgates arguments are weak at the best of times but don't hold any water whatsoever for people (or pets) whose causes of death may be bureaucratic regulatory friction and institutionalized market failure preventing science based treatment of their underlying conditions
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Sorry to be the downer because this is an impressive story in some senses.
But it is ~trivially easy to make a single mRNA vaccine. It's not hard.
I cure mice of various cancers with various therapeutics all the time. I've made mice lose more weight in a month than tirzepatide does in a year.
What is hard and expensive is proving its BOTH safe AND effective **in a randomized and controlled study in humans** while ALSO manufacturing it at clinical scale and grade.
I am happy for this man and his dog. It is impressive.
But y'all are overhyping it.
Séb Krier@sebkrier
This is wild. theaustralian.com.au/business/techn…
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English Language Classes?? Then they might learn the language!!!
Lou Calvey@LouCalvey
… giving people basic necessities like clean undies. SHOCKER. And the ‘journalist’ reports that volunteers have been subjected to rape threats because of this, yet still they run this headline. Media in this country is in the gutter.
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@labourball @tricky2383 @ZackPolanski is it sectarian to dislike Netanyahu? I suppose if the sects are "bad people" and "good people" it is
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@tricky2383 @ZackPolanski Why do you associate criticism of a clearly sectarian ad with islamophobia?
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David Lammy will lose his seat to the Green Party.
London can let go of these MPs who have protected power and wealth - and vote for a Green Party rooted in communities.
Help make it happen:
Join.greenparty.org.uk
Peston@itvpeston
“I've got to be camped out in the centre and able to have both progressive votes and to get some Tories to lend us their vote” Deputy Prime Minister @DavidLammy says that Labour has ‘to be a coalition’ if it is to win the next election #Peston
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@Mevolander @carlo_davies @BBCPolitics @BBCOne @BBCiPlayer appropriate word: performer.
Rather shallow policies.
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Joining #BBCLauraK
Defence Secretary John Healey
Shadow foreign secretary Priti Patel
Green Party leader Zack Polanski
Sunday 9am @BBCOne @BBCiPlayer
bbc.co.uk/programmes/m00…
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@carlo_davies @LaurenceCombyne @BBCPolitics @BBCOne @BBCiPlayer Polanski is one of the best interview performers ive seen in the last decade, idk what this guy is going on about
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@LaurenceCombyne @BBCPolitics @BBCOne @BBCiPlayer You think Twitter points hold that much value? I have no idea who you’re supposed to be for the record
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@LFachiste @Reversequestion @_ZachFoster they tried to claim this when Israel first blew up a hospital in Gaza
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@Reversequestion @_ZachFoster It's never Israel and the US. It's always the missile lunch fails. How convenient.
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🇺🇸: Iran better not kill any Iranian protestors
🇺🇸: murders 57 Iranian school girls on day 1
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@SuellaBraverman Suella, do you want another refugee crisis? are you fucking stupid?
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It is in our national interest that the disgusting Iranian regime is overthrown.
Iran is the head of the snake. The regime has waged a proxy war on Britain for decades. It is naïve and dangerous to suggest we shouldn’t be offering support to those trying to resist it.
Britain is not safe whilst the Iranian regime lives on. Keir Starmer’s decision to block the United States from using British airbases makes us less secure.
History will not be kind to the Prime Minister. When he had the chance to show leadership, he ran away.
Standing on the sidelines is unforgivable.
