Wajahat Qazi

@GadSaad Prof: pls dont do this. This man's young and foolish. He may even take your padding up seriously!

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@PressSec By what metric ma'am? And who gets to speak for Americans- with epic fury or calmly?🙃

Americans Agree that Operation Epic Fury Is an Overwhelming Success whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/…

@tparsi Brilliant analysis!

The developments of the past 24h may prove a turning point in this war: Israel and the US's escalation by striking the Qatari-Iranian Pars field, the strikes against Asaluyeh, Iran's massive retaliation against oil and gas installations in Saudi, Qatar and beyond, which shot up oil prices, the near downing of a F35 by Iran and Secretary Bessent's revelations that the US may unsanction Iranian oil on the waters to bring down oil prices. As I said already on the fourth day, the US has lost control of this war. It had a Plan A, but no Plan B. Plan A came crashing down after it became clear that the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei neither brought the implosion of the theocracy nor their surrender. As a result, the US is increasingly letting the Israelis drive the bus, by virtue of them having a plan, even though their plan does not serve US interests (the Israelis want to prolong the war to degrade Iran's entire industrial base, regardless of what happens to energy markets, Trump's presidency, and security in the region as a whole.) The Israeli strike against the Pars field, coordinated with the US, is particularly important because it violated a promise Trump made to Qatar back in September 2025 - Israel would no longer be allowed to strike Qatar. But that gas field is shared by both Iran and Qatar, hence it was an attack on Qatar as well as on Iran. With US coordination. This - and the impact on energy markets - may explain why Trump took to social media to blame Israel for the attack and publicly forbade them from striking further energy fields. But Bessent's comments about unsanctioning Iranian oil on the waters are the most important. Though it's primarily done to push down oil prices, it appears that we may have nevertheless entered sanctions relief territory out of necessity. I wrote several days ago that Tehran is very unlikely to end the war even if the US pulls out and declares victory. Iran has leverage for the first time in years and will seek to trade it in. It has publicly demanded a closing of US bases, reparations, and sanctions relief in order to stop shooting at Israel and open the Straits. The first may happen over time anyway, the second is highly unlikely, but the third - sanctions relief - may become more plausible as the cost of the war rises, and escalation strategies become increasingly suicidal for Trump. As I have explained, a return to the pre-war status quo is unacceptable to Tehran because it will not only be in a degraded state, but also in a continuously weakening state because its pathways to sanctions relief have been blown up. If Iran weakens further, it will only invite further American and Israeli aggression, Tehran believes, because it was the false perception of Iranian weakness that created the "window of opportunity" to attack Iran in the first place. Sanctions relief is, as a result, a necessity to ensure that the war doesn't restart. But here is where Iran may miscalculate. Trump may not yet have reached the point at which the cost of continuing the war is so high that he opts to offer sanctions exemptions to select countries to get Iran's agreement to open the straits and end the war. He will likely only reach that point once it's clear that his base is starting to turn against the war in a serious manner. At that point, Trump will face a time crunch. He will need a narrative in which he declares himself a victor - with his base believing it. Absent the ability to convince his base that he has won, the benefit of ending the war may not outweigh the cost of continuing it. And as soon as his base starts turning against the war, his ability to convince them of his victory starts to wane. Mindful of the fact that negotiating this end may take an estimated 7-10 days at best, which is different from the 24 hours or so it took to negotiate the unconditional ceasefire in June, Tehran may overplay its hand and only agree to enter these negotiations at a point at which the length of the negotiations may exceed the time Trump has left to convincingly declare victory and provide himself a face saving exit. Getting the timing of this right will be very difficult for both the US and Iran. Israel will do all it can to sabotage any such off-ramp, including by killing Iranian's negotiatiors. But it will become increasingly clear - if it hasn't already - to Trump that all his escalatory options only deepen the lose-lose situation he has put himself in. That's why Trump should never have listened to Netanyahu in the first place.

@WhiteHouse @takaichi_sanae What a classy demo of a diplomatic punchline delivered in the politest possible terms @takaichi_sanae . And what an eloquent expression of soft power. Class is class.

President Donald J. Trump and Japanese Prime Minister @takaichi_sanae. 🇺🇸🤝🇯🇵

@Sec_Noem Great. Well done! Now tell us about the 220 million USD that you used for an ad that featured just you. BTW- your reading and understanding of history is awesome - 😅

Ten straight months of ZERO illegal aliens released at the border. President Trump promised to secure the Border, and that is a promise we delivered. We have the most secure border in American history. Our borders are CLOSED to lawbreakers.

@MoeedNj Oh I even doubt these medals-probably bought from a souk - with some diversion of American aid monies to Jordan--😜

Agreed! Chest full of medals can’t convert a beast into a hero!

@far2871639 WOW! Eloquent!

That's the strange weight of living in a connected world — you inherit grief for people history just introduced you to.