Reza Pahlavi@PahlaviReza
My dear compatriots, Decisive moments lie before us. The assistance that the President of the United States had promised to the brave people of Iran has now arrived. This is a humanitarian intervention, and its target is the Islamic Republic, its apparatus of repression, and its machinery of killing—not the country and great nation of Iran. However, despite the arrival of this assistance, the final victory will still be achieved by us. It is we, the people of Iran, who will finish this task in this final battle. The time to return to the streets is approaching. Now that the Islamic Republic is collapsing, my message to the country’s military, law enforcement, and security forces is clear: You have sworn an oath to protect Iran and the Iranian nation, not the Islamic Republic and its leaders. Your duty is to defend the people, not to defend a regime that has taken our homeland hostage through repression and crime. Join the nation and help ensure a stable and secure transition. Otherwise, you will sink with Khamenei’s ship and his crumbling regime. And my message to the President of the United States, President Trump, is this: The honorable people of Iran, despite the brutal repression and killings carried out by this regime, stood bravely for nearly two months. I now ask you to exercise the utmost possible caution to preserve the lives of civilians and my compatriots. The people of Iran are your natural allies and the allies of the free world, and they will not forget your assistance during the most difficult period of Iran’s contemporary history. And to you, my dear compatriots in Iran: In these sensitive hours and days, more than ever we must remain focused on our ultimate goal: reclaiming Iran. I ask you, for now, to remain in your homes and remain calm and safe. Stay alert and ready to return to the streets for the final action at the appropriate time, which I will communicate to you. Follow my messages through social media and satellite media. If disruptions occur in the internet and satellite broadcasts, I will remain in contact with you via radio. We are very close to final victory. I hope to be with you as soon as possible so that together we may reclaim Iran and rebuild it. Long live Iran. Reza Pahlavi
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@Char10tt4Park1n Lying incessantly to the electorate about being "the only choice to stop Reform" was pretty disrespectful to be honest
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To any Labour member saying “we’d have won if we’d selected Burnham”
Please stop
It’s disrespectful to Angeliki, and to the volunteers who travelled from across the country and put in countless hours into this campaign (1/2)
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@RopesToInfinity Honestly might be the kick up the arse these guys need to get serious about Labour's current state
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Just one more purge of the left, we're nearly there!
Viviane: 🌹Labour led by Keir for me@LaindonFEMINIST
The Socialist Campaign Group need to be booted out of Labour. They’re poison to our Party and are the media darlings called upon to bad mouth Keir Starmer and the Party. Enough is enough. Call them out.
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Imagine your party has won a historic byelection.
You've had election day, a loads of interviews, held a press conference with your new MP and welcomed lots of new members.
Sleep? Nah. It's time for The Last Leg!
#isitok
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@PoliticoForYou @AndyPeacock999 They keep using it so probably will again
Same failed lying strategy in Bicester and Woodstock:
Sally Bourliakas 💙@SallyBourliakas
The same tactics were used by Labour in Bicester & Woodstock in the General election Lab Leaflets saying only Labour could oust the Conservatives.. ( & Con leaflets saying only they could beat Labour!) Calum Miller for Lib Dems beat Labour & ELizabeth Oakshott's Sister Veronica with over double her vote .. Jut as Lib Dems said as they had been winning in Local elections in Bicester for years!
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🚨The problem with this strategy now is not just that it didn’t work, it’s that they can never use it again.
If you come 3rd in one of your safest seats you don’t really get to play the tactical voting card.
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@owenjonesjourno @susanp_80 Gaza isn't even a "sectarian" issue, people across the board are generally against massacring kids
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@susanp_80 Oh wow.
How far you have sunk.
"Shamelessly courted one part of the community."
Not even a dog whistle. A massive foghorn. Shame on you.
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Gutted and sad Labour lost glad Reform didn’t win . Greens campaign was divisive and shamelessly courted one part of the community but people were terrified Reform could do it . Lessons to learn thanks to every single one of our supporters who never gave up and did their best
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@Al_Perring @leninology Especially younger voters - who overwhelmingly support the greens
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@leninology I think modeling for emergent parties is really hard. Balancing for voter likelyhood, turn out etc. It is easy to both underestimate and overestimate. Because there simply isn't enough data to get a good picture on voter behaviour.
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Anyone have any idea why the polls massively underestimated the Greens? Surely Labour were never competitive here.
Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️@LeftieStats
‼️ BREAKING: Greens WIN Gorton and Denton by-election in a landslide victory 🟢 Grn: 41% (+27) ➡️ Ref: 29% (+15) 🔴 Lab: 25% (-25) 🔵 Con: 2% (-6) 🟠 Lib: 2% (-2) Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024) ‼️First-ever Green win in an MP by-election
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@UniteSharon @UKLabour When are you going to get off the sinking ship? Unions may lose serious public support by staying affiliated with the current government
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Wake up call for @UKLabour
If Labour needed any further wake up calls - this is clearly one. Labour need to now ditch the gimmicks and get back to being Labour - not new, not one that plays games, but real Labour.
Workers and families are hurting. We have a cost of living crisis largely being ignored and investment in jobs for the here-and-now being blocked by a Treasury that doesn't seem to understand the basics of what is needed to build Britain.
Stop listening your rich mates and start listening to everyday people. -#GortonDentonByElection
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