@Shinamuller Sophisticated views of a subtle mind But there's some irony here:in much of the western world , philosophy - that actually is the foundational pillar of the modern west-has been in retreat replaced by mindless consumerism and hedonism.Its study and reformulation migrated to Iran

Ali Larijani wrote a book on Descartes. The title is Critique and Examination of Descartes’ Rules for the Direction of the Mind. Descartes wrote the Rules long ago. It was unfinished. Twenty-one rules. They show how to guide the mind. Divide problems. Order thoughts. Count everything. Seek clear ideas. Larijani reads it closely. He sees the method. Doubt everything uncertain. Strip away the false. Reach the sure thing. I think, therefore I am. He takes the method further. Not just for one man. For the state. The state must doubt too. Doubt foreign models. Doubt Western values. Doubt international laws that bind. Doubt the stories others tell. Doubt like a knife. Cut away imitation. Cut away dependence. Then the state finds its own certainty. I critique, therefore I am. I think alone, therefore I stand alone. This is absolute self-possession. The state owns its mind. Owns its path. No outside master. Larijani links it to Iran after the revolution. Neither East nor West. Build your own reason. Build your own strength. Be patient. Be independent. He mixes Descartes with Islamic thought. Not rejection. Transformation. The old method serves the new state. The book is sharp. It criticizes Descartes too. Points out gaps. But the core stays. Doubt leads to freedom. For the man. For the nation. That is the book. Simple lines. Deep water beneath.

@tedcruz Sorry 'dude'- can't help myself here: Whats with the AI generated younger clone of yours? Does this please and gratify you? The younger clone is decidedly cuter than the real adult. Or are you infantilzing America ?

The SAVE America Act is policy so simple even a baby would support it!! 🤣🤣🤣

@GadSaad Our faith enjoins us to seek knowledge far and wide. Pre West's Renaissance(in Europe Dark ages), itinerant scholars would come to study Islam's achievements and splendour in the domains of science, architecture , medicine.

If you are Jewish patient, would you feel comfortable with her as your oncologist?

@GadSaad Seems like a born again Baath party rabble rouser - in awe.But this does not detract from some of her assertions -there's indeed a galaxy of eminence grises : Marx, Freud, Spinoza, Arendt, and Maimonides , Buber etc. But barring Maimonides, were they Jewish -in letter and spirit?

One of the greatest clips of all-time. I've been sharing it for years.

@GadSaad Man: why is 'death', 'destruction' , 'slamming' etc an indelible part of your vocabulary and psychical repertoire?

@GadSaad @Keir_Starmer Attrocious behaviour actually. But hey, Prof, apparently London is Londonistan (from the POV of your fellow travelers) where sharia law prevails.Hand over the Somali to them and they'll stone him?Or coach the man in the values of hedonism:He'll be more prudential in the future?

The Somali undocumented love maker is a victim of her Islamophobia. Dear Lady @Keir_Starmer, please arrest the little girl.

@rayaddisonlive Because there's mosques galore in the UAE. Or maybe - as a man of white privilege - which is drooled over in that part of the world- you lived in a posh , up market beach front mansion- far from what you would probably see as the maddening brown crowd.

I lived in the United Arab Emirates for 12 years and never saw anything like this. Why was it necessary in Trafalgar Square? What was it trying to prove?

@SecretaryBurgum @POTUS Sorry about this. Dont mean to be rude but: Burp! Burp! Yawn. Yawn .Yawn

Thanks to @POTUS, the United States is the world’s top oil and natural gas producer. We are also the largest natural gas exporter and a top oil exporter. To be clear, the Trump administration has no plan to implement restrictions on oil and gas exports.

@RepTenney @HouseIntel Not as sophisticated and subtle as yours.

The Iranian people have suffered under a brutal regime for decades. They deserve freedom and access to the truth. At today’s @HouseIntel hearing, I asked about the Iranian regime’s control over information.

@mb_ghalibaf I'm not a military man. But even as a lay person in military matters- its pretty obvious what Iran did post Epic Fury: allow (by design) Israeli/US forces control over Iran's skies, lull them into false sense of victory -but then launch an asymmetric war to raise the wars costs.

According to statements by Israeli and American military officials, 320% of Iran's missile launchers have been destroyed so far. However, Iran continues to launch missiles at a high rate Now,the enemy aims to destroy up to 500% of them! A unique achievement for the US military!

@mb_ghalibaf What Iran's enemies do not understand is its foundational ethos. This is the broad conceptual 'error'. But what they dont also understand is Iran's post 2002 strategic doctrine: substitute leadership dependence with deep capability. In this schema, decapitation hardly matters.

@KanwalSibal Well, the UN is running out of funding- with the US putting on the squeeze. Plus he has to retire and lead a cushy life -subsidized by a fat UN pension.Why disturb the apple cart?

Very inadequate remarks. His term is ending. He should show more spine and redeem himself. He uses the word “ condemnation” for Iranian attacks on its neighbours. He wants Iran to stop these attacks. But he neither condemns US and Israel for committing aggression against Iran in violation of the UN Charter which he as SG must uphold, nor does he ask both countries to stop attacking Iran.

@EthanLevins2 Here's what seems to have happened since OP Fury: Iran had no real Air Force to speak of. It allowed its skies to be dominated by US/Israeli forces, wore them down , to give a false sense of victory and then focuses on raising the costs of war with an asymetrical focus.

For the first time in HISTORY, an American F-35 jet has been hit. Iranian air defenses are hitting our best jets. Trump said today all of Iran’s defenses are destroyed